Russian Invasion of Ukraine Megathread

How well is the war this going for Russia?

  • ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Blyatskrieg

    Votes: 249 10.6%
  • ⭐⭐⭐⭐ I ain't afraid of no Ghost of Kiev

    Votes: 278 11.8%
  • ⭐⭐⭐ Competent attack with some upsets

    Votes: 796 33.7%
  • ⭐⭐ Stalemate

    Votes: 659 27.9%
  • ⭐ Ukraine takes back Crimea 2022

    Votes: 378 16.0%

  • Total voters
    2,360
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Avoz Batt., only 10% Nazi and headstrong patriots who are pro-democracy according to this Danish TikToker. Well, they are in the thick of it, so they likely won't care about detractors.
 

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right now propagandized westerners are unironically plastering more ukraine flags everywhere than actual ukrainians so this might actually be believable lmao
I mean to be fair the constant shelling of key infrastructure helps that too, but i don't doubt it wouldn't change much if they all had reliable internet anyway
 
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I'm holding off on Ukraine pushing back, but with these counteroffensives near Kherson, if, and that's big if, they manage to recapture it that puts Russia in a horrible spot. Will wipe away their only major city they've captured so far, will make them lose their only foothold west of the Dnieper in the southern region, and could even threaten their supply lines emerging from Crimea.
Yeah, I don't mean to say that Ukraine has battlefield supremacy, but the more I look at the back end of things and projecting it forward, I'm not sure Russia has the capacity to win going the way things are, and a lot of their alternatives come with some nasty side effects. As it stands, Putin's best option is to get a damned treaty signed and quit while he's ahead. At this point, even if the Belorussians finally take that road trip to Lvov we were talking about way back when, it's still going to be a costly mess to dig through the other major cities, never mind the occupation or puppet regime. Putin doesn't have the numbers in-country to finish the job, and I've already brought up the political or strategic costs that could come with digging too hard for more, and that's to say nothing of the Ukrainian's troops in training, which could tip the scales into outright outnumbering the Russians. Even if they do win the conventional war, the combination of insurgency, economic collapse, and whatever conclusion China comes to once they're done reassessing their relationship with Russia, Putin has very likely fucked his country for decades with this war.
 
Avoz Batt., only 10% Nazi and headstrong patriots who are pro-democracy according to this Danish TikToker. Well, they are in the thick of it, so they likely won't care about detractors.
Honestly from what I've heard (heard) Azov Battalion Nazis are just civ-nats who don't care what you are as long as you are Ukrainian. I can see the same being true with Wagner seeing as the only proof of them being Nazis is the founders tattoos.
Those tanks look like they're already disabled and abandoned.
There's no infantry support around them either, in a wooded area.
The ukrainians are just walking around as if there's no real urgency.
I could be wrong though, it just looks awkward.
There is a pretty gruesome video I posted a few days ago (you can actually see a clip of that video in the second video I linked in the last page) that shows a T-72 getting hit by RPG's and kind of panicking and not knowing what to do, so I wouldn't be surprised if that is very common.
 
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Those tanks look like they're already disabled and abandoned.
There's no infantry support around them either, in a wooded area.
The ukrainians are just walking around as if there's no real urgency.
I could be wrong though, it just looks awkward.
A lot of Ukrainian videos I've seen so far look that way. I've seen a few that look legit, but most of them, mainly the ones where it's like "look at us we're totally btfoing russia" look absolutely staged.
 
They've been for a long time, a Chechen military elite known as the Mamlukes ruled Egypt from the 12th century to the 19th, only ending because they got Order 66'd by Muhammed Ali Pasha.
I haven't really heard of a significant Chechen element in the Mamluks. IIRC, they were mainly Georgian, Circassian, and Armenian, with some random Coptic and Balkan slaves mixed in.
 
