Ukrainian Defensive War against the Russian Invasion - Mark IV: The Partitioning of Discussion

The reservoir is almost completely dry. Pic related was from a week ago. Expect interesting things to happen here soon.
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The cooling reservoir of the NPP is currently intact, if that’s what you’re alluding to, but there’s an uptick of alarm about the situation in the last days, with Ukraine claiming that Russia has mined the dam supporting that reservoir, and other infrastructure.


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Shit might be about to get real :(
 
He also talks about how Prigozhin became a millionaire in the 90s with a chain of hot dog stands, but how does that make sense when hot dogs aren't that profitable? Well, what if I told you the hot dog stands also sold... drugs! It's a cash-only business on every street corner, kind of brilliant huh?

The story I heard (no source other than some russian guy) was when the mob came to shake him down for protection money, he paid up and then immediately asked for help shutting down the non-protection paying competition. They asked him to sell drugs and he sold drugs. Basically demonstrated himself as a loyal earner who while not in the russian mob wasn't some 'good citizen' so as the mob began openly operating in St. Pete's and taking businesses from people who weren't paying up, he got tapped to be the "face".
This role as a loyal stooge to act as the legitimate paper owner is how he ended up leading Wagner. Sometime between in the past 8 years, Chef started to believe his own line and that he was part of the tacticool world of mercenary work.

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You think he's gonna beat the charge of organizing an armed insurgency with this?
That last bit is an interesting perspective I hadn't considered; "See Russia? See how easy it is to take a Slavic nation's capital when you know what what the fuck you're doing? Forget two weeks, if I was in charge Ukraine would have been one in two days."
*ignores that the yooks would have shot back not opened the gates and wave as he rolled in*

What really got my attention was the reference to Lukashenko taking over Wagner. I take that to mean Prigozhin will remain as something like a board-member or CFO, while Wagner's operations will continue from Belarus (and possibly renamed).

I want you to imagine you work for a company. You like your CEO, he seems to care about his employees - pays you well, work load isn't crazy, good work-life balance compared to previous companies and ones you hear about other people working at, seems to actually appreciate you and your work. Now imagine your company is hostility taken over by a company you've been working with on a project, and new CEO appointed - you've seen those guys' face, they are paid shit and overworked.
Now imagine the CEO has the ability to order you into situations where you will be shot at and maybe killed - are you going to stick around?

This is why Chef is still alive; he's got the trust of Wagner's SF 'core' whether or not he deserves it. No one else is going to have that level of trust. Putin is almost certainly already scheming how to get someone else into that position so he can shove Chef out of a 5 story window, but that could take years.

What are you talking about? That's clearly NATO warehouses in Kiev being destroyed when Patriot batteries again fail take out a ballistic unstoppable high-tech hypersonic missile. There were 5000 Abrams, 20000 bradleys, and 30 million polish mercenaries in there. Total hohol death.
Cope and Seethe Harder, NAFO stooge.

Even once the water drains, the ground will be a muddy, silty mess for awhile, making it impassible for vehicles and difficult to traverse on foot.
Not saying you are wrong, but I don't know the exact condition of the ground, but treaded vehicles could probably cross (slowly). You could also lay down a road of pre-poured concrete blocks over the silty mud. Its also summer and it gets really damn warm and sunny there. You can see the light colored areas where I bet there's a good crust that's already formed.

Not an easy task but easier than building a bridge. Major issue with that is they're still going to be bridge the river, and former silt doesn't make for a good bridgehead support. Also having to descend/climb up the shore is going to be a fairly tall order.
 
