2016 US Presidential Election Thread 2 - Always Darkest before Don

first thread devolved into shitposting, here's a new one

 

[KatsuKitty]

Why don't they just rely on huffpost's comedy tier election prediction?

View attachment 150165

That's a broken model if I've ever seen one, especially after NH became questionable

Monday's prediction: Trump at -1.6% as new polling math suggests Bernie can still win the election by stealing votes never cast for him

 

[The Great Chandler]

FFS he didn't actually write those tweets. Look at his feed. Those are shoops made by someone else because it's funny to imagine Nate Silver writing that.

He did write the "kick you in the balls 20% of the time" one though.

Oh...

 

[JU 199]

Is he like 10 years old now?

Should I just write fake on them next time? lol

 

[Tranhuviya]

So, I have no idea what the bitch did to get all these people to bow down to her, but there are a couple of "debunking sites" showing some political bias in favor of Hillary:

• Snopes
• Politifact
• Any left-leaning outlet's "Fact-checker"

 

[Holdek]

empirical methodology you say?

Here is a chart with predictions on how each race/gender will vote based on previous voting cycles.

Nice chart. How where's the methodology behind it?

 

[KatsuKitty]

So, I have no idea what the bitch did to get all these people to bow down to her, but there are a couple of "debunking sites" showing some political bias in favor of Hillary:

• Snopes
• Politifact
• Any left-leaning outlet's "Fact-checker"

Does a completely objective fact-checking source exist, or does every one demand a bit of due diligence on the part of the reader?

 

[Holdek]

So, I have no idea what the bitch did to get all these people to bow down to her, but there are a couple of "debunking sites" showing some political bias in favor of Hillary:

• Snopes
• Politifact
• Any left-leaning outlet's "Fact-checker"

The Washington Post politics section too, if you're referring to Podesta's blood sacrifice feast. They've had a weekly Internet rumors compilation but yesterday dedicated the whole column to Hillary not actually being a literal devil worshiper.

Also ESPN for publishing 538.

 

[Chiang Kai-shek]

So, I have no idea what the bitch did to get all these people to bow down to her, but there are a couple of "debunking sites" showing some political bias in favor of Hillary:

• Snopes
• Politifact
• Any left-leaning outlet's "Fact-checker"

To be fair snopes has debunked a few Hillary talking points. I can tell you people are gonna start hating the word "fact-checker" after this.

 

[CWCchange]

Well a nice thing about Hillary is that she's not really part of the Left.

Sure she will loosen the laws for immigration, Dems have always done that because most immigrants voyte left but other then that she's going to keep the status quo going while bleeding out what's left of the middle class.

The big question is what will be the swing in the House and Congress be.

She certainly adheres to the economic right, considering she's owned by Soros, who's a supercapitalist and makes the Koch Brothers look like French or Japanese protectionists. So with her, we will continue to lose our economic sovereignty with large American companies splitting apart under the guise of competition, while China buys it all, and investors like Soros reap the benefits. She is however on the social left, with her 550% increase in rapefugees under B.S. "nation of immigrants" canard. If loosening immigration laws is by not enforcing any in the first place, fuck me dead.

 

[Tranhuviya]

The Washington Post politics section too, if you're referring to Podesta's blood sacrifice feast. They've had a weekly Internet rumors compilation but yesterday dedicated the whole column to Hillary not actually being a literal devil worshiper.

I saw Jace in there once while I still had a subscription.

 

[I-chi]

Listen to this grown man cry.

Huh, I was wondering when this stupid kike would say something, he's only been completely irrelevant for the past decade.

 

[JU 199]

I cant cope

 

[Tranhuviya]

View attachment 150173

I cant cope

"Hello, this is the Pence residence - oh, it's you.

*Slams down the receiver*"

 

[Jan_Hus]

View attachment 150173

I cant cope

Isn't this harassment according to these people?

 

[JU 199]

"Hello, this is the Pence residence - oh, it's you.

*Slams down the receiver*"

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry...-about-her-period_us_581ce1e5e4b0aac624845535

On March 27, shortly after Pence approved HEA 1337, she started a Facebook page called “Periods for Pence,” encouraging women to call Pence’s office and give the nitty gritty details of their menstrual cycles to whoever answered the phone, as well as request that that information be passed on to Pence himself.

The page ― which was changed to “Periods for Politicians” when Donald Trump chose Pence as his running mate ― has since garnered more than 75 thousand likes. But Shanley, (who remained anonymous under the pseudonym “Sue Magina,” until a Thursday interview with IndyStar) refuses to call it a movement. She told IndyStar that instead she prefers the term “action.”

“I feel like movement is a big thing and it’s hard for me as one little person to wrap my head around that. So I always hesitate to use the word movement but people have,” she said.

Shanley wants the page to be less about her and more about the community that it has fostered.

“I’m one person. I’m not this group,” she told IndyStar. “We’ve built an amazing community. There are women on here who talk back and forth all the time now and it’s a support system.”

 

[Pepsi-Cola]

Nice chart. How where's the methodology behind it?

Studied how people vote relative to their race and gender, their party allegiance, etc. The methodology is the collection of voter statistics.

 

[Holdek]

Black turnout is strong, and they're overperforming their registration share

I thought black turnout was down from 2012? Although I suppose a more accurate comparison might be 2004 since Obama is the first black president and all.

The methodology is the collection of voter statistics.

That's not methodology then because it assumes those statistics (turnout, preference) are constant over elections. Those variables from past elections can certainly inform models, but if that's all there was to it there would be no need to have polling, or even campaigns, for that matter.

Google is totally unbiased you guys.

The Hillary campaign paid for that ad space. Just like Trump is pouring money into running ads on Facebook this week.

 

[KatsuKitty]

Trump was just rushed off the stage at the Nevada rally. This kind of thing would happen if USSS thinks there's a threat.

Quite frankly, I can't wait until this dumpster fire of an election is over.

 

[Holdek]

For a long time there were a lot of registered Democrats in the South who never bothered changing their registration but hadn't voted for a Democrat since Carter or before.

Still are. It's why it's a mistake to call polls with larger Democratic samples "biased" or "skewed." While the margin has varied over time, people have self-identified as Democrats in greater numbers than Republicans for many elections.

But it also helps explains the phenomena of white blue collar Democrats (combined with declining labor union affiliation) being "Reagan Democrats," and could be Trump's inroad to winning midwestern states with his trade protectionist message.

 

[muina]

what a gay