2016 US Presidential Election Thread 2 - Always Darkest before Don

first thread devolved into shitposting, here's a new one

 

[buffaloWildWings]

Cry my a river. Did the mean old world refuse to stop for them?

One day you'll be old and weak.
You'll want the world to slow down, but it won't.
Then you'll understand, but it will be too late.

 

[Holdek]

I miss Pikimon and Holdek smugposting 538 pollwank over actual morons trying to sound intelligent.

We can make that happen.

@Pikimon

 

[JU 199]

Do you want me to start posting 538 in effort to shitpost?

They stop accepting new polls sometime tomorrow so your window is limited lol

Speaking of which-

35% isn't that bad he's doing better then Romney was last time (that was with a different model tho)

 

[Ruin]

To shield an individual from legal consequences of their crimes because they are engaged in the political process is the single biggest threat to democracy we face.

The rule of law has essentially collapsed. The justice system was never exactly even handed but this sends a message to everyone that you can buy your way out of committing a serious crime.

 

[Jan_Hus]

To shield an individual from legal consequences of their crimes because they are engaged in the political process is the single biggest threat to democracy we face.

And I'll agree with this. I can't help but think if Kasich or Bush had done something similar, the left, NBC, CNN and such would be howling for blood

 

[Jan_Hus]

They stop accepting new polls sometime tomorrow so your window is limited lol

Speaking of which-

View attachment 150388

35% isn't that bad he's doing better then Romney was last time (that was with a different model tho)

FUCKING hell. My guy had a chance to break 5% and he blew it

 

[Ruin]

And I'll agree with this. I can't help but think if Kasich or Bush had done something similar, the left, NBC, CNN and such would be howling for blood

I'm not sure how old you are but the left was constantly shrieking for Bush to be impeached over way less serious matters than what Hillary did.

 

[IwegalBadnik]

They stop accepting new polls sometime tomorrow so your window is limited lol

Speaking of which-

View attachment 150388

35% isn't that bad he's doing better then Romney was last time (that was with a different model tho)

Meanwhile, the Senate is up to a coin toss. With that in mind, it'll probably keep the Republican majority, if only by a hair.

 

[Jan_Hus]

I'm not sure how old you are but the left was constantly shrieking for Bush to be impeached over way less serious matters than what Hillary did.

I was 5 years old when bush was elected, I don't remember much.

 

[buffaloWildWings]

They stop accepting new polls sometime tomorrow so your window is limited lol

Speaking of which-

View attachment 150388

35% isn't that bad he's doing better then Romney was last time (that was with a different model tho)

So the "libertarian" candidate is siphoning votes from Trump, just like Ross Perot did with George H.W. Bush, thus ensuring a Clinton victory?
Even elections are just reboots nowadays.

 

[An Ounce of Vagina]

One day you'll be old and weak.
You'll want the world to slow down, but it won't.
Then you'll understand, but it will be too late.

View attachment 150387

Nah, I plan to drink myself to death long before that.

But I should probably stay off this thread before I really do end up hala and just stick with laughing at the SJW, Chris, and Phil.

EDIT: I've heard Conner is funny too.

 

[Null]

It's interesting that Kike Silver says Florida is leaning red and still only gives it a 35%. What states is he missing from this model? ME-1 and NH?

 

[KatsuKitty]

They stop accepting new polls sometime tomorrow so your window is limited lol

Speaking of which-

View attachment 150388

35% isn't that bad he's doing better then Romney was last time (that was with a different model tho)

dat insane rural-urban divide

 

[AN/ALR56]

I love this post. This utter lack of compassion and human decency defines the Left. It is edgelording at its finest. It's practically vintage. Do we support programs to help them educate themselves? Try to taper off dying industries little by little instead of leaving millions in poverty with no hope? Expand opportunities in rural areas where there is a lot of room and valuable resources?

"No fuck them they just grew our food must be teh exceptional individuals lol look at mah gender studies degree."

You are arguing with a sped who thinks SAUDI ARABIA IS DEMOCRATIC

 

[JU 199]

Here's a roundup of some more predictions-

NYT upshot- 84% Chance of Clinton victory
Princeton Election Consortium- 99% chance of Clinton victory
PredictWise- 88% chance of Clinton victory

 

[IwegalBadnik]

So the "libertarian" candidate is siphoning votes from Trump, just like Ross Perot did with George H.W. Bush, thus ensuring a Clinton victory?
Even elections are just reboots nowadays.

Some of the Democrats have taken to the idea that third parties were to blame for Bush's 2000 victory. In reality, the Democrats have no one to blame but themselves. While Nader picked up about 24,000 Democrats' votes, Bush gained 308,000 Democrats' votes.

Though splitting the vote is possible for third parties to do, the most famous purported example of the spoiler effect is mythical.

 

[JU 199]

What states is he missing from this model? ME-1 and NH?

NH is there and Me1-

It's interesting that Kike Silver says Florida is leaning red and still only gives it a 35%. What

Hilary has a roughly 2.8 point poll lead. If it holds she's likely to carry all her firewall states and win. If there's a massive polling error trump can win. It's factoring in uncertainty.

Btw his model cant show it but EV has been so good for Dems in NV that they've probably tied the state up. If that's true he really needs Florida to remain competitive.

 

[Absolutego]

Some of the Democrats have taken to the idea that third parties were to blame for Bush's 2000 victory. In reality, the Democrats have no one to blame but themselves. While Nader picked up about 24,000 Democrats' votes, Bush gained 308,000 Democrats' votes.

Though splitting the vote is possible for third parties to do, the most famous purported example of the spoiler effect is mythical.

Man if Nader were running this cycle (or someone parroting his views who isn't downright retarded) the Green party would probably have made it to the debates this time around. Both third party candidates are a mess this year and it's a travesty that this is the case. You have the idiot wifi woman and the stoner pseudo-libertarian who can barely articulate an isolationist foreign policy beyond "hurrr war bad we need to come together with other countries maaan".

Both the Greens and Libertarians are going to have to reform after this election to field candidates who appeal more to working class americans as opposed to the academic types they fielded this cycle.

 

[buffaloWildWings]

Here's a roundup of some more predictions-

NYT upshot- 84% Chance of Clinton victory
Princeton Election Consortium- 99% chance of Clinton victory
PredictWise- 88% chance of Clinton victory

New York Times is owned by Carlos Slim, a fat Mexican, so I would take their results with a whole lot of salt and salsa.

 

[IwegalBadnik]

Man if Nader were running this cycle (or someone parroting his views who isn't downright exceptional) the Green party would probably have made it to the debates this time around. Both third party candidates are a mess this year and it's a travesty that this is the case. You have the idiot wifi woman and the stoner pseudo-libertarian who can barely articulate an isolationist foreign policy beyond "hurrr war bad we need to come together with other countries maaan".

Both the Greens and Libertarians are going to have to reform after this election to field candidates who appeal more to working class americans as opposed to the academic types they fielded this cycle.

I don't see why Sanders didn't give it a whirl.

He has an existing base from the primaries and could probably draw some Democrats--perhaps even Republicans against Trump into backing him.