US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

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yazrii said:
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not trying to demoralize but am i the only one whos horrified by this map & how close it is? do i need to take my meds?

maybe its a result of preparing for a ""red wave"" in 2020, and the 2022 midterms, but with how close some of these states are (literally .1% difference within flipping distance), the idea of democrats getting a candidate that isnt a corpse or how trump was overexaggerated in the polls in 2020 really has me fucking spooked
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the 2020 polls had Trump down by a ton...and the final results, despite massive fraud, was a close race

the 2024 polls on the other hand show a massive swing from 2020 polling

2022 had a lack of noncollege / working class turnout because the GOP sucks at turning out low propensity voters. Tens of millions of Trump leaning voters who stayed home in 2022, will turn out in 2024
 
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yazrii said:
not trying to demoralize but am i the only one whos horrified by this map & how close it is?
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DJT has Pennsylvania on deep lock. And I mean deep lock.

Arizona looked shaky in January, but now it's in good shape. Georgia is in deep lock. And the direction of the polling in Nevada actually looks like it will flip.


This is a horror show for the DNC. They have to wait until August to finalize a selection and have to run a crazy hard campaign in an impossible amount of time.
 
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Fahrenheit451 said:
Not willingly, at least. It is clear the Democrats are bringing out the big guns to get him to drop, as internal pressure has so far failed. Now, they are resorting to massive external pressure, which is also failing at the moment. The likelihood of dropping out has increased, but I imagine that if he's not gone within the next week, they will ramp up the pressure for the final time.
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It seems like the more pressure they pile on, the more embarrassing and undignified the idea of dropping out becomes for him and the more he doubles down on staying in. It's all quite entertaining.
 
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yazrii said:
View attachment 6208304
not trying to demoralize but am i the only one whos horrified by this map & how close it is? do i need to take my meds?

maybe its a result of preparing for a ""red wave"" in 2020, and the 2022 midterms, but with how close some of these states are (literally .1% difference within flipping distance), the idea of democrats getting a candidate that isnt a corpse or how trump was overexaggerated in the polls in 2020 really has me fucking spooked
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Trump just took a narrow lead in Virginia as of this week. Virginia is a swing state now.

Trump's growing leads in Arizona and Nevada move those into the "leans red" category at this point too. Just got some great news from Arizona today as well: They are requiring proof of citizenship to vote now.

And CNN the other day said that if the election were held today, Trump would win at least 330 Electoral Votes.

Don't get blackpilled, but also don't get complacent, and let's make sure that this train has no brakes.
 
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JackoVerde said:
The dark Brandon thing falls apart when you realize a villain is usually Suave, intelligent, cunning and often flamboyant.
Biden is the opposite of all that, he’s not some grandiose villain.
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The Dark Brandon thing falls apart when you read his history and realize he is is a brain dead husk who has no idea who he is or where he is 99% of the time.

What they are doing to him is horrifying outside of party or country ideas.

They are abusing him and some may say, "Well Crumbs he is a life long abuser and sniffer" I say it is a crime and someone...GARLAND YOU FAGGOT should do something of merit once in your whole life. Arrest these people for elder abuse.

At least RBG held on to power with some semblance of consciousness. Biden is a vegetable being tortured.
 
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yazrii said:
View attachment 6208304
not trying to demoralize but am i the only one whos horrified by this map & how close it is? do i need to take my meds?

maybe its a result of preparing for a ""red wave"" in 2020, and the 2022 midterms, but with how close some of these states are (literally .1% difference within flipping distance), the idea of democrats getting a candidate that isnt a corpse or how trump was overexaggerated in the polls in 2020 really has me fucking spooked
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Trump wasn't over exaggerated in polls, first off. All the major aggregates had him consistently behind by 2-3 points, and some by double digits. And even with that set aside, the Democrats also cheated.

This election map is interesting because Trump'a got a couple avenues here. Nevada and Arizona, providing no fuckery, are a safe bet for Trump at this point. That brings him to 268. If Trump takes Pennsylvania, which I think is the swing state he's most likely to take, that puts him over 270 and he wins the election. Trump's up in Pennsylvania by 4 points right now, which is outside the margin of error.

The threat isn't that Trump isn't polling well—he is. Nationally, all polls are giving him a 3 point lead over Biden in swing states. The threat is that the Democrats are going to cheat again. Arizona might be alright since the legislatures actually have fought some of the fortification fuckery going on there, but Michigan and Wisconsin are fucking gone. Thoroughly pozzed with governors and legislatures who are happy to help steal an election. Pennsylvania is going to be the make it or break it state for Trump. If he can't secure Pennsylvania then imo the best he can hope for is a tie.

Edit: I'm retarded. With Arizona and Nevada Trump's at 268. I.e. he has to win Pennsylvania or he loses the election.
 
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Brian Oblivion said:
It seems like the more pressure they pile on, the more embarrassing and undignified the idea of dropping out becomes for him and the more he doubles down on staying in. It's all quite entertaining.
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From all the rumors today my guess is they're offering (Jill) Biden the chance to be king-maker to select his replacement. I.E. the nomination will go to the highest bidder. Whichever candidate can offer the sweetest package for the Biden Family as a whole, as is tradition.
 
mlanguishi said:
I don't pay attention to HHH much but know of him of course, but he's whining like a bitch after being BTFO on the Trump thread. I guess that's normal for him?

And that might be a common message we see I guess. They're going to do this I think. Wow. I guess all the pre-written talking points on the left are out now.View attachment 6208305
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failed to mention Project 2025 even once.
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Why would he mention something that has nothing to do with him?
 
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who dare wins? said:
What is the consensus? At least overseas in Australia, journalists and analysts are whinging about him 'going off script' and 'his party is disunited, he didn't use inclusive language, he is too confident' etc. Do non-americans not understand how important this has been?
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I’ve never seen the Republican party more united.
 
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yazrii said:
View attachment 6208304
not trying to demoralize but am i the only one whos horrified by this map & how close it is? do i need to take my meds?

maybe its a result of preparing for a ""red wave"" in 2020, and the 2022 midterms, but with how close some of these states are (literally .1% difference within flipping distance), the idea of democrats getting a candidate that isnt a corpse or how trump was overexaggerated in the polls in 2020 really has me fucking spooked
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people are really really stupid.
You think you understand how stupid they are, but here we are.
 
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I thought it was a great speech. Could be that I'm very generous and I would have found Trump farting into the microphone great but from where I'm sitting it was very human. Normally I expect Trump to be mostly loud and funny but this was different. There's a seriousness to it that I haven't seen in the past.

I'm going to allow myself to be optimistic, just until November. It's been such a long time.
 
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