US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

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Good morning/evening/whatever KiwiBros

Quick gamba update that is similarly as pants shitting as yesterday evenings.

When I jumped for my first cap this morning ~6.30am (GMT+10) Biden had blown out to $12, shittier odds than Kamala was when she was bouncing $10-$11 and she has narrowed down to $4.50, Trump sitting stable on $1.40

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Just jumped in to take another look and whoa boy, have things taken a tumble.

Kamala is down to $3.75 with a slight bump backwards for Trump to $1.50.
The big news here is that Biden is now back to $20, sharing equal odds with Big Mike. Cap @ ~9.30am (GMT+10)

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I haven't seen a turn in odds like this in a looooooong time.

Looks like Biden is thoroughly cooked.

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kosmikulduzbok said:
Afroman looking good didn't expect to see him at the Republican Nationals
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I'm sure some of the evangelicals wanted a pastor or someone to give a speech pertaining to Christian values.

Trump just picked someone who would manage to make that exciting and get the crowd worked up rather than some crusty fuck that would make the the entire audience sleepier than Joe Biden.
 
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Vaclav said:
Stacey Abrams? She would probably see losing to Trump as a boost for what's left of her career. She could exit politics and work foundations and the speaker's circuit as the ultimate victim of white supremacy, the sassy kween denied her destiny by the evil orange man.
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If Stacey Abrams get the nomination from the DNC to run for PotUS then you know, YOU KNOW, the Democrats are done.

It won't happen, as funny as it would be to see.
 
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JustWant2PlayVidya said:
Euro style gayness

Turbolefty commies

Milky tea leftists probably tied to luxury beliefs like environmentalism

Some sort of vaguely sensible union type outfit

A super cynical group of well funded cheeky cunts who will inevitably big tent the other lot to run their agenda. Bit like now really.


Hol' up, we got dat blak poetry bruh aww lawd
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Your forgetting that 20% would join the green party environmental death cult.
 
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Henry V said:
Assuming the Democrats do splinter like the Whigs, what would the initial factions be?
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I see the Democratic coalition as containing the following significant tribes:
-African Americans. Say what you will about them, but they understand their client-patron relationship with the DNC very well. They may at times talk about defecting but generally this has never been the case, at least since LBJ. The fact is without Democratic patronage through things like DEI and affirmative action, welfare gibs, etc, black people would essentially have no elite-representation in America and be a permanent underclass. If the Democratic Party is no longer in play, they may be willing to treat with the GOP but will require some similar guarantee to come to the table. They will NOT willingly accept being totally shut out and left to languish as an underclass. So if you want the blacks to break right the Republicans need to start paying the house niggers in some way too.
-Progressives liberals. Left-leaning coastal WASPs and Jews. They have the money and so would form the core of any new successor party. But of the tribes, I see them having the least issue integrating with the existing Green Party. American electoral structures preclude more than two relevant parties, so either the Green Party gets to be the successor party or some other party eclipses them and the smarter progressive liberals jump-ship to keep near power.
-Hard lefties. Tankies, trannies, student-activists, burnout-wastrels, Marcuse's gaggle of misfits and rejects. They're already plugged into things like the DSA or other openly Marxist parties, but absent elite support this cohort is just dumb muscle and larping retards. They will probably be absorbed by the dominant successor party because they respect power and lack agency.
-Hispanics. Idk, could go either way or split along ethnic lines. I predict that if Trump successfully closes the border and begins deportations, this demographic will probably fall the fuck in line and become a GOP client immediately.
-Asians. Most any successful Asians (the ones that matter) are already right wing.
-Working class/union cohort. Trump is currently trying to court them. If he succeeds, the GOP becomes this Know-Nothing-esque American working-man party and deprives the Democrats of one of their key blood-bags. Again, teachers unions and the like will remain loyal clients of the Democrat successor party, and again would have little difficulty integrating with the Greens.

If I'm forgetting any important factions or my analysis is off please contribute.
 
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Jade Philosophies said:
I don't understand what it is with Argentina and the Falkland Islands. Britain discovered the Falkland Islands (which were uninhabited, except for like penguins and shit), Britain settled the Falkland Islands. All the people living there want to remain British.
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The argument doesn't matter. Argentina lacks the force to evict the British and genocide the locals to replace them with local Argentinan settlers. Such is much of history.
It's the same argument as Germans claiming Kalingrad oblast as Königsberg despite the entire German population being free gulaged into the DDR or Sibera.

WelperHelper99 said:
"This Administraion treats illegials better than its own citizens"

"Indeed he won't take a phone call after 3 AM"

Ok Pomepo is on fire
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Pomepo is on fire yes, but his solution is probably to bomb Mexico back to the stone age causing a refugee flood to the US that we are legally obligated to accepted under the UN* (The UN and which army lmao).

*The UN conventions state that refugees must be allowed in the first safe country and from bordering countries. The solution here would just to line up and shoot everyone not from Mexico. Or just invade Mexico, form a buffer state that's stable (Think like the Republic of the Rio Grande), force them to have an extremely restrictive citizenship clause, accept only refugees from said state and shoot the rest that show up.
 
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