Honestly from what I've heard (heard) Azov Battalion Nazis are just civ-nats who don't care what you are as long as you are Ukrainian. I can see the same being true with Wagner seeing as the only proof of them being Nazis is the founders tattoos.
wagner are mercenaries who will do whatever the boss says as long as the money keeps rolling in, any nazi tattoos on their members are random, incidental, not related or relevant to the group itself
azov are ukrainian nationalists with a massive hate boner for all things russian (hundreds of years of foreign rule and a large scale genocide tend to create such feelings in people) and their nazi symbols are for spooking russians, cause nothing spooks a russian boomer like nazism does
 
Honestly from what I've heard (heard) Azov Battalion Nazis are just civ-nats who don't care what you are as long as you are Ukrainian. I can see the same being true with Wagner seeing as the only proof of them being Nazis is the founders tattoos.

There is a pretty gruesome video I posted a few days ago (you can actually see a clip of that video in the second video I linked in the last page) that shows a T-72 getting hit by RPG's and kind of panicking and not knowing what to do, so I wouldn't be surprised if that is very common.
RPG7 - HEAT rockets with no scopes or actual ATGMs like NLAWs. Also drone strikes would be more confusing and ive seen drones watch panicking tanks.

I've watched a lot of urban combat videos and these look very casual in comparison.
 
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are the Russians beginning to provide more footage of the war? So far it’s been overwhelmingly Ukranian, and when we do get Russian footage it’s Chechen.
I haven't seen any more info yet. Doesn't even say which city or date. Doesn' fit with the typical footage released by the Russian ministry of defence
 
There is a pretty gruesome video I posted a few days ago
Here is the video with the bad part cut out. Also Note: It's two lone tanks, no IFV or infantry support. The video I posted along side this one originally shows a similar tactic, two lone tanks without IFV or infantry support.
are the Russians beginning to provide more footage of the war? So far it’s been overwhelmingly Ukranian, and when we do get Russian footage it’s Chechen.
There has been some more stuff coming out, mostly drone footage similar to the Ukrainian stuff. A lot of state run media has been posting highly curated stuff that doesn't show combat but still shows their might.
azov are ukrainian nationalists with a massive hate boner for all things russian (hundreds of years of foreign rule and a large scale genocide tends to create such feelings in people) and their nazi symbols are for spooking russians, cause nothing spooks a russian boomer like nazism does
Agree, I feel like a broken record whenever I post the twitter thread that explains the difference between Russians and Ukrainians and how Russia has been trying to wipe out the Ukrainian culture for hundreds of years.
RPG7 - HEAT rockets with no no scopes or actual ATGMs like NLAWs. Also drone strikes would be more confusing and ive seen drones watch panicking tanks.

I've watched a lot of urban combat videos and these look very casual in comparison.
There is another video I posted showing a ultra-rare prototype armored truck from 2009 getting blown up by some guy with an M72. He seems pretty calm, just sitting around and waiting and gets up and hides behind a wall waiting for the truck to come past, which is when he fires, hitting the cabin.
Edit: Here's the video, again Note: This truck is on its own, and you can see people moving in the back of it so it's definitely manned.
 
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Twitter thread

BBC Moscow senior correspondent on the Luzhniki stadium pro-war event stating that he's spoken to public sector workers who were essentially told to be there, or be square, well, that it'd be wise for them.

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official letter obliging events supporting the 'Special Operation'

Obviously both these sources have their biases, like everyone.
 
are the Russians beginning to provide more footage of the war? So far it’s been overwhelmingly Ukranian, and when we do get Russian footage it’s Chechen.
I still think it's because Russia's not needed to play the propaganda game. Ukraine can have a thousand videos and stories about Ghosts of Kyiv and telling Russian ships to fuck off, but it ultimately doesn't matter since it quickly gets revealed as bullshit. Russia doesn't need to pretend it's winning when it has unopposed tanks near the capital.
 
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Twitter thread

BBC Moscow senior correspondent on the Luzhniki stadium pro-war event stating that he's spoken to public sector workers who were essentially told to be there, or be square, well, that it'd be wise for them.
Would it really be that hard to get a large amount of Muscovites to show up to a pro-war rally? The Levada-Center has Putin all the way up to 71% approval since the war started and I've seen interviews with people who are convinced they're cleansing Ukraine of Nazism and stopping a genocide.
 
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