Culture Tranny News Megathread - Hot tranny newds

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https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/ar...school-attack-caught-camera-says-bullied.html

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A transgender girl accused of assaulting two students at a Texas high school alleges that she was being bullied and was merely fighting back

Shocking video shows a student identified by police as Travez Perry violently punching, kicking and stomping on a girl in the hallway of Tomball High School.

The female student was transported to the hospital along with a male student, whom Perry allegedly kicked in the face and knocked unconscious.

According to the police report, Perry - who goes by 'Millie' - told officers that the victim has been bullying her and had posted a photo of her on social media with a negative comment.

One Tomball High School parent whose daughter knows Perry said that the 18-year-old had been the target of a death threat.

'From what my daughter has said that the girl that was the bully had posted a picture of Millie saying people like this should die,' the mother, who asked not to be identified by name, told DailyMail.com.

When Perry appeared in court on assault charges, her attorney told a judge that the teen has been undergoing a difficult transition from male to female and that: 'There's more to this story than meets the eye.'

Perry is currently out on bond, according to authorities.

The video of the altercation sparked a widespread debate on social media as some claim Perry was justified in standing up to her alleged bullies and others condemn her use of violence.

The mother who spoke with DailyMail.com has been one of Millie's most ardent defenders on Facebook.

'I do not condone violence at all. But situations like this show that people now a days, not just kids, think they can post what they want. Or say what they want without thinking of who they are hurting,' she said.

'Nobody knows what Millie has gone through, and this could have just been a final straw for her. That is all speculation of course because I don't personally know her or her family, but as a parent and someone who is part of the LGBTQ community this girl needs help and support, not grown men online talking about her private parts and shaming and mocking her.'

One Facebook commenter summed up the views of many, writing: 'This was brutal, and severe! I was bullied for years and never attacked anyone!'

Multiple commenters rejected the gender transition defense and classified the attack as a male senselessly beating a female.

One woman wrote on Facebook: 'This person will get off because they're transitioning. This is an animal. She kicked, and stomped, and beat...not okay. Bullying is not acceptable, but kicking someone in the head. Punishment doesn't fit the crime.'


FB https://www.facebook.com/travez.perry http://archive.is/mnEmm

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Good news for women and children in Scotland: “Battle Of Britain: Rishi Sunak Set To Block Scotland's Gender Recognition Law” (www.huffingtonpost.co.uk, archive.ph)

Not unexpected but welcome nonetheless. The problem is that the UK Parliament has primacy, certain matters are “reserved” to it so the devolved parliaments can’t make laws on them, and the Scottish Gender Recognition Reform Act undermines the functioning of the UK-wide Equality Act 2010.

Whatever troons and Scottish nationalists might claim, this is a very clear example of a devolved administration enacting legislation that undermines the rights and protections of the residents of the other three countries.

MurrayBlackburnMackenzie published an excellent summary of the legal problems here: (murrayblackburnmackenzie.org, archive.ph)

edit: Naturally, men in dresses are pissed off;
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(twitter.com, archive.ph)
 
