Nick's rapid descent happened
this year, and it's not at all certain whether he will collapse further
next year. It might be possible, but it's not
certain.
Hell, there's a non-zero chance that Nick has an epiphany and does a Ralph in 2024. Or that his local community/church/whatever does a successful intervention. Or that he wraps his car around a tree with one of his kids in it, driving drunk at 7 A.M., and swears off alcohol entirely. There are many things that can result in his "Lolcow of the Year" chances in 2024 looking much like Ralph's chances are looking in 2023.
And if, despite all that, the spiraling continues in an even more spectacular fashion, well, there's always next year. But for now...
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I tried to make the pic similar to the typical "I voted" stickers, yet more depressing and, counter-intuitively, repulsive.