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Ohh we clowning on russia shills? Allow me to partake.
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Also it seems the "muh-gorillions-of-stolen-ukraine-aid-sent-to-zelensky's-personal-moon-mansion" narrative has just been casually thrown aside since all that money instead went to bribing wagner nigger to launch the coup
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Also I guess "forming a mighty mittelafrican empire for russia" is yet another geopolitical masterstroke by putin that hinged on this totally-fake coup attempt
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Ya know it really is shit like this that highlights how insincere russia's sycophants truly are. They really do just want to grift all the asspats and gibdats they can from the edgetard/russian media spheres by mindlessly screeching the most retardedly tryhard shit they can think of in support of russia even if it neither makes the slightest fucking sense nor is even remotely consistent with shit they were saying mere days/hours before

We see russia utterly shit its bed once again in the most embarrassing way imaginable, and they not only declare it is infact a glorious victory for russia because "it technically didnt shit itself to death yet", but also declare that it just pretended to shit its bed and in doing so magically fucking shat in everyone else's bed.

I guarantee that if/when russia goes the way of the USSR or Warlord Era China then these same retards will declare it as yet another glorious victory for eurasia against anglo saxon globalism, either by fantasising about "how super duper badass and mad and stuff" russia will be once it pulls itself together again or by declaring russia heroically sacrificed itself to mortally wound the west......fucking somehow.....and then spin every recession, riot, hurricane and fucking herpes epidemic as a 100% confirmed sign of how russia buck broke the west forever.
 
Journo scum and Redditors are now all saying Chef blew off his "coup" because the FSB held some of his family hostage and to save their lives he stopped it.

If that was true Commander Pierogi would be the dumbest motherfucker alive, which would be quite a feat considering his competition. You're committing treason and you let your loved ones next to those people that want to hang and torture you? You're a russian warlord and care for lives?

But since he let gold and money in his St. Pete's office, I wouldn't put it past Orc Cook to do so.

The only way to know more is to see what happens to Shoygu and Gerasimov.
 
*ignores that the yooks would have shot back not opened the gates and wave as he rolled in*
It's interesting that his march on Moscow went as the Russians expected their march on Kyiv to play out (minimal resistance, people cheer on the passing troops). There's probably a message about something in that.
 
Oh yeah and putin made a speech that one of his pet monkeys declared would "without exaggeration determine the fate of russia" earlier...

TLDR: him seething about meany west somehow making meany mr wagner do the coup and how all russians totally love him still, and how the filthy traitors will be forgiven if they join the army or go to belarus
 
The missing Aid isn't a pallet of cash.
The new conspiratard theory popular in MAGA circles (e.g., patriots.win, Kim Dotcom) and pushed on the Gateway Pundit (Archive) is that the missing $6.2 billion the Pentagon announced was sent to Prigozhin by the CIA to pay him to mutiny, but then he collaborated with Putin to stage a fake coup and split the money.

It should be obvious that none of this makes any sense, starting with the fact (quoted above) that the "billions" was a theoretical value of weapons pulled out of storage and not actual money.

I first noticed this "Jackson Hinkle" (tweet in the image above) a few weeks ago when his idiot tweets suddenly started gaining visibility. Maybe Musk is taken in by his red hot zigger takes and is boosting him. North of Kyiv is swampy and heavily fortified, so no Chef is not going to lead his few thousand mercs down from Belarus to take a metro area of 3 million which the whole Russian army failed to take last year when it was more weakly defended.

To no one's surprise, Pepe Escobar also endorses this $6.2 billion theory.
 
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Putin's historic speech was a whole lot of hot air. I'm surprised by how weak he is. It looks like he genuinely cannot do anything about anything.

Edit: Here's the speech.

I downloaded a smaller encode from twitter, you can view it in better quality on the MoD telegram.

I haven't seen anything more pathetic performed by anyone remotely resembling the president in a long time. Well done, everybody. Everyone did a great job, and it's time to decorate Shoigu and promote him to the rank of marshal. The turmoil continues.
source: Girkin
Yep.
 
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Also I guess "forming a mighty mittelafrican empire for russia" is yet another geopolitical masterstroke by putin that hinged on this totally-fake coup attempt
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Does this tard just say random things that pop into his head? Wagner is under performing the French in Mali and is pissing off all the Sahel by dicking over their security attempts. Big shock, the vodka monkeys still only know how to bomb villages so it's made the situation worse.

