It's pretty obvious that, unless the entire Russian armed forces is a scam like the Afghanistan Army was, they never intended to fight the war everybody else accuses them of wanting to fight. Might even be possible they're telling the truth about their war goals ('disarmament and denaziing' Ukraine, which implies some kind of negotiated settlement, not conquering the place with under 200,000 of their least impressive troops)
They went in very light and so far the worst war crimes the West can pin on them are the usual fuckups that happen in any war, shells going astray and enemy fighters mixing with civilians. There's been no attempt to flatten cities or destroy infrastructure, even tho they have strategic bombers and arty capable of doing that. Most of the heavy fighting seems to be local militia and Chechens. They've continued to talk to the Ukies, unconditional surrender isn't one of their demands.
They've definitely made a lot of dumb mistakes and it looks like corruption/neglect in their armed forces is a serious problem for them. And they probably also underestimated how much Ukies fucking hate them. But unless their secret plan was to annex the whole of Ukraine - which makes no sense, even by paranoid dictator standards - there's no plausible way they can lose militarily now. Unless Nato invades, or the Russian troops all steal Ukrainian ammo to shoot themselves with, or there's a coup in Moscow.
They can definitely lose economically, and the sanctions will hurt them bad. But they're also hurting Europe, and to a lesser extent the US. The global economy is incredibly fragile now, idk how many trillion dollar stimulus bills Congress can pull out of its ass before the dollar goes the way of every single debased currency in history. There's a cost of living crisis in the West that isn't magically going to go away. Europe can't get off Russian hydrocarbons overnight, that will take several years at best. Meantime, rampaging inflation and high fuel prices are hurting everybody except bankers and oil execs.
Seems shortsighted to write off the Pajeets and Chinks. They're the most populous countries in the world, rapidly developing, and hungry for cheap energy sources. As a gas station with its own government, Russia can do good business there. Pajeet and Chong are also smart enough to stay out of retarded European wars (may not be smart enough to stay out of retarded Asian wars tho, we'll see).
Picture, if you will, a situation so fucked up that everyone loses, except the assholes who caused the situation.
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