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After losing his teaching position, tranny gets kicked out of synagogue to much seething.
(JTA) — When Talia Avrahami was asked to resign from a job teaching in an Orthodox Jewish day school after people there found out she was transgender, she was devastated. But she hoped to be able to turn to her synagogue in Washington Heights, where she had found a home for the last year and a half.
The Shenk Shul is housed at Yeshiva University, the Modern Orthodox flagship in New York City that was locked in battle with students over whether they could form an LBGTQ club. Still, Avrahami had found the previous rabbi to be supportive, and the past president was an ally and a personal friend. What’s more, Avrahami had just helped hire a new rabbi who had promised to handle sensitive topics carefully and with concern for all involved.
So Avrahami was shocked when her outreach to the new rabbi led to her exclusion from the synagogue, with the top Jewish legal authority at Yeshiva University personally telling her that she could no longer pray there.
“Not only were we members, we were very active members,” Avrahami told the Jewish Telegraphic Agency. “We hosted and sponsored kiddushes all the time. We had mazel tovs, [the birth of] our baby [was] posted in the newsletter, we helped run shul events. We were very close with the previous rabbi and rebbetzin and we were close with the current rabbi and rebbetzin.”
Avrahami’s quest to remain a part of the Shenk Shul, which unfolded over the past two months and culminated last week with her successful request for refunded dues, comes at a time of intense tension over the place of LGBTQ people in Modern Orthodox Jewish spaces.
Administrators at Shenk and Y.U. said they are trying to balance Orthodox interpretations of Jewish law, or halacha, and contemporary ideas around inclusion — two values that have sharply collided in Avrahami’s case.
Emails and text messages obtained by JTA show that many people involved in Avrahami’s situation expressed deep pain over her eventual exclusion. They also show that, despite a range of interpretations of Jewish law on LGBTQ issues present even within Modern Orthodoxy, the conclusions of Yeshiva University’s top Jewish legal authority, Rabbi Hershel Schachter, continue to drive practices within the university’s broader community.
“I completely understand (and am certainly perturbed by) the difficulty of the situation. Nobody wants to, chas v’shalom [God forbid], oust anybody, especially somebody who has been an active part of this community,” the synagogue’s president, Shimon Liebling, wrote in a Nov. 17 text message to his predecessor. But, he continued, “When it came down to it, the halachah stated this outcome. As much as we laud ourselves as a welcoming community, halachah cannot be compromised.”
Liebling went on, using the term for a rabbinic decision and referring to a ruling he said the synagogue rabbi had obtained from Schachter: “A psak is a psak.”
The saga began this fall, several weeks after Avrahami lost her short-lived job as an eighth-grade social studies teacher at Magen David Yeshivah in Brooklyn, which she had obtained after earning a master’s degree at Yeshiva University. She had been outed after a video of her in the classroom taken during parent night began circulating on social media.
Around the High Holidays, when Orthodox Jews spend many days in their synagogues, Avrahami learned that people within the Shenk Shul community were talking about her, some complaining about her presence. As she always had, she had spent the holidays praying in the women’s section of the gender-segregated congregation.
Concerned, Avrahami reached out to the new rabbi, Shai Kaminetzky. He confirmed the complaints and told her he wanted further guidance from a more senior rabbi to deal with the complex legal issue before him: Where is a trans woman’s place in the Orthodox synagogue?
For Avrahami and some others who identify as Modern Orthodox, this question has already been resolved. They heed the rulings of the late Rabbi Eliezer Waldenberg, known as the “Tzitz Eliezer,” an Orthodox legal scholar who died in 2006. He ruled that a trans woman who undergoes gender confirmation surgery is a woman according to Jewish law.
But Waldenberg’s determination is not universally held among Orthodox Jews — and one prominent rabbi who does not accept it is Hershel Schachter. In a 2017 Q&A, Schachter derided trans issues, saying about one trans Jew, “Why did he decide that God made a mistake? He looked so much better as a man than as a woman.” He also suggested that a trans person asking whether to sit in the men’s or women’s section should instead consider attending a Conservative or Reform synagogue, where worshippers are not separated by gender.