Eritrea? Ethiopia? They're in a civil war. Excited to see Wagner's performance at ending another civil war, they've done so well in Syria.

This is without touching the bucket of sewage that is Wagner going ape shit totally is the setup for the Uber Meisterplan, 420D Checkers edition


In Eurocuck news:
Archive

German refinery signs deal for Kazakh Oil. Oil has to pass through Russia, generating transport fees.

However, in a case of I don't know who's cucking who anymore:
Archive

Russia Gas production continues to fall while oil production remains high since it can be easily exported via ship.
 
To no one's surprise, Pepe Escobar also endorses this $6.2 billion theory.
And as if my some sorcery, this living embodiment of smug retard pretentiousness shits out another shill piece about this very matter just as we begin to talk about him

When the lightning of History strikes, better cut to the chase in our first draft.
Im not sure if is just him being Brazilian, but he genuinely writes like the villain in some shitty anime fanfic.
When the lightning of History strikes, better cut to the chase in our first draft.

Here we go.
Yeah, here we go....fuck this is gonna hurt
After the extraordinary events in Russia during The Longest Day, President Putin wins on all counts.
How.

Seriously how? A fucking coup was launched against him, with minimal resistance from the russian populace or security apparatus in the regions it occurred. This is the kind of shit that happens....no sorry.... happened in places like Zaire.
Among other feats, he has made an absolute, inter-galactic ass of the whole collective West MSM – all over again.
Again.....how?

The westoid globohomo media got gifted one of the most spectacularly embarrasing state-level bed shittings in modern history and milk it for all its worth.
He rallied virtually every Russian to end the Special Military Operation (SMO) – or “almost war” (according to some business circles) quicker.
Once again.....how?

A fucking coup d'é·tat attempt that was greeted by the russian civil population with either shrugs or celebration does not reflect a gloriously rallied population. It reflects a population so fucking mindless and apathetic that Idi Fucking Amin could lead a legion of congo niggers into town with tanks with the explicit aim of annihilating russia and they would roll out the red carpet
He – and the FSB – amassed a formidable list of traitors and 5th and 6th columnists, which will be properly dealt with.
Which as this very shitpiece will go on to say is "letting them go without punishment"

Also "betrayal is great because it lets us know who the enemy within is" is something that tends to happen in dictatorships in the latter stages of being notched in to the bedpost of history

And he now enjoys unlimited freedom to deploy de facto Counter-Terrorist Operation (CTO) martial law powers.
Ok.....and?

The fucks he gonna do now, put Zelensky on trial in absentia for terrorism?

As much as Putin helped perennial Lukashenko in August 2020, preventing regime change in Belarus, good ol’ Luka prevented Russia from sliding into civil war in June 2023.
Jungle-nigger please.....if the memetic potato man is the only thing preventing your state turning in to a giant fucking former Yugoslavia, your state is not fucking winning shit.

A complex wide-ranging counter-terror op is now in effect in Moscow and beyond, while assorted Western sub-zoology specimens are stunned, dazed and confused: wasn’t that supposed to be Putin meeting his Czar Nicholas II moment?
"Haha! russia only shot itself in the gut and not in the head! another glorious victory for the sensual mr putin!"

A first glance at the chessboard tells us that all the pieces seem to be falling in their right places.
I seriously want to see this huehue creeper get the gadaffi treatment with every piece of a chessboard, followed by the board itself. Same goes for every other retard simpering about fucking chess in relation to putin

Prighozin gets a golden parachute in Belarus.
So uh, is this "Properly dealing with traitors" nigga?

Shoigu may be about to be sacked, perhaps even Gerasimov (yes, there are deeply dysfunctional layers inside the Ministry of Defense).
I love this accidental fucking tell that beyond masturbation fantasies, this retard knows absolutely fucking nothing about the inner workings of the state he worships.

The Wagner musicians will be incorporated as a regular Army Corps. They may keep doing business in Africa: demand is huge.
Ah yes, more of that "properly dealing with traitors" I see.

