Russian Invasion of Ukraine Megathread

How well is the war this going for Russia?

  • ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Blyatskrieg

    Votes: 249 10.6%
  • ⭐⭐⭐⭐ I ain't afraid of no Ghost of Kiev

    Votes: 278 11.8%
  • ⭐⭐⭐ Competent attack with some upsets

    Votes: 796 33.7%
  • ⭐⭐ Stalemate

    Votes: 659 27.9%
  • ⭐ Ukraine takes back Crimea 2022

    Votes: 378 16.0%

  • Total voters
    2,360
Status
Not open for further replies.
Russian Black Sea Fleet is basically fucked no matter what. Either they operate in support of other units the way they were meant to, and Western intel tees them up for the Ukies. Alternatively they sit a safe distance off the coast, become essentially useless except as a launch platform for small numbers of Kalibrs, and their other forces get fucked in their abscence (as happened with those patrol boats and the stuff on Snake Island)
They have an old Krivak II and 3 new Krivak variants with Osa/Buk air defense missiles. These aren't long range systems and vulnerable to many weapons (Bayraktar has racked up quite a few Buk kills). They are just multipurpose frigates, after all.

Controlling the air and sea off Odessa is not easy anymore as there is a great big hole in the Black Sea Fleet air defense net where the Moskva and it's S-300s used to be. Things are only going to get worse for them as the Krivaks can't carry the load themselves. Hence this new emphasis on setting up AD on Snake Island and it being interrupted multiple times.
 
Russia is a corrupt mafia state and I will make no denials there. But it’s useful to have any alternatives to globohomo at this point. Under saner leadership it would be wise to align Russia with the West under mutual interests as China solidifies it’s stance as the global economic and military superpower and conditions in the US become more undeniably out of control. I also don’t think the current US military is capable of fighting a war of the intensity that we are currently seeing, I think unit viability would begin to fall apart and you would see mass desertions, mutinies, and just tactical paralysis. This doesn’t bode well in a future ruled by China
Not sure how they are an alternative. The Russians are certainly experienced in Globohomo as male rape is endemic in Russian forces through dedovschchina / дедовщина, grandfather rule where young conscripts are routinely sodomised. A lot of these soldiers are ex-convicts, so prison sodomy is a way of life to them. Concerning Red China, it is suffering a collapsing property bubble, and cannot even properly copy Russian jet fighters. Their two aircraft carriers are risible and their ability to conduct any sort of operation beyond missile strikes against Republic of China / Taiwan has to be doubted. The United States Army has no issue with intense combat. The Russians appear to have that issue as their military effort is overwhelming rocket and artillery fire, the war of a low morale army. Russia claims they have lost only 1,351 troops, against 23,000 Ukrainians as of April, less than the visually verified loss of 3472 vehicles, which includes 1237 vehicles, and each of the 1909 vehicles destroyed means at least three men dead or incapacitated. Given the pell mell retreat from Kyiv, the official statistics are a joke. The Ukrainian Security Service, the FZU intercepted a communication where Russian soldier (they have no encrypted communications capabilities) was claiming that 25,900 were lost over three months. This exceeds what Ukraine claims for Russian losses by a few thousand.

