Ultimately you can ignore 99.9% of distros and never think of them. I think even on this site only a dozen distros get mentioned regularly, with most of those being experimental or for expert users only. I'd say many of those distros on that chart barely have a dozen active users and only have one developer.
Linux Mint has proven itself to be the perfect daily driver for most people, who can then eventually dip their toes into arch Linux or whatever they feel like.
Most distros are just software shipped differently than the OG distro. Write a bash script that installs i3wm and whatever software you want over archlinux and then just package it into the arch ISO, and BAM. You made your own distro. The name "distribution" is self-explanatory. Using your number, 99% of distros are just a "thanks for coming to my ted talk" re-packaging of a daddy distro.
Ubuntu is just Debian with Canonical's turds on it (snap). Linux Mint is Ubuntu without snap and with an older kernel (doing sudo apt update on it, at least back in 2017 when I was using it, proves that it pulls packages directly from the Ubuntu repos).
Garuda, EndeavourOS, are both straight-up Arch with extra scripts. There's also another 10 major variations on those. You can literally just install base Arch and install the packages they install plus d/l their scripts and get the exact same thing. Only Manjaro is a little different from Arch because it uses a *slightly* out-of-date home-grown repository with a different philosophy.
On that note, I made a distro myself based on Arch that another 40 ppl use. Wanna know how long it took? 1 hour, and that's only because I
suck ass at writing bash scripts. A good skiddie would have done it in 12 minutes.
My advice to people starting out with Linux to avoid choice fatigue is just install something super popular like Ubuntu or Kubuntu (latter ships with Plasma, which looks a little more familiar to Windows users) and play around with it in a VM until you're comfortable. Then if you want to just go pure bare metal, that's the point where you learn QEMU and play around with other distros in VMs until you find something that intrigues you more.
Don't listen to your pozzed Internet buddies who recommend some obscure distro only 10 ppl actually have a niche use for. You don't really need it. Learn to package your own distro yourself so you're happy with your experience. Or don't, and keep using what makes you happy. That's what makes this environment great, not the 203948230982098 choices you have.