So what really happened after The Longest Day? Hefty CIA funds may have changed hands. But in the end the “coup” could turn out to be the Greatest Russian Trolling of the West Ever.
Here we are at "THE CIA TOTALLY SPENT GORILLIONS IN SEKRIT BRIBING WAGNER BUT SEXY MR PUTIN WAS TOO CLEVER!!!" stage of cope

As mentioned before, there goes the last year of "ukraine is stealing all the aid money and gibdats it gets" narrative down the terlit

The Mother of All Maskirovkas
Can someone please identify what specimen originally came up with the "MUH MYSTERIOUS RUSSIAN SUPER GENIOUS MACHIAVALIAN TRICKSTERS!" myth back in the day? I want to find out what grave I need to defile.

Once again, facts on the ground prove Putin is the undisputed champion of Russia.

After keeping a strategic silence for a few hours, his intervention gathered full support from the civilian population, the FSB, the Chechens, the Army, the Communists, everyone.
I once hid in the closet during a home invasion while my wife was being gangraped, after they left and I crawled out she praised me vociferously for my strategic silence.

Also as for full support, why the fuck did nobody beyond the few elements of the russian air force who later turned into craters and greasy smears by the highway actually fucking stop the coup? Why did they get literal celebrations on the streets of the places they went?

The exact terms of the deal between Luka and Prighozin, with help from the governor of the Tula region, Alexey Dyumin, are still unclear.
Self declared russia expert once again reveals he doesnt actually know shit about whats going on in russia

Prighozin said he was satisfied with the terms. Peskov confirmed on the record that a criminal case against Prigozhin would be dropped.
Something something proper-treatment-of-traitors something

A key Prighozin demand was the twin resignation of Defense Minister Shoigu and Chief of Staff Gerasimov. That may – or may not – happen in the immediate future.
Im wondering if he is trying not to make any short term predictions because of how regularly these blow up in his face

And that brings us to the still fascinating possibility this was the Mother of All Maskirovkas. Prigozhin sets up all this circus just to get a meeting in Moscow with Shoigu and Gerasimov.
I once covered myself in the contents of a septic tank and then stabbed myself in the kidney with a rusty piece of rebar at a local Fuddruckers so that I might get a meeting with the janitor, twas quite the maskirovka

Talk about an overkill just to go out on a date.
Ya know the whole "shill is sexually aroused by the subject of his fawning" jibe has been overused for the last century, but Im starting to think this may actually be the case with this guy given the language he uses at times.

The Mother of All Maskirovkas scenario also implies a move worthy of 5D chess.
The fact this limp wristed tryhard was almost certainly sexually abused as a child is a fact that brings me much joy in life.

On Saturday, Wagner was 200 km away from Moscow.

Yet on Sunday, Wagner was 100 km away from Kiev.
Yeah and if you put him on a fucking rowboat off the coast of virginia he would be like 50km away from Washington DC

Your point?

Next level Sun Tzu Art of War, anyone?
The real Sun Tsu would have your ass skinned alive for sodomy

Between sovereignty and betrayal

Alexander Dugin correctly points out how this was also an exercise in Sovereignty: “Only Sovereign Lukashenko, together with Sovereign Putin himself, confronted [Prighozin]…It turned out that many can frame the President and the people, acting in the shadows and apparently on his behalf, but saving the Fatherland in a critical situation is not their specialty.”
I guess begging for help from a supposed minion to save your ass from a coup technically counts as sovereignty, in a Darrel Brooks sovereign citizen manner of speaking.

Also how could this be "saving muh fatherland in a critical situation" when you just said it was all fake?

The corollary is that Russia needs “a sovereign elite, otherwise everything will repeat itself.”
If its dependent on assistance from an outside state thats not very fucking sovereign

As for the dazed and confused collective West, especially the NATO-Kiev junta, with everyone instantly rebranding Wagner from “terrorists” to “freedom fighters”, getting bogged down in their own swamp is the art they excel in.
Yet to be fucking evidenced even from the most cancerous and mindless westoid media sources but I guess he doesnt want to feel the burn of being clowned on by the fucking gawker demographic right now.