Homosexual rape of Ukrainians - Another source

Russian soldiers forced into prostitution


Russian troops lose control over Kharkiv of Tsyrkuny, Kharkiv oblast​

Russian invaders continue offensive operations in eastern Ukraine and are attempting to maintain a land corridor to the temporarily occupied Crimea.
Meanwhile, the enemy has lost control over Tsyrkuny in the Slobozhanskyi direction and failed to advance towards Virnopillia.
The relevant statement was made by the Strategic Communications Department of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU StratCom) on Facebook, an Ukrinform correspondent reports.
“The enemy continues to conduct offensive operations in the Eastern Operational Zone in order to gain full control over Donetsk Region and Luhansk Region, and maintain a land corridor between these territories and the temporarily occupied Crimea,” the report states.
In the Volyn and Polissia directions, Russian troops did not take active actions. The separate units of the Armed Forces of the Republic of Belarus continue to perform tasks to cover the section of the Ukrainian-Belarusian border in Brest Region and Gomel Region. The threat of missile and air strikes from the territory of Belarus is persisting.
In the Siverskyi direction, the separate units of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue to carry out tasks to cover the Ukrainian-Russian border in Bryansk Region and Kursk Region. Russian troops are hardening positions within the border areas of Kursk Region.
In the Slobozhanskyi direction, the enemy focused efforts to prevent Ukrainian forces from advancing towards the state border of Ukraine. Russian troops enhanced the groups of the 20th Combined Arms Army and the 1st Tank Army of the Western Military District with reserve units. The enemy launched artillery strikes near Prudianka and Slatyne.
As a result of the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Russian invaders lost control over Tsyrkuny.
The enemy attempted to launch an offensive in the direction of Vernopilla but failed, suffered losses and retreated.
In the Donetsk direction, Russian troops focused efforts to gain full control over Rubizhne and make preparations for the offensive on Lyman and Sievierodonetsk.
In some areas, Russian invaders continued to launch artillery, missile and air strikes using operational and tactical aircrafts. The enemy also attempted to gain control over Oleksandrivka but failed.
In the Mariupol direction, Russian troops continued to block the Ukrainian defense forces within the Azovstal plant. The enemy continues to conduct assault operations with the support of artillery systems and tanks.
In the Novopavlivka and Zaporizhzhia directions, Russian invaders did not conduct active hostilities.
With the support of aircrafts, Russian troops attempted to conduct offensive operations in the direction of Poltavka, Zaporizhia Region, but suffered losses and retreated.
Near Polohy, Zaporizhzhia Region, the Ukrainian defense forces successfully inflicted fire damage to Russian troops, having destroyed some of their ammunition and military equipment. The enemy personnel left their positions.
In the Southern Bug direction, Russian troops are keeping the defense and launching missile strikes on military and civilian infrastructure. The enemy did not conduct offensive operations in the Kryvyi Rih direction. Russian invaders opened fire on the positions of Ukrainian forces with mortars and artillery systems.
Russian occupiers are suffering significant losses in battles with the Ukrainian defense forces. Over 100 wounded servicemen of the airborne troops of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation were revealed in the village of Burchak.

source

The source is the Ukrainian government news agency, but I give more credibility, even in its exaggerations, than the claims made by Russia.

'No change' would be a reasonable summary of the overall position.
 
The blockade of Azovstal from the sea. This is the closest distance to Azovstal I have seen on video

POV fighting

apocalyptic footage from Mariupol .

07.05.22, Sevastopol: The patrol ship "Admiral Makarov" is still afloat.
photo_2022-05-07_15-26-10.jpg
 
Arestovich confirms that sinking of Admiral Makarov is a hoax.

On the 0:57 of this clip he says that Makarov was not sunk and it all was "some kind of misunderstanding".
In other news:
All women, children and the elderly were evacuated from Azovstal, Ukrainian Deputy Prime Minister Iryna Vereshchuk reported.
Arestovich also confirms this.
Attacks on Azovstal might intensify to give Putin a W before Victory Day, but i doubt they can take it before the main event. Who knows.
 
Last edited:
A non sequitur reminder that Lord of the Flies is bullshit and the exact opposite happened when a group of children actually was stranded on a deserted island and the author of Lord of the Flies was a miserable piece of shit who hated himself and humanity and everything

So what you're saying is:

I've got the conch, I've got the conch!

You've got the conch, you've got the conch!

Xir has got xer conch, Xir has got xer conch!

Eveeeeerybody's got zer the conch!
 
Ukraineans is the Aryan race.The Saxons who serve to the Ukraineans are half-Aryans! The Ukraineans have fought the russians since Hyperborean times!
YAHWEH IS A PIG. OUR GOD IS PERUN AND DZIVA. THE SAXONS SHOULD SERVE TO THE UKRAINEANS. JESUS CONSIST OF PIG YESHUA. WE EAT PIG MEAT AND THE JEWS DON'T BECAUSE THEY CANNOT EAT THEMSELVES.

IT IS UNIMPORTANT WHAT THE PRO RUSSIAN SCUM BLEAT. IT IS IMPORTANT THAT THEY ARE UNIMPORTANT.
roa.jpg
 
07.05 The Russian Defense Ministry reported on the repulse of the Ukrainian attack on Snake Island .


Satellite photos have been found showing an attempt of a naval landing on the island of Zmeiny from the AFU. In the picture from May 7, 2 vessels of the Ukrainian Navy are in the frame, heading from the island towards mainland Ukraine.


Another photo shows the contrails of jet planes near the island.


The fate of both ships is not clear from the photo, but the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation reported the destruction of the Ukrainian amphibious assault boat Stanislav, as well as aircraft, helicopters and UAVs of the Air Force

View attachment 3257863View attachment 3257865View attachment 3257867
Also before that, the Ukrainians bombed the island with the help of bayraktars. I'm not sure about the dates.

View attachment 3257874
I'm kind of curious as to why they tried to retake snake island. The position is not really particularly useful to either side. It would be useful if there was an airfield there, but as far as I know, there isn't one.
 
