Russian Invasion of Ukraine Megathread - Episode III - Revenge of the Ruski (now unlocked with new skins and gameplay modes!!!)

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IIRC order for the speshul military operation got served after Boris Johnson told Putin, in diplomaticspeak, to shove Dumbass and Lucas up his ass and cry him a river.

Britain is a nuclear power though. Trying to proxy war with Britain might result in them responding with nukes. In the interests of not triggering WWIII, Russia should have just given up the territory inside of Ukraine controlled by their allies.
 
Britain is a nuclear power though. Trying to proxy war with Britain might result in them responding with nukes. In the interests of not triggering WWIII, Russia should have just given up the territory inside of Ukraine controlled by their allies.
you're talking about 'spent cucked empire Britain'? That one right?
 
Britain is a nuclear power though. Trying to proxy war with Britain might result in them responding with nukes.
Funny you should say that. A lot of us have been making exactly the same argument to pro-USA people about America's proxy war against Russia.

And fwiw, it is only a figleaf of a proxy by this point. If America provides a missile system to a Ukranian, provides live co-ordinates to the Ukranian for where to point it over the radio derived from US satellites over the warzone, tells the Ukranian which button to press and when the role of the Ukranian is, what exactly? To drive the truck with the missile system on it into roughly the right area. To any objective person, nearly all the important parts are materials and actions by the USA against Russia.

Russia was fueling & supplying a civil war.
Again, funny to hear such an argument when many have been saying the same to the USA for years in a variety of countries. Funny even more so when the Ukranian civil war kicked off with a US-backed coup. I can see Agenda Poster has been getting it in the neck from several here but Agenda Poster last time I debated with him made an argument of self-interest. It's actually much easier to poke holes in the arguments of those seeking moral justifications for their side. Well, certainly when that side is the USA. Remove the plank from your own eye and all that.


Now if you'd typed that ALL IN CAPS I might have thought Death had joined the discussion.

Agree, btw. (So long as you're not talking about the musical!)

Yeah I'm sure Putin was well aware of what Ukraine's promises were worth-nothing. Good thing Merkel confirmed it recently.
I think Russia acted in such a way as to guard against it being a lie. And in any case, it collapsed rapidly so it made no practical difference. But I think they hoped it was made in good intent. After all, it might be in the US neocons interests for them to collapse but for European people it's a bad thing. Putin has more than once made a critical mistake in thinking that European leaders will put European people's interests first. Which on the whole they haven't. Germany is in a bad way already and this becomes a WWIII scenario then Germany is the battleground. Putin's timing of the invasion to me suggests strongly that he was relying on the obvious harm that would be done to European industry and economy if they took a hard stance against it. I think he hoped that would be enough to dissuade strong sanctions. Maybe over time he might have proved right if the pipeline hadn't been destroyed severely damaging negotiating positions. But in any case, European leaders have proven very willing so far to cut off their nose to spite their face.

Plus you have things like his conversation with Macron where he repeatedly wanted the leaders of Donetsky and Luhansk to be the representatives and must have thought Macron had lost his mind when he insisted on negotiating with Russia only. That to me suggests naivety about European's sincerity with the Minks agreements.

Frankly, Merkel publicly saying such a thing is extremely damaging to future negotiations and European reputation. To the point that we have only three explanations that I can see. (i) She doesn't care and is just trying to please a particular audience by presenting herself as some shrewd war strategist. (ii) She is actively trying to make peace negotiations harder for her successor to prevent reconciliation. I could actually see this one given that there is a sizeable political faction in the country who would be in favour of that. The last thing Merkel would want would be the AfD to swoop in and declared they''d brokered peace agreements. Can you imagine?

This conflict is going to wrap up sooner, rather than later; it only becomes a protracted slog if another country provides fresh meat soldiers for the meatgrinder.
Frankly I don't at all share your optimism. For a start, Poland seems willing to provide soldiers. And the US could well think they'll follow the same strategy as in Syria where they began with funding terrorists rebels and then with salami tactics seemed to invisibly end up with US boots on the ground literally escorting barrels of Syria's oil out of the country. I mean, see my opening comments - the US already has boots on the ground. We're currently just in the situation of Russia pretending not to notice.

War is a genie that is very hard to put back in the bottle. Especially when those who stand to gain don't also stand to lose. It takes generations for feuds to die. Every person killed in this war so far, is a reason for somebody close to them to hate the opposing side. Parents for the previous generation, brothers and sisters for the current, sons and nephews and daughters for the next. Grandsons and grandaughters for the next. From one person killed on the battlefield. Has the war on family in America been so successful that they have forgotten how much blood ties mean in the rest of the world? The only question is where they direct their grief and anger. And as we can see from the Ukranian approach to educating children, the powers that be have gotten very good at directing anger to their own ends.


But how is that an excuse for escalation? I mean, giving up some territory is a small price to pay, and clearly there won't be any further encroachment or Special Services blackops fuckery.

