Been thinking about what might happen on 9 May.
Might Putin declare war on Ukraine? Maybe. How much will things change? Don't think the Ukes will stop fighting. Might even accelerate rate of fires, sabotage, etc., within Russia.
Might Putin threaten to use nukes on Ukraine? Maybe. However, Vlad might want to remember the winds could well give the Rodina a dose of fallout. Doubt the Ukes will give up, and you would likely see not just an accelerated rate of sabotage, fires, etc., within Russia, but likely also certain types of attacks against places like the Moscow Metro and other ostensibly non-military targets, on top of even more sanctions and ostracism by the rest of the world. Question if even China would continue supporting someone who nukes a nation that posed no threat to his own, a nation he attacked.
Prevailing winds will preferentially blow radioactivity towards Russia if it uses nukes. The Winds of War There’s been a lot of talk about the potential for Russia to use nukes in Ukraine.
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archived 4 May 2022 17:52:45 UTC
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Or maybe Putin will just declare victory and declare a unilateral cease-fire on the present lines in the east/southeast. Suggest Ukraine might be heavily pressured by the West to accept those lines.
Anything can happen, and we'll see what happens. Both countries have been damaged by this war, but longer-term believe Russia will suffer most.
This war didn't have to happen.