Ukraineans is the Aryan race.The Saxons who serve to the Ukraineans are half-Aryans! The Ukraineans have fought the russians since Hyperborean times!
YAHWEH IS A PIG. OUR GOD IS PERUN AND DZIVA. THE SAXONS SHOULD SERVE TO THE UKRAINEANS. JESUS CONSIST OF PIG YESHUA. WE EAT PIG MEAT AND THE JEWS DON'T BECAUSE THEY CANNOT EAT THEMSELVES.

IT IS UNIMPORTANT WHAT THE PRO RUSSIAN SCUM BLEAT. IT IS IMPORTANT THAT THEY ARE UNIMPORTANT. View attachment 3258450
The power of Vril gonna go right up they buttholes!
 
  • Like
Reactions: NickGer
I'm kind of curious as to why they tried to retake snake island. The position is not really particularly useful to either side. It would be useful if there was an airfield there, but as far as I know, there isn't one.
honestly agree, wasnt even convinced Russia occupied it beyond pinching whomever was stationed on that might as well be lighthouse point.

The longer this goes on the longer this entire conflict seems fake and gay to restoke the global military defence complex.
 
@protec cat I completely forgot about about Russian army hazing and their homoerotic rituals that would disturb even the worst fraternity. They are called Dedovshchina and Russians used to spread them to other Warsaw pact countries. Interestingly enough, all of that gay crap was done away with the moment these countries ditched Russia.

You forgot Bulgaria, who joined the EU in 2007. Their population dropped 11.5% from 2011 to 2021. Millions have left. Two thirds of the loss is attributed to emigration, the remainder of ethnic Bulgarians are not having enough kids to replace deaths (Roma continue have lots of kids as expected).

It’s optimistic to compare Ukraine to Poland and Czechia. Ukraine is even poorer and more corrupt than Bulgaria and Bulgarians are emigrating. I hate to be pessimistic but it will not be easy to convince young Ukrainians back.
That's true. Ultimately it depends on how Ukraine plays its cards. I think that Poland comparison is more fair, as both countries are similar in population size, each region has a large city that serves as an industrial and administrative hub, and both countries border relatively affluent neighbor (Poland has Germany, and Ukraine has Poland). Ukraine has a bonus in the form of some of the world's most fertile soil and raw resources. Bulgaria never had more than 10 million people and vast majority of Bulgarians live in Sophia's metropolitan area. They do not have a rich neighbor or resources to bolster their economy either. Bulgaria is more similar to Baltic states.

I think that western investment will be enough to not turn Ukraine into a desert. Patriotism and opportunity to restart and rebuild your own country will only help. A lot of Ukrainians abroad are there as refugees, mostly in temporary housing. Most will likely be send back home whether they want it or not.

Don't forget why they are abroad either. Ukraine's emigration rate kept going up the longer they were stuck under Russia's sphere of influence. Then the Crimean Crisis caused another wave, and now Russia's intervention caused yet another. I fail to see Russia as Ukraine's savior. In fact, Russia is experiencing a severe brain drain since everyone smart enough to realize how bad things are in Russia flees if they have means to do so. Even oligarchs' and politicians' wives, children, and babymommas live in western countries. Kids usually study in globohomo universities in California or elsewhere in the west.
 
Last edited:
half-Aryans
Why you people so obsessed with Iranians?
I'm kind of curious as to why they tried to retake snake island. The position is not really particularly useful to either side. It would be useful if there was an airfield there, but as far as I know, there isn't one.
My brain is too smooth to evaluate the strategic significance. Try asking Givi.

But it is obvious that it would be a proporganda victory with a boost of morale and the potential to get a second breath for foreign investment and news coverage.
 
@protec cat reply bug

The Russians appear to have that issue as their military effort is overwhelming rocket and artillery fire, the war of a low morale army.
Oh my god what the fuck does this even mean. Every war of any relevance since the proliferation of artillery has been heavily dependent on artillery superiority. Mass artillery usage is the hallmark of an army that wants to fight a real war against an enemy with a real army, you can throw all the tanks, planes and infantry you want at places like Popasna and Rubizhne, you're going to do fuck all if you aren't bombing the place to shit 24/7 and any piece of shit small city can be instantly turned into a meatgrinder with the installation of trenches and proper machinegun emplacements and defensive fortifications that cover eachother and funnel the enemy into kill zones.