None of this is excuse for escalating a proxy conflict with three other nuclear states. Putin is just reckless and wants nuclear war.
I'll give you a reason for giving up the territory. Perhaps the reason that matters most: The people who live there want it that way. They've participated in Ukraine democratically for a long time, and when they no longer found themselves represented in that democracy (a coup overthrowing the elected leader they supported, a current president who campaigned on a platform of peace and ending the war with them suddenly doing a complete about face, opposition parties banned), they said we want no part of this, we want to govern ourselves. There's a reason for 'territory being given up'. A country is an abstraction. Especially one created in recent memory by a dictator drawing lines on a map. It's about as solid a claim as Argentina's to the Falkland Islands because Phillip of Spain one day drew a big circle on a bad map half-way around the world. The people there want their independence. To me that's one of the best reasons for it. And no, the Western Ukranians don't have some ancestral claim to it that predates it.


Why debate low IQ mongrels
Same reason I do - so that others aren't sucked into it. Ignorant people are the weapons of Evil people. If you don't point out the obvious lies to them, a good portion will believe it.
 
Britain is a nuclear power though. Trying to proxy war with Britain might result in them responding with nukes. In the interests of not triggering WWIII, Russia should have just given up the territory inside of Ukraine controlled by their allies.
Nukes are not weapons, they're more like a machine gun in a MMA fight - sure you can 100% win but at the cost of getting 25 to life. Nobody has the balls to use nukes because they know they'll go into history as Super Mecha Death Hitler and their country will be reduced to bottom bitch status by the rest of the world, forever.

Nobody really wants to nuke St. Petersburg or Moscow despite the fact it would break Russia overnight by doing so. It's not only astronomically bad PR but the equivalent of slaughtering all the scholars and craftsmen of a city you want to conquer.

Nukes are good for killing millions of people, making land uninhabitable and making yourself the bad guy, things you don't want in modern warfare. It's more comfy to steal their money and let them starve, then blame them for asking for it.

So in short Britain has as much balls to use nukes as Putin does i.e. nada.

No, they can't just give up Ukraine. They will be shown no mercy if they do, I'm afraid.
 
After all, Ukraine wants a Nuclear war between US and Russia, and has no issue attacking Poland to get it, and blaming it on Russia.
What the fuck are you even talking about? The supposed accident with Ukraine's air defense system that killed two people? I say "supposed" because I'm not convinced it wasn't a Russian missile that did it, with NATO blaming Ukraine as a way for Russia to save face. Either way it was an collateral damage and no one stupid enough to think anyone is going to start a nuclear war over it. Read the history of the Cold War, far worse has happened at times with even greater tensions and WWIII was still averted.
 
Nukes are not weapons, they're more like a machine gun in a MMA fight - sure you can 100% win but at the cost of getting 25 to life. Nobody has the balls to use nukes because they know they'll go into history as Super Mecha Death Hitler and their country will be reduced to bottom bitch status by the rest of the world, forever.

Nobody really wants to nuke St. Petersburg or Moscow despite the fact it would break Russia overnight by doing so. It's not only astronomically bad PR but the equivalent of slaughtering all the scholars and craftsmen of a city you want to conquer.

Nukes are good for killing millions of people, making land uninhabitable and making yourself the bad guy, things you don't want in modern warfare. It's more comfy to steal their money and let them starve, then blame them for asking for it.

So in short Britain has as much balls to use nukes as Putin does i.e. nada.

No, they can't just give up Ukraine. They will be shown no mercy if they do, I'm afraid.
Nukes are used in the face of an existential threat. You use them when you know that you as a political entity are done.

Unfortunately that's how Russia perceives this. They invaded because they were about to have NATO forces on their border backed up by a bellicose country ready to serve as its spearhead. The US president has called for removing the country's head and senior US officials have been open about their desire to undermine Russia, break up the federation into petty warring ethnostates. And the USA has enough form of military aggression and colour revolutions to in no way pull a "that's just talk". People in the West don't seem to get Russia's point of view at all. To them this is an existential thread.

The only country to ever use nukes aggressively is the USA and they've been pursuing the goal of nuclear primacy - i.e. the ability to launch a nuclear first strike so overwhelming that there can't be a counter-strike - for the last couple of decades.

Russia would use nuclear weapons if they felt they were actually under an existential threat. And the US leaders and foreign policy seem determined to make Russia feel so. I don't share your faith that it can't happen.
 
You will stick with your mod, but you know I am correct here.
You don't mod obviously biased people for controversial sections of the site.
This is akin with making a tranny janny for the LizFongDingDong and Stinkditch. These are rudimentary administrative practices that you know very well, because you have a lot of experience and you're intelligent.
For the same reasons I cannot be a mod, ever, because I am just as biased.
Additionally, moderators should not involve themselves in heated controversial topics, other than to moderate and calm down the situation.
This you also know and I am 100% you have a closed section of the site that is suggesting exactly that to the mods. I've admined large tech sites myself, for money. I know how things go.
Even though I am correct, I am also offtopic, but in private, maybe you'll consider what I said.
Cheers Jersh.
Look man, regardless of what the mod believes in the fact you are not thread banned speaks volumes, it means they are doing their job by allowing your misguided opinions. Everyone here should be allowed an opinion or take on things. If the previous mods of this section of the site were in charge you would have been thread banned a long time ago. Look if you do not like their opinion do something constructive like post new war footage of the side you don't like getting blown up or something instead of complaining about biases.
 