Mainstream media spun that the proverbial “Western officials” were “taken by surprise” by the mutiny. That depends on the amount of funds that changed hands, and in which direction, during
the preparation.
Of course, westoid media knew all along but were bribed by muh CIA to stay quiet

The SMO, now CTO keeps rolling along. The Russian Army continues to fight, undisturbed.
When russia makes effectively zero fucking progress in a year its a glorious russian victory

The “counter-offensive” remains teetering over the edge of a cliff, ready to kiss the black void.
When ukraine makes slow progress in a fortnight it shows how pathetic and weak ukraine is and how certain its annihilation is

Putin winning on all counts implies the whole civilian population – and the military – engaged into preserving him and the Russian institutions, as well as perfecting them. There’s absolutely no nation anywhere across the collective West where we find this level of citizen support.
Uh.......there's also absolutely no nation anywhere across the collective West where a fucking military coup was attempted in the last 48 hours, let alone one which faced zero civilian opposition and minimal establishment resistance

Russian politics is a special animal.
In a Chris Chan definition of special sure

It works at the highest level and also at grassroots level – unlike in the West, where the norm is deep hatred between the elites and the people.
"The proles don't have the balls to criticise the oligarchs who literally sent russia into yet another dark age during the 90s and this shows how wonderful russia is"

Of course it should always be stressed it’s the less patriotic Russian oligarchs who run away every time something approaching The Longest Day takes place.
Wait if russia is always #winning why on earth are this unpatriotic elite....whom you just fucking said dont exist....always fleeing the country?

For a few hours, the West was betting heavily on the dismemberment of Russia. Not now. And not in the foreseeable future.
Ok, any evidence of this heavy betting? Like anything the West or Ukraine did to capitalise on its supposedly imminent victory?

The succession is already being prepared, by Team Putin and selected patriotic oligarchs. Among the contenders, there’s a secret name that will stun everyone when it pops up. He’s still invisible in terms of public opinion, and works in the shadows. His name should remain secret for the time being.

As it stands, what matters is that Russia as whole emerged even stronger out of The Longest Day. The man and woman in the street showed himself and herself, once again, as a true patriot, ready to defend the Motherland whatever it takes.
Yet again.....HOW?

There was no confrontation between those who are pro-Russian institutions and those who are pro-Wagner.
*please ignore the charred corpses by the highway and in various piles of wreckage*

People actually support both. People regarded Wagner like the “polite green men” who helped to peacefully retake Crimea in 2014. Facing them, there was not a single policeman or military.
"the russian people fawning over the plotters of a coup proves how strong and unified the russian state is"

Jesus fucking christ....

So Putin is stronger than ever. But everyone should always keep this in mind: the one thing he can’t forgive is betrayal.
He writes to cap an article about putin forgiving betrayal

Fuck me I need a drink
 
And now for a palate-cleanser; Russian discipline in action, asserting authority over their most recent enlistees.

Just a little corrective training, consisting of a crescent-kick to the face (while astride a trench) followed a few light hammer-punches & E-tool beatdown.
Ouch.
 
And now for a palate-cleanser; Russian discipline in action, asserting authority over their most recent enlistees.
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Just a little corrective training, consisting of a crescent-kick to the face (while astride a trench) followed a few light hammer-punches & E-tool beatdown.
Ouch.
Goddamn, didn't even bother dragging him out to the woodline. Just started adjusting the dude's attitude in front of God and everybody.
 
And now for a palate-cleanser; Russian discipline in action, asserting authority over their most recent enlistees.
View attachment 5180293
Just a little corrective training, consisting of a crescent-kick to the face (while astride a trench) followed a few light hammer-punches & E-tool beatdown.
Ouch.

Ya know as of late I have really grown to appreciate the thought exercise of examining a situation I or somebody else has strong feelings and opinions on, and then changing the parties involved while keeping the context and events largely the same while still being based in reality.