The large amounts of artillery in the Russian army is basically one of the few things that they do well. Stalin was a retard, but when he said that artillery is the God of war he was completely and 100% correct. Most Ukrainian casualties in this war, as with any other war when one country fights another with artillery superiority, will have fired 0 shots out of their rifles and never seen or heard an opposing soldier. There is absolutely no other weapon that could hope to ever replace something as simple as a howitzer or MLRS system. The value of being able to lob thousands of tons of explosives at your enemy from relative safety is one of the biggest force multipliers that there is in any war, especially as MANPADS became so common that air power isn't what it used to be anymore, though air supremacy is obviously always nice to have.

It has nothing to do with low or high morale. Artillery wins wars.

Russia claims they have lost only 1,351 troops, against 23,000 Ukrainians as of April, less than the visually verified loss of 3472 vehicles, which includes 1237 vehicles, and each of the 1909 vehicles destroyed means at least three men dead or incapacitated.
That's not how battlefield losses work at all. Many of those lost vehicles were probably abandoned after running out of fuel or in a hasty retreat, or knocked out by something that didn't kill the crew, such as an AT mine or hit that didn't immediately light up the turret carousel. In most tanks, unless it burns and the crew can't get out in time, crew survivability tends to be decent, with around 1 crewmember dead per knockout in the 1940s, when most tanks had around a 60% chance of burning on hit. APCs and IFVs, which are easier to knock out with things like basic RPGs, may have better crew survivability by pure virtue of having weaker weapons used on them and be effective, but this just isn't something we can knowingly comment on because it will probably take a decade until we get real numbers on the crew survivability of the T-72 when it gets hit by an NLAW, or a Javelin, or a Stugna, or a whatever the fuck. For what it's worth, the T-62, in some tests, did worse than the first Abrams but OK in general.

I will not comment on official loss numbers because nobody is sure of how many men they've lost or killed; and even if they were, they would not make it public information for more than obvious reasons.

Given the pell mell retreat from Kyiv
This is false. The retreat was surprisingly orderly, not much useful equipment was left behind and from my knowledge, no soldiers were killed or captured in this withdrawal. It's probably been one of the highlights of the Russian campaign in the North of the country, in general, not that there are many to begin with.

The Ukrainian Security Service, the FZU intercepted a communication where Russian soldier (they have no encrypted communications capabilities)
Why do people believe Ukrainian glowniggers? No, the Russians aren't openly communicating without encryption, this was a Twitter meme that was completely unfounded and the media ran with. These calls are impossible to verify and likely faked. This is like believing everything the CIA or the KGB says, jesus. Their entire career is based on deception and glow ops, this is fine and they're doing their jobs, but people who want to comment on this war shouldn't be taking glowie releases seriously.

I'm not going to comment on the MoD claims because while the Russians almost certainly aren't telling the full truth about what happens daily in this war, the Ukrainians have been caught several times lying about retaking villages that never had any Russian presence in the first place, or using videogame footage to brag about their epic wins, as well. Nobody has 100% certainty of what's going on in the ground, if they did, they'd probably be the most effective intel gatherers to ever exist anywhere.

But of course, the greatest lies are always the ones of omission; notice how the press release does not mention Popasna, at all, or their attack on Snake Island?
 
I'm kind of curious as to why they tried to retake snake island. The position is not really particularly useful to either side. It would be useful if there was an airfield there, but as far as I know, there isn't one.
Much needed propaganda win. Some people are either questioning or entirely refusing the narrative of ukrainians winning all the time.
 
07.05 The Russian Defense Ministry reported on the repulse of the Ukrainian attack on Snake Island .


Satellite photos have been found showing an attempt of a naval landing on the island of Zmeiny from the AFU. In the picture from May 7, 2 vessels of the Ukrainian Navy are in the frame, heading from the island towards mainland Ukraine.


Another photo shows the contrails of jet planes near the island.


The fate of both ships is not clear from the photo, but the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation reported the destruction of the Ukrainian amphibious assault boat Stanislav, as well as aircraft, helicopters and UAVs of the Air Force

View attachment 3257863View attachment 3257865View attachment 3257867
Also before that, the Ukrainians bombed the island with the help of bayraktars. I'm not sure about the dates.

View attachment 3257874
Why the fuck is their hip hop using what sounds like a childs xylophone? Did Zelensky just hire some dude who really likes circus music for some reason?
 
  • Agree
Reactions: NickGer
I'm kind of curious as to why they tried to retake snake island. The position is not really particularly useful to either side. It would be useful if there was an airfield there, but as far as I know, there isn't one.
Location to put air defense assets now that Moskva is gone. They were taking out a Tor-M1 site and fucking up the garrison and their boats. Not retaking the island. That was the cope the Russian MoD put out there for why things went all explodey.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back