“We know we’d have no problem if we were at a Reform or Conservative synagogue when it comes to the acceptance issue. The thing is, that’s not the only thing in our life,” Bradley Avrahami told JTA.
The couple became religiously observant after spending time in Israel and the two now identify as Modern Orthodox. They were married by an Orthodox rabbi in 2018, and when they had their baby via surrogate in 2021, it was important to them that the infant go through a Jewish court to formally convert to Judaism. Avrahami seeks to fulfill the Jewish legal and cultural expectations of Orthodox women, wearing a wig and modest skirts. The pair both adhere to strict Shabbat and kashrut observance laws.
“We didn’t want to be the only family that kept kosher at the synagogue, we didn’t want to be the only family that is shomer Shabbat and shomer chag,” Bradley Avrahami added, referring to strict observance of the Sabbath and holiday restrictions. “It kind of becomes isolating.”
Kaminetzky kept both Talia Avrahami and Eitan Novick, the past president, in the loop about his research, in which he consulted with Schachter. It was a natural place for him to turn: He had studied at Yeshiva University’s Rabbi Isaac Elchanan Theological Seminary and learned from Schachter there. And while the Shenk Shul includes members not affiliated with Yeshiva University, it is closely entwined with Y.U., occupying space in a university building and hiring rabbis only from a list of options presented by the university.
After speaking with Schachter, Kaminetzky reached a conclusion, according to messages characterizing it by Liebling, the synagogue president.
“He made an halachic decision that Talia isn’t able to sit in the women’s section for the time being,” Liebling wrote Nov. 17 in a message to his predecessor as president, Eitan Novick. But Liebling left the door open for change, writing, “All in all, the ‘official shul policy’ is still being decided.”
He said Kaminetzky had spoken extensively the previous evening with the Avrahamis and had been determined to share his judgment in a way that was respectful “despite the difficult-to hear halachic conclusion.”
Liebling added a parenthetical: “I honestly can’t imagine how difficult it is for them. If I were told I couldn’t sit in the men’s section, I’d be beyond heartbroken and likewise feel displaced.”
Talia Avrahami did indeed feel heartbroken. She told Kaminetzky and others that she felt like she wanted to die, alarming her friends and prompting some of them to reach out to the rabbi. “The concern about Talia’s well-being is likewise the #1 — and only — factor on my mind right now,” Kaminetzky told one of them that night.
The Avrahamis stopped attending the Shenk Shul, but they held out hope for Kaminetzky to change his mind, or for the synagogue to set a firm policy that would permit her participation. Over the next six weeks, though, they heard nothing — a situation that so disappointed Novick that he and his wife also stopped attending. (Kaminetzky’s third child was born during this time.)
“We really feel like this is a pretty significant deviation from the community that we have been a part of for 11 years, which has always been a very accepting place,” Novick said. “This is just not the community that I feel comfortable being a part of if these are the decisions that are being made. It’s not just about the Avrahamis.”
While Avrahami waited for more information, Yeshiva University and Schachter were already in the process of rolling out what they saw as a compromise in a different conflagration over LGBTQ inclusion at the school. Arguing that homosexuality is incompatible with the school’s religious values, Yeshiva University has been fighting not to have to recognize an LGBTQ student group, the YU Pride Alliance, and has even asked the Supreme Court to weigh in after judges in New York ruled against the university. This fall, the school announced that it would launch a separate club endorsed by Schachter, claiming it would represent LGBTQ students “under traditional Orthodox auspices.” (The YU Pride Alliance called the new club “a desperate stunt” by the university.)
Multiple people encouraged Avrahami to make her case directly to Schachter. When she headed to a meeting with the rabbi on Jan. 1, she hoped that putting a face to her name and explaining her situation, including that she had undergone a full medical transition, might widen his thinking about LGBTQ inclusion in Orthodoxy.
The meeting lasted just 15 minutes. And according to Avrahami, who said Schachter told her she was the first trans person he had ever met, it didn’t go well.
