So, seeing how the Karabakh conflict might go hot again, I'm just gonna shit out a few predictions I think could happen. I know this isn't related to Ukraine, but it is related to Russia (and her possible future wars too). I'm curious to hear everyone's opinions. Azeris are already getting uppity as shown by their most recent compilation video about taking down Armenians, so a war might be in the horizon.
How would Russia go to war against Azerbaijan?
In Armenia's defense, perhaps. Russia has some peacekeeping troops there, if they end up getting accidentally (or not) killed by Azeri soldiers, Russia might step in in order to assure that the peace treaty is respected. Russia could try to repair her relations with Georgia and have them join in to retake land they claim from Azerbaijan in exchange for recognizing the two breakaway republics, much like they're trying to do in Donbass.
The likelihood of a war happening would be increased if Russia actually manages to conquer Ukraine.