US US Politics General - Discussion of President Biden and other politicians

 

[Nod Flenders]

Here's my final prediction for Tuesday.

 

[Bucephalus]

My final prediction. Locking in.

 

[WhiskeyJack]

Also, shy Trump voter is still in effect. They're still jailing people for January 6th, and if you live in a predominantly shitlib area, it's still not a popular or socially accepted view to love or even agree with Donald Trump.

Easiest way to see if shy Trump voter is in effect is to ask yourself if you're comfortable putting a Trump sticker on your vehicle or walk down the street with a red MAGA hat. If you aren't, then assume shy Trump voter is still in effect in your general area.

 

[LurkTrawl]

I will not be surprised if Trump ends up at 312EVs.

Early enough in the morning for me, that I did a double-take at 312EVs for a split-second before realizing you mean Electoral Votes, not that Trump's getting a fleet of Teslas.

 

[ZeCommissar]

I actually wonder with Trumps recent polling how many women are actually voting for Kamala? The CBS poll shows women at 55% for Kamala vs Trumps 43%. While it's CBS, and it could be (and probably is) fake news; saying Kamala has more women voters isn't some outlandish claim.

Women are usually less confrontational than men, and I have seen them use underhanded social tactics that still perplex men to this day. Does it seem like to you guys some women in their social groups might vocally support Kamala over things like abortion to avoid social excommunication? Then when they do get to the ballot where no one can see them they circle in Trump. Women slightly outnumber men, so surely Kamala should be leading more right?

I'm just genuinely curious on what you guys think about this. Is it because men are more animated than women to vote this time around? I don't see why that would be the case. Men, especially young men are certainly far more animated for Trump, but women are being very animated this election too.

 

[Sekirodiealot]

4 days away....

 

[Übertroon]

My electoral map prediction

 

[Irene and 22 others]

Less than 24 hours after it dropped, JD Vance's interview on Rogan is over 7 million views. Since it was Halloween yesterday and a lot of people were celebrating or taking their kids trick-or-treating it will pick plenty of additional views today.



Meanwhile the Kamala Harris episode on Shannon Sharpe's podcast picked up another ~100k views to nudge over the 1.4 million mark. The view count on the Call Her Daddy podcast languishes well below 1 million views. Even Kamala were to make an appearance on Rogan it's too late for it to do anything for her in the way that she needs.

I can scarcely wait for the insider accounts of her campaign to start coming out and for someone to write a book about this election. As much as Democrats are still on the Kamala train right now, they will turn on her and she will be thrown under the bus by everyone else including the Clintons, Obamas, and other party insiders who forced Biden out and handed Kamala the reins.

 

[the printer is outo fink]

Not American so might be meaningless but in 2016/17 one of the things that started me redpilling was seeing some of the utter vitriol directed at white women for supporting Trump. It was completely framed as an evil privileged white women thing. I wouldn't have liked Trump at all at the time and yet the absolute arrogance of berating women who voted in what they had decided was their best interest instead of voting for the interests of others, or that women who didn't vote for a woman were traitors, pissed me off in a way that I couldn't articulate at the time. It was literally white women's fault apparently because white women were one of the highest block of his voters. And honestly, I think that there are more women who support him now than then. There are obviously moron women who will vote for a woman just because she's a woman but a lot of us are really fed up with the gender stuff, and for some of us, the gender shit has opened our eyes to all the other bullshit.

And I wonder how much that Kamala ad about ballot boxes being secret will appeal to women like me. Instead of making "red wives" defy their husbands, they told women who are scared to voice concerns, that you can keep your mouth shut but still make a difference in the polling booth.

 

[Uncle Buck]

I feel like the stars are aligning for a complete and utterly meltdown on Tuesday/Wednesday go out and vote do your part and be ready to clip and screenshot.

The new lock and load.

 

[The Ugly One]

Rural = Conservative and Urban = Liberal is a myth and a perfect example of correlation not equaling causation.
The real truth is, sadly, a lot simpler. It's all racial. A rural, nonwhite area will vote farther left than an urban area with a significant (50-ish% or more) white majority. Alaska is a prime example of this, with the entire state being an inverse of how the rest of the country looks politically. It's a bunch of rural, nonwhite democrats that get completely outvoted and dominated politically by Anchorage.

White cities vote Democrat, too. Denver's 70% white and D+60. There were Republican cities up until fairly recently. Tough-on-crime mayors did well in Los Angeles and NYC. What happened is that in the 1990s, Republicans at the municipal level were the party of good governance. This changed in the 2000s. A few things happened.

The first is George W Bush changed the attitude of the party to God, Guns, & Country. His Yee-Haw Evangelical presentations played well in the counties and probably helped flip the south Red, but it was poison in the cities. It also helped cement this divide of GOP = Religion, Dems = Science, which again is poison in the cities. Bush also spent money like it was going out of style, so the party's reputation for fiscal responsibility went out the window.