In an email to another rabbi who attended the meeting, Menachem Penner, Avrahami said Schachter had called her “unOrthodox” and accused him of “bullying Rabbi Shai Kaminetzky into accepting bigoted psaks.”
Penner, the dean of Yeshiva’s rabbinical school who is also the founder of a support group for Orthodox family members of people who identify as LGBTQ, characterized the conversation differently.
“Rabbi Schachter rules that it is prohibited to undergo transgender surgery and does not accept the opinion of the Tzitz Eliezer post-facto,” he wrote in an email response that day in which he denied that Kaminetzky had been pressured to follow Schachter’s opinion.
“That’s simply a halachic opinion that many hold,” Penner wrote. “He did not call you ‘unorthodox’ — you come across as very sincere in your Judaism and he wished you hatzlacha [success] — but simply said that the surgery was unorthodox, meaning it was not something that is accepted by what he feels is Orthodox Judaism.”
The meeting so angered Avrahami that she asked Liebling to refund her Shenk Shul dues that day, saying that Kaminetzky had kicked her out of the congregation.
“Of course! I’ll send back the money ASAP!” Liebling responded. “I’m so sorry how things are ending up.”
Yeshiva University and Schachter, through a representative, declined to comment, referring questions directly to the Shenk Shul. Kaminetzky directed requests for comment to a representative for the Shenk Shul.
“We have had several conversations with the Avrahamis and we understand their concerns,” the Shenk Shul said in a statement. “It’s important to emphasize that the Avrahamis were not asked to leave the congregation.”
That response doesn’t sit right with Novick, who said blocking Talia Avrahami from praying on both the men’s and women’s sides of the synagogue was tantamount to ejecting her.
“They seem to be trying to have their cake and eat it, too,” he said of the synagogue’s leadership. “They may not be wrong in saying they didn’t tell Talia she was ‘kicked out’ of Shenk, but they’ve created a rule that makes it impossible for her to be a full participant in our community.”
Bradley Avrahami argued that the rabbis who ruled on his wife’s case were short-sighted, giving too little weight to the fact that Jewish law requires Jews to violate other rules in order to save a life. Referring to that principle and pointing to the fact that transgender people are at increased risk of suicide, he said, “It was pikuach nefesh for the person to have the surgery.” His brother, he noted, survived two suicide attempts after coming out as trans.
“They really just don’t understand the harm that they caused when they make these decisions and put out these opinions,” Bradley Avrahami said. “A rabbi should not take a position knowing that that position will cause someone to want to harm themselves.”
Bradley Avrahami said he has received several harassing calls to his work number at Yeshiva University’s Azrieli Graduate School, where he is liaison for student enrollment and communications and taught Hebrew in the fall 2022 semester. Talia Avrahami, meanwhile, has struggled to find a job to replace the one she left under pressure in September, although she recently announced that she had landed a temporary position.
For now, they are attending another synagogue in Washington Heights, though Talia says she and her husband would consider returning to Shenk Shul if she were invited back and permitted to participate.
So far, there are no signs of that happening. On Jan. 1, after her meeting with Schachter, Talia sent a WhatsApp message to Kaminetzky.
“We elected you because you said you would stand up for LGBT people, not kick us out of shul,” she wrote.
The message went unanswered.
Link | Archive
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For Avrahami and some others who identify as Modern Orthodox, this question has already been resolved. They heed the rulings of the late Rabbi Eliezer Waldenberg, known as the “Tzitz Eliezer,” an Orthodox legal scholar who died in 2006. He ruled that a trans woman who undergoes gender confirmation surgery is a woman according to Jewish law.
I think this is the most surprising thing about the article. Jews go through Bar Mitzvahs to be confirmed as, well, men. Presumably "she" did as well. IIRC most hardcore Jews don't recognize the female equivalent of Bat Mitzvah; the whole idea of a female coming of age ceremony is only a little over a century old. (Not sure if "Modern" (?) Orthodox do or don't. Whatever makes one a Modern Orthodox in the first place might be an interesting article.)

