Hurricane Milton

I just hope this destroys Disney, so I can see Disney adults cry.
It will be cosmic irony type punishment for them destroying splash mountain for the "modern sensibilities." They took out the splash. Now the splash takes them out with a mountain of water.

You want a bayou adventure? Sure! Let's turn your whole land into a bayou!
 
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What's that? You need help in a red state? Sorry we sent all our money to Ukraine instead. Shoulda voted for Slomo Joe instead of Drumpf.
Yeah if only we had all those M113s and expired Javelins to feed our kids.
The USAF managed to evacuate dozens of thousands of sandniggers out of Kabul in a week, why can't they do the same to Americans in Florida?
The short answer is there's no reason to do some massive airlift. Most people that want to leave have cars, and for the people that don't, the state government is using requisitioned public transport and school busses to evacuate people. In Afghanistan, there wasn't an interstate to just like, drive somewhere safer.
Has anyone heard anything about it Cuba will be hit by this?
If it follows the furthest south projection the western edge of Cuba will get smacked, but most projections just show Cuba getting a glancing blow with some wind and rain.
New day, new eye; With plenty of lightning to boot. Milton's lost about 40 MPH of strength over the nighttime but I'm still holding my tongue until it rails Florida.
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It's at the tail end of a wall replacement cycle. The weakening is temporary, and with the new wall, it will be more resistant to wind shear. Not to mention that, even if it does weaken, it will still pack a Cat 5 storm surge. Anyone along the Gulf Coast of Florida should evacuate immediately, because we're going to see localized surges in excess of 20 feet.
What is the potential lethality of a Cat 5 hurricane?
Katrina was a Cat 3 when it made landfall, but brought a Cat 5 storm surge with it, so the potential lethality is immense. If Milton manages to make landfall as a Cat 4 or 5 while still bringing these massive storm surges, there are areas of the coast that will have a 100% fatality rate. These numbers are simply not survivable if you're somewhere like Siesta Key and take a direct hit. If you're half a mile from the beach, and your place is five feet above sea level, you're literally going to be under ten feet of water, and nobody can save you because the wind is whipping at 140mph+.
As I've said before, there are physical limits to how large and powerful a storm can be, including water temperature and the nature of Earth's atmosphere.
 
Sarasota County official statement:

Leave Now

I can say from personal experience that the county NEVER issues a statement worded like that. Their biggest concern is people remaining calm. Evacs are suggested, repetitively, in a cheery manner. This is SO fucked.

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Shit is fucked if that’s all they’re saying. Hope people actually leave and don’t stay and attempt to ride out storm.
 
Not living in FL, so I have a question: Imagine you're "well" prepared and got food, drink and some shelter covered. What is the potential lethality of a Cat 5 hurricane? How lethal would Milton be in a full "Cat 6" scenario?
  • "You may live, but you will suffer dearly"
  • "You'll need a miracle to survive"
  • "Try to make peace with god. That's all you can do now."
The Category system is a scale of how fucked a structure is going to be if it’s hit by the winds of a hurricane Cat 5 is the maximum it can be because that’s the point where no matter how well constuctured the building is if it’s hit by sustained Cat 5 winds that is building is completely fucked and nothing can save it.
Also the answer to your question is all 3 of your bullet points but read in reverse order because there’s no help coming for anyone in the Mandatory evacuation zones who has decided they are going to try toughing it out until after the storm passes and if they are staying they no longer have any actual control over wether they live or die.
 
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I was friends with someone in bongladesh who took an economics of climate change optional course at college a couple years back and they shared the slides with me. If anyone wants to know what the climate people think will actually happen, where it will happen, and why without political spin and ‘end of the world’ doom-mongering I could host the files somewhere, just tell me which site.
 
Shit is fucked if that’s all they’re saying. Hope people actually leave and don’t stay and attempt to ride out storm.

The problem with Sarasota county is everything outside of Sarasota. Fixed income mobile home dwellers clinging to life and their $1500/mo social security have few options to leave. Their homes are always the first to be destroyed. They all live within 1/4 mile of the coast. Not enough to be beach front, but certainly enough to have the fixed income equivalent.

The good news is that many gov shelters are accepting pets so people aren’t forced to choose.
 
I think the only thing I need to know is how long it will take to shear through the state and how long the period of calm time in the eye will be.
 
I was friends with someone in bongladesh who took an economics of climate change optional course at college a couple years back and they shared the slides with me. If anyone wants to know what the climate people think will actually happen, where it will happen, and why without political spin and ‘end of the world’ doom-mongering I could host the files somewhere, just tell me which site.
Mediafire is pretty easy
 
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