You often see this tactic derided or denounced by woke online retards as its often used to highlight how fucking hateful, hypocritical, and downright fucking stupid the shit they spew is, but I feel its also extremely useful in (among other things) geopolitical analysis to try and break down preconceived myths floating around

For example, you have a largely improvised country with an obscenely wealthy and degenerate elite who spend their time and their nation's capital in the west buying the latest toys and trinkets or setting their kids up for a life of opulent and protected nepotism far away from the proles whose money they bilked.

What it lacks in modern military technology and training it makes up for with chest beating, dick rubbing declarations of its innate ruggedness and superior morale, along with overt nationalist masturbation about how uniquely perfect and fated for greatness the nation is and how weak its enemies are, all while the actual fighting conscripts are buttfucked and brutalised to "harden them up" in lieu of actual training and just about every piece of equipment imaginable they would need in an actual war is pilfered or left to rust by every level of command due to the total lack of oversight or motivation.

It starts a war with a far smaller and by every geopolitical and military analysis imaginable MASSIVELY weaker and more geographically disadvantaged than itself, only for the decades of nigh comical corruption and covered up ineptitude in the military to reveal themselves and it winds up being catastrophically humiliated, and is forced to wheel out literal museum pieces to the front line in order to try to prevent the enemy breaking through as fast.

As part of this failed invasion it enlists vast numbers of mercenaries who begin to recruit from the nation's jails to use in literal human wave assaults to try and claw something resembling a minor victory after dozens of massive defeats and humiliations.

Eventually the mercenary leader gets it in his head he could wind up running the show and attempts a violent coup, which only avoids boiling over into civil war due to a case of cold feet on his part and he flees the country.

Look at this scenario and ask yourself, why is it that your average self declared "geopolitical realist" would look at it playing out in Central Africa or 80s era South America or in the Middle East and merely shrug and say thats entirely typical for unstable third world countries that are barely of regional importance, and yet when they see it play out in russia they tie themselves in knots trying to justify how its actchully 69D chess and russia will soon lead the glorious new eurasian order and blah blah blah.

If it looks like a duck, walks like a duck, quacks like a duck, and tastes like a duck, its probably not an elaborate arrangement of hummingbirds disguised as a duck as part of a master plan to take over the pond.

Its a fucking duck.

The only differences of note between russia and Saddam era Iraq or Gaddafi era Libya or ....i dunno fucking President Ooga Booga Bix Nood era BongoBongoland are nukes, tundra, a demographics crisis, and an overblown ego.

Its high fucking time to drop the last century plus of mythologizing russia's overt and obvious defects as mysterious and enigmatic strengths that westoids "just don't get". If you would sneed sneer at this behavior from Mexico or Nigeria, dont simp for it from russia
 
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Russia Gas production continues to fall while oil production remains high since it can be easily exported via ship.
I read the point of the sanctions is not to make it impossible for Russia to export oil or gas, since that would cause worldwide economic chaos, but to make it so that the Russians can only sell at ruinously low prices.
According to official numbers by the Russian Ministry of Finance oil and gas revenue decreased by about 10% when comparing revenue up to and including April 2023 to the same time period in 2021, but who knows how reliable those numbers are.
That website is horrendous and it's possible I misinterpreted something.
I don't think comparing revenue drops from 2022 to 2023 is meaningful because of the massive speculation/panic price bubble of last year.
 
The westoid globohomo media got gifted one of the most spectacularly embarrasing state-level bed shittings in modern history and milk it for all its worth.
To be completely fair, you have a bunch of idiot journoscum doing 8 hour or less about faces on Wagner. Which isn't an issue for us because we laugh at the lugenpresse in these parts. No one in this thread was calling them "Freedom fighters"

I think the closest thing we have to a 'trusted source' is Perun, and again - I don't agree with all his conclusions but I challenge anyone to find fault with that nigga's autistic sourcing.
He paid real money so he could sit and count tanks. And because he didn't want to fuck up counting, had other people count tanks to make sure their numbers alligned. That's dedication.