gender confirmation surgery
As an aside, how do you confirm what nobody can apparently define?
 
On the other hand its astonishing how these radfems still can't/refuse to see how their bullshit ideology led to this, they remain completely loyal to all their insanity including "cops are bad m'kay" even in the face of the consequences of their actions quite literally punching them in the face.
Some men are pervs. Man blames women because some men are pervs. Stop the presses!
 
edit: Naturally, men in dresses are pissed off;
You know, I could almost buy it after a couple beers on account of how ugly people on that island are. Little wonder they're especially delusional in Scotland considering those people are almost as drunk as the Irish.
 
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As expected, the UK government has blocked the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Act Bill passed recently at Holyrood. Trannies seething. (bbc.com, archive.ph)

Edit: Technically it's still a Bill rather than Act because ’is Maj hasn't signed it.
The UK seems like it is one of the few developing countries fighting back against this troon nonsense. Why is this?

Everybody in mainstream US culture seems like it is still popping pink pills daily, with no end in sight.
 
The UK seems like it is one of the few developing countries fighting back against this troon nonsense. Why is this?
In comparison with the US, I guess broadly because transgenderism didn't become a "culture war" issue, at least partly because the people who first organised against the proposed GRA reforms were trade unionists and feminists. We also have the advantage of consolidated health systems, so it's possible to have something like the Cass Report that causes a fairly big shift "in one go". (The situation in Sweden and Finland is somewhat similar.)

But it's not all roses, and the picture is far more complicated than that.

The health systems are devolved so the Cass Report findings won't necessarily be adopted by NHS Wales or Scotland (or the HSC in Northern Ireland). Were there some hypothetical free vote on some pro-trans legislation in (the UK) Parliament, I wouldn't dare to bet on the outcome, but it's more likely such a thing would pass in Scotland (as with the GRR) or Wales. (Partly I think this is because MSPs and MSs like to appear to outflank the ruling Westminster government.)

Plus let's not forget that it was the Conservatives who originally planned to reform the Gender Recognition Act 2004 and bring in sex self-ID.

Very mixed bag, and a long way to go still.
 
My Lord there are some dumb takes on the GRR veto:
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(twitter.com, archive.ph)

This TIF was issued her Gender Recognition Certificate in March 2022, in England, under the terms of the Gender Recognition Act 2004. The UK government's veto of the Scottish GRR Bill does not affect anyone who wishes to seek such a Gender Recognition Certificate, ie nothing changes.

Also, she lives in England (and is wearing an England football top!) so she wouldn't have been eligible for a quickie GRC under the Scottish Bill.
 
Headcount of UK prison inmates (plus similar data from NZ, and Queensland, Aus) shows mtf's are 5x more likely to be convicted sex offenders than normal men, and well over 500x more likely than women.

The Rorschach Test

Posted on January 10, 2023 by Mar Vickers
The release of some early 2021 census statistics relating to gender was greeted with glee and elation by Nancy Kelley, CEO of Stonewall in the UK. Vindication at last!

(Kelley declined to mention that her figure of 262,000 was substantially less than half the number of trans and non-binary individuals – 600,000 – that her organisation has habitually claimed for years.)
The census suggested that England and Wales are home to 48,000 transwomen (and 48,000 transmen), from the total who’d answered No to the voluntary question asking if their gender identity aligned with their sex at birth.
(The largest number that said No, around 118,000, didn’t tick the boxes of transwoman, transman or non-binary, nor wrote in their own. An unknown number of these may have been rejecting “gender” altogether. 30,000 ticked “non-binary” and 18,000 wrote in a gender because they were REALLY special.)
But, as we’ve been told time out of number, we must accept what people say about themselves. So 48,000 transwomen it is. So few. So vulnerable. And that number got me thinking.

Because one of the few places we’ve been counting transwomen, transmen etc all along has been the prison population, for the fairly obvious reason that we (officially) have single sex prisons in the UK, and trans offenders need to go somewhere just like everyone else does.
You would have needed to suffer from a fairly extreme form of sensory deprivation not to have at least heard of or read the “scare stories” like Karen White, a trans-identifying male sex offender who was put in the women’s estate, and proceeded to sexually assault female inmates who could not escape White’s predations because, y’know, prison.