So municipal candidates are now struggling against the party's national identity. But the other thing, which I have mentioned before a zillion times, is that libertarian ideology infected the party, so municipal candidates now run solely on "tax cuts" and refuse to address any other issues facing a city.

In the 90s, Republican mayors ran on good governance, like doing a better job of keeping the crime down and the pot holes filled, but now, libertarians say that's "socialism," so they don't run for election anything anyone gives a shit about, so they lose. Whenever I explain this to conservatives, they say some retarded slogan they heard on the radio, like, "You can't fix big government with more government."

 

[LurkTrawl]

like doing a better job of keeping the crime down and the pot holes filled, but now, anarchists say that's "socialism,"

FTFY.

This is the libertarian equivalent of calling someone who wants to establish an ethnostate 'Conservative'.

 

[WhiskeyJack]

My electoral map prediction
View attachment 6586490

No "Deseret"?

I actually wonder with Trumps recent polling how many women are actually voting for Kamala? The CBS poll shows women at 55% for Kamala vs Trumps 43%. While it's CBS, and it could be (and probably is) fake news; saying Kamala has more women voters isn't some outlandish claim.

Women are usually less confrontational than men, and I have seen them use underhanded social tactics that still perplex men to this day. Does it seem like to you guys some women in their social groups might vocally support Kamala over things like abortion to avoid social excommunication? Then when they do get to the ballot where no one can see them they circle in Trump. Women slightly outnumber men, so surely Kamala should be leading more right?

I'm just genuinely curious on what you guys think about this. Is it because men are more animated than women to vote this time around? I don't see why that would be the case. Men, especially young men are certainly far more animated for Trump this time around, but women are being very animated this election too.

Hillary got 54% and Trump got 42% of women overall in 2016, so these numbers seem basically identical.

Does the CBS poll break down the women by race and educational level? Trump got 65% of non-college grad white women in 2016, would be interesting if the racial breakdown splits a bit with Kamala being a fake black chick.

 

[Uncle Buck]

This is even better than “I never liked you, Anthony”: https://patriots.win/p/199OYbeHF1

“Bolton… he was so stupid… he was a nut job…. I could see his face get red, red, red with that stupid white mustache… he’d be ready to explode… Kim Jong Un saw him and said ‘Oh shit, I think he wants to go to war’”…

https://x.com/AutismCapital/status/1852207567042420972

 

[The Ugly One]

FTFY.

This is the libertarian equivalent of calling someone who wants to establish an ethnostate 'Conservative'.

No, I said libertarians and I mean libertarians. Our Democrat mayor cut the police to the bone in response to Fentanyl Floyd's death. This was unpopular at the time, and is still unpopular. Crime is now up over 400%. Certain areas of the city that were livable are now no-go zones. We've had an election since then, and the Republican candidate refused to even talk about the crime problem or the need to restore the police force because his idiot campaign consultants said "that's big government, we can't run on big government thinking." So he ran on tax cuts.

He lost.

Another issue, which I didn't mention because the post was getting long, is Republicans have also adopted "we go high while they go low" campaigning, which is a loser tactic. You have to bullycide your opponent. Instead, these retards all think that talking about the legitimate problems caused by Democrat rule is "going low" and "makes us look mean-spirited," you have a city with trash in the streets, bums pissing all over the bus stops, and broad-daylight murders, and the GOP mayoral candidate's mailer says something like:

VOTE FOR FAGGOT RETARD, A CANDIDATE FOR THE PEOPLE
[x] From this city
[x] Loves this city
[x] Promises to keep this city great
[x] Education is important!

because he's been told that talking about the murders and bum piss is "going negative" and "criticizing the city."

 

[Gar For Archer]

I actually live pretty close to Lancaster. I see Amish people all the time. It's pretty amusing watching someone dressed like it's the 1800s use a self-checkout in a modern grocery store. They're based af actually. Even the women.

…do the Amish have credit cards? Don’t think I’ve ever seen a self checkout that takes cash.

 

[oh no its pipkun]

If Kamala loses..in 20 years we are going to hear some stories about how bad this election was behind the scenes.

try 1 or 2 years for a book or interview anyone who ran the Harris campaign would be undesirable to other campaigns and need a job.

 

[Puff]

…do the Amish have credit cards? Don’t think I’ve ever seen a self checkout that takes cash.

A lot of them in the south do, but it's broken on about half the machines that support it. I'd assume if you have a high cash only population, you'd keep more of them and in better repair.

 

[Your Girlfriend's Dad]

how come we never hear of any pornstars dying from anal related diseases

Because they overdose or commit suicide largely before chronic Fucked-in-the-ass heart failure kicks in.

Edit: Calling it rectal cardiopathy because it's funnier.

 

[DoomsdayElite]

The guy who trolled the DNC now visited the Kamala rally, and once again he proves that the 19th amendment was a mistake.

I'm hesitant to be too optimistic but all the same, I hope I wake up on Nov 6 to see that Harris got crushed and Democrats got fucking Robocopped down ballot. The crying from vapid twits like this would sustain me for months.