Here we are at "THE CIA TOTALLY SPENT GORILLIONS IN SEKRIT BRIBING WAGNER BUT SEXY MR PUTIN WAS TOO CLEVER!!!" stage of cope
This is embarrassing, unsourced cope and I can't believe anyone is repeating it. This "I have an email that Putin has ass cancer" levels of fanfiction. But again, its vatniks. If they were smart or self-aware, they wouldn't be vatniks.
 
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Igor Girkin has presented his version of what happened, makes some sense and worth chewing on:

tl;dr Real coup attempt, failure to capture Shoigu and Gerasimov was a critical failure point. Political backing vanished shortly after that and no point in going on further to Moscow. Unclear who all was behind everything.

"I will repeat my conclusions. It was an attempted armed rebellion to remove Putin from power. There was an aim specifically to commit a coup d'état
The whole military operation was perfectly executed and prepared. A real master class. Those who have served and know at least something about an army should understand that unprepared units will not achieve such results. If the march had not been prepared, it would have ended halfway from lack of diesel and other things.
I will try to give my version of this coup attempt
Every coup has power and a political component. After the beginning of the SMO, it became clear to all that a conspiracy and a palace coup was possible. The question remained who could do it. As it turns out, Wagner was the perfect armed tool. There is a conflict with the Ministry of Defense. There was the possibility of preparing a conspiracy without fear of anything, because Prigozhin's protection is perfect. And there are many other factors as well
Timing was perfect. The Ukrainian offensive; everyone was busy managing and defending. No one could imagine someone launching an insurgency. Wagner was recovering from Bakhmut. Everyone believed that the PMC was almost incapacitated. There was a weekend ahead. Officials and enforcers were relaxed. Some were on holiday. Administration buildings were empty
Route of travel. Don route was full of people, which was beneficial to the rebels as a "human shield". Plus the longest days. Prigozhin actually admitted that they almost arrested Gerasimov in time to leave Rostov. I am sure that the aim was to arrest Shoigu and Gerasimov in Rostov. The capture of Rostov was a militarily competent action. As I have written before, it was impossible to carry out an operation in Rostov to arrest Prigozhin
Wagner's units were not just marching, they were breaking through to Moscow. What facilities were they supposed to take? That question remains open. They had every opportunity to blockade the Ministry of Defense, General Staff, Lubyanka, PA and possibly the airports. There are witnesses that strange groups appeared in Moscow and St. Petersburg in the morning and moved around in an organized manner, dressed in camouflage uniforms just about in the street
Striking at the Wagner base was a "legitimate" reason for Prigozhin to take action. What they said about the reluctance to shed blood was a lie. It started to be shed immediately. The "protest" was a lie. There was no need to fly to Moscow for that. It would have been enough to take Rostov. In such cases, almost immediately Dzerzhinsky's division is brought into Moscow. Kantemirovka and Tamanskaya were on full alert, but there was no order to go to Moscow. Putin clearly outlined what was happening. So did Sobyanin
Masses of people with their own tasks were to turn up in St Petersburg too. A GAZelle with cash was not just stored on the street. It happens when you have to distribute money to people quickly. It was like that on Maidan, by the way. Apparently, for some reason the political plan failed. Prigozhin, apparently, really did not want to take power himself. He had to provide a power plan. It is said that Putin flew urgently to St Petersburg. If so, Prigozhin stopped because there was no point in continuing the military operation. And then there were behind-the-scenes negotiations and so on
Everyone felt there was no state for about twenty-four hours. I guess in the future we will find out who the conspiracy was made for. In any case, this was just the beginning. Stakes are as high as ever. Next time the conspirators may succeed
If something looks like a duck, swims like a duck and quacks like a duck, it is probably a duck.
P.S. The main thing now is to show the public that this was not a conspiracy. We need to shift the public's attention from political categories to disputes between "economic entities" and personal grievances. That is being done."
 
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