Trans activists have targeted prisons as a place where self-ID can be rolled out in practice before it was made law. A series of FoI requests of the Ministry of Justice had found an ever increasing number of trans prisoners, and there was a significant kerfuffle when Fair Play For Women (FPFW) – a feminist organisation that has done a lot of work on the clash between women’s rights and trans rights – reported that 48% of trans prisoners in the England and Wales system were incarcerated for sex crimes, while the percentage for women was miniscule.
BBC Reality Check infamously followed this up in 2018. I say “infamously” because when their initial enquries proved that FPFW were broadly correct – 60 of 125 trans prisoners at the time were sex offenders – they provided a series of excuses and reasons why readers shouldn’t believe those figures.
Some of those reasons were not wrong. There very well may be trans prisoners in the system who are “closeted” for the stay and don’t show up in those stats. The hard number of 60, however, was reliable. It was the floor, the number we were certain of at that time. There were at least that many trans-identifying offenders in the prison system for sexual offences.
At the time, we simply didn’t know how many transwomen were in the country, so we relied on estimates by groups with skin in the game. In 2018 the Government Equalities Office, using some work done by trans advocacy group GIRES, produced a tentative estimate of between 200,000 and 500,000 trans people in the UK, which would suggest (assuming a roughly even distribution by sex) between 100,000 and 250,000 transwomen.
The Prison Service also helpfully provided statistics for the number of prisoners by sex and offence type for the period in question (click to enlarge):

At the moment in question there were 125 women incarcerated for sexual offences (mostly as accomplice to male offenders and mostly against children). The same spreadsheet shows 13,332 males were in prison for sexual offences
2017 was bang between censuses, so we only have an official estimate of the number of women in England and Wales at the time: 30 million (and 29.5 million men). Still, we now can do some basic mathematics to work out proportions of incarcerated sex offenders to wider population:
13,332 men out of 29.5 million = 1 in 2,212 men
125 women out of 30 million = 1 in 240,000 women
Given the tentative GIRES figures, there was a little ambiguity over the possible trans figures, so we’ll calculate both a min and a max.
60 out of 250,000 (max) transwomen = 1 in 4,166 transwomen
or
60 out of 100,000 (min) transwomen = 1 in 1,666 transwomen
So, it seemed, transwomen were somewhere between a bit more likely than men to be imprisoned as sex offenders and a bit less likely. In any case they were, many, MANY times more likely to be sex offenders than actual women.
But then a funny thing happened.
Partially due to COVID, the number of incarcerated sex offenders of both sexes went down. As of 2021, men dropped as of 2021 from 13,000 to around 11,000 and women dropped from 125 to around 110.
But transwomen sex offenders went up. Way up. Over 50% up. So when the question was asked in Parliament in 2022, we got the following answer:

We checked, and the number held in the women’s estate is exactly five at last count (we believe it was four at the time of the question). This meant a total of 92 transwomen were in jail at that moment for sexual offences, compared to 60 just a couple of years earlier.
So now we have hard counts for sex offenders in prison as of March 2021: 11,660 men and 103 women, plus 92 transwomen.
Alert readers will not have forgotten the start of the story – the 2021 census, and Nancy Kelley’s delight at the first firm count of transpeople in England and Wales. So we can match those numbers up to the now-known numbers of transwomen.
11,660 men serving time for sex offences out of 29.5m = 1 in 2530 men
103 women serving the same time out of 30.4 million = 1 in 295,000 women
92 transwomen serving the same time out of 48,000 = 1 in 522 transwomen
That suggests transwomen are five times more likely than other men, and 566 times more likely than women, to commit sexual offences. That’s not a sample, not a poll, not a survey, not a representative focus group. It’s a hard count.
However, it may be a low count of transwomen, because we know that only around 20% of the people who said their gender identity didn’t align with their sex specifically identified themselves as transwomen. For all we know, the non-binaries and others might all be males, treated as transwomen for prison purposes.
We don’t think it’s at all likely, but for scrupulous fairness let’s add them:
92 out of 96,000 [transwomen AND non-binary AND “other”] = 1 in 1,044
That would still make transwomen more than twice as likely as other men, and 292 times as likely as natal women, to be sex offenders.
But is it just England and Wales, and perhaps the denial of self-ID, that has produced this disturbing behaviour trend? Let’s compare with a haven of self-ID: New Zealand, where it was introduced late in 2021.
According to the 2021 NZ Stats Household Economic Survey, New Zealand had 19,400 trans or non-binary people, from an overall population of 2.5m females and 2.4m males. From that total 4900 were transwomen, 5500 were transmen and 9000 were non-binary or ‘another gender’.
According to the NZ Dept of Corrections in mid 2019 there were 5442 sentenced prisoners on the NZ prison estate, consisting of 5149 males and 293 females. Of these prisoners, around 35 were transwomen.
Just over 21% of New Zealand’s 5442 prison population were primarily incarcerated for sex offences – 1175 prisoners, of which five were female and 15 were transwomen, leaving roughly 1155 ‘cis’ males.
So, assuming there was no cataclysmic change in numbers between 2019 and 2021 we can make the following rough calculations – not as definitive as England and Wales, but good enough for government work :
1155 males from a 2.4 million population = 1 in 2018 men
5 females from a 2.5 million population = 1 in 500,000 women
15 trans identifying males/transwomen in 4,900 = 1 in 326 transwomen
Or, if we were super-generous and again assigned EVERY non-binary a male sex:
15 transwomen in 13,900 = 1 in 927 transwomen
And even with the kindest possible interpretation, transwomen were incarcerated for serious sex offences at more than twice the rate of men, and more than 500 times the rate of women.
Thankfully one of the few limitations of self-ID in New Zealand is a more or less hard bar on any sex-offending transgender prisoner being sent to the prison of the sex they attacked. Readers may recall that the SNP and Greens voted down a similar protection in Scotland, where the Scottish Government’s botched census means Scotland will have to wait another year for its hard population figures.
But from currently available statistics we can note that Scottish prison stats show the number of female sex offenders on the average day in 2021 was 3.9.

The Scottish Prison Service has also stated that six trans sex offenders, out of 16 trans prisoners in total, were currently in the estate, all of them males (ie transwomen).

Scottish Transgender Alliance estimate the Scottish transgender population between 1500 and 4000, according to Scottish Women’s Aid. If the England and Wales experience holds, the real number will be toward the lower end of that estimate, and the number of transwomen will be between 700 and 2000, tending towards 1000. But for the sake of argument we’ll be generous and take the top end of the range: 2000.
The last estimate of Scottish women (by Eurostat) was 2.74m, and 2.65m men. Which would give us 2021 figures for Scotland of:
1298 men in jail for sex offences out of 2.65m = 1 in 2042 men
5 women in jail for sex offences out of 2.74m = 1 in 548,000 women
6 transwomen in jail for sex offences out of 2000 = 1 in 333 transwomen
The small numbers cause larger deviations, but the trend is as clear as a bell. Per capita, transwomen consistently appear far more likely to be convicted sex offenders than either natal women OR non-trans men.
These proportions seem to repeat everywhere. Although Ireland’s self-ID privacy laws try very hard to conceal the figures, we can glean from various media reports that there are at least four transwomen currently in Irish prisons for sex offences, compared with three natal women – basically very much in the same ballpark as Scotland.
We find similar ratios in Queensland in Australia:

It is of course possible that these figures are being distorted by the large numbers of prisoners who self-identify as transwomen when convicted, serve their time in female prisons and then decide on release that they were men all along after all.

But that would seem to a rational observer to be a good reason to be much MORE restrictive about allowing criminals to self-identify their gender, not LESS – the precise opposite of the direction the Scottish Government is doggedly charging in.
Because everywhere we look, we see the same distinct and worrying pattern. As a famous Australian (male) sex offender was known to say : “Can you tell what it is yet?”

The Rorschach Test

The release of some early 2021 census statistics relating to gender was greeted with glee and elation by Nancy Kelley, CEO of Stonewall in the UK. Vindication at last! (Kelley declined to mention t…
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