Look man, regardless of what the mod believes in the fact you are not thread banned speaks volumes, it means they are doing their job by allowing your misguided opinions. Everyone here should be allowed an opinion or take on things. If the previous mods of this section of the site were in charge you would have been thread banned a long time ago. Look if you do not like their opinion do something constructive like post new war footage of the side you don't like getting blown up or something instead of complaining about biases.
I promise to post war footage from Moscow once NATO supplies Ukraine with long range missiles
 
Nukes are used in the face of an existential threat.
What existential threat? The Zerg?
The worst Russia is going to suffer when they lose is a repeat of merry 90s, that's not much of a threat to anyone capable of pushing the button.
Why didn't Israel nuke Palestine or Iran already?
 
Ukraine is winning, right?
They are doing better than anyone expected when this conflict began. Ukraine managed to force a Russian retreat from Kiev and central regions. Later they carried out several large offensives that forced further retreats from South and East. One of them resulted in Kharkiv oblast being abandoned by Russians. They did not even annex it, in contradiction to claims Russian leadership made earlier in the conflict. Ukraine ended big offensives in mid fall, likely due to weather, missile attacks, and so they can build up forces. Factories, warehouses, and lately even military assets deep within Russian territory continue to catch on fire. Bridge sabotage made supporting Crimea difficult for Russians. Their navy has been keeping distance after Moscow was sunk. Russian air forces are acting rather cautious too. A new set of sanctions will take effect in few days and that will further disrupt Russia's economy. Ukraine started getting better equipment from the west lately and promises of more financial aid. They and Europeans got lucky with the weather too. This winter is pretty mild and heating season almost half way done. Germans won't freeze to death as some pro-Russian propaganda used to claim.
Things are far from being well for Ukies, however. Ukrainian infrastructure is still getting bombarded to smithereens, hindering Ukrainian military and general populace. Lots of non-infrastructure targets get hit too. Russians had several months now to train their mobiks and have been moving troops around lately. A new defense lines have been set up to make large offensives against Russian positions difficult. There are rumors that another run at Kiev is in cards and Ukraine started evacuating civilians from Kharson.

In my eyes, the longer this conflict has gone, the better Ukie chances got. It's still hard to tell who will win this. Whoever will, it will be at a great cost. For all the advancements Ukraine made, they are getting hit hard by Russian rockets. Relentless bombardments worked for Russia in conflicts prior to this but Ukraine is a far tougher target with more foreign support than something like Chechnya.

Time for a Ukrainian history lesson.
Galilee? Proto-Ukrainian territory, home of ancient Ukrainians who then migrated to Halychyna. Also proto-Ukrainians were the ancestors of the Galls, just in case you weren't paying attention.
Nazareth? Proto-Ukrainian territory, from there ancient Ukrainians have monitored the water ways.
Jerusalem? Also proto-Ukrainian because it has "Rus" in it, for some reason.
Tripoli? Also proto-Ukrainian, it means tri polya, "three fields".
Jesus Christ? Obviously Ukrainian.
All the apostles except Judas? Ukrainian.
Judas? Jewish, somehow.
Every country has nutbags like that. They are very rarely taken seriously and usually isolated. Russians have Fomenko's New Chronology - a theory that history until about 1600s was falsified to legitimize the bible and hide the fact that Russia used to be a mighty empire always playing a prominent role in Europe since very beginning. Some of the wackier claims are that Jesus was born in Crimea, recorded history actually began around the year 800 AD, and that the city of Rome in historical records is a placeholder for actual Rome, Constantinople, or of course Moscow depending on the context.
Books about New Chronology supposedly sell in millions compared to this Ukrainian loon who has only tens of thousands of views. There are even people in Russian academia who consider New Chronology viable.

So with nearly a year to this clusterfuck, what's exactly the Russian goal for this war? Conquering one half? Replacing the government with their own puppet government?
Did they even say what their original end goal was?
Officially, it's protection of Russians living in Ukraine from persecution, de-nazification, and de-militarization of Ukraine. In his speeches before invasion, Putin mentioned that creation of Ukraine was a mistake of the communist government and that Russia is ready to demonstrate a real decommunisation - that implied an integration into Russian sphere on some level, maybe accompanied by a land grab. That interpretation is supported by a recording of Putin's speech that leaked this past spring, rush to capture Kiev, and then another rush to formally annex partly controlled oblasts soon after Kharkiv offensive ousted Russian forces from that region.
Specific objectives have been kept vague, however. That allows for the success to be defined later on based on what Russia accomplished when it has to end the conflict.
 
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