2024 U.S. Presidential and State election thread - I'm gonna... I'm gonna... VOOT!!! I'm VOOOOOTING!!!

Who are you voting for?


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Seething from a friend's discord server. Pardon the shitty edit job.
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The only problem is that because Trump's two terms were bifurcated with Joe Biden, all of his accomplishments have been undone and now have to be redone, if they even can be. The Dems have successfully reversed a shitload of progress in their forever 2008 managed decline scheme. He might as well have only served his second term.
The Supreme Court decisions alone have been seismic. The wall is still mostly there, and the tax cuts will be renewed under his watch.

We can rebuild.
 
Trump can't share the spotlight, that's partly why nothing got done in his first term. He kept all the effective people out of the way. The only other people who got credit and attention were Jared and Ivanka. Trump isn't going to let Vance shine. Vance may not know that yet, but he will find it out. He will prefer his children and he will sideline Vance or try to remove him if needed
Good. The less we see of Jewed Up Vance, the better. He's obviously a manufactured candidate by the same Yale Skull and Bones crew who gave us Dubya Bush. He's compromised to all hell and probably takes it up the ass from more dudes than just his handler Thiel.
 
My official :optimistic:Rainbow Nigger :optimistic: prediction: RCP's National Polling Average has underestimated Trump by 2.5/2.9 (avg. 2.7) points ('16/'20 respectively) compared to actual election performance nationwide. Within the last week, Trump has taken RCP's average by at most 0.4 points from the Harris peak of 2.2. It currently sits at 0.1 for Harris. Even though it is two data points, the underestimate did increase 0.4 points from '16 to '20. Clinton and Biden both claimed more than their RCP averages on Election Day, but the spreads narrow towards Trump both times, 1.1 and 2.7 (avg. 1.9). Considering how early voting data turned out, I think I can justify an underestimate of 2.5, but will stick with 2.0 to be conservative. With Trump's RCP national average of 48.6 to Harris' 48.7, both performances narrowing into Trump's favor is possible. I think Trump will eek out a popular vote win over Harris, staying around 50.6%. Maybe getting to 51%.

FiveThirtyEight had Trump getting 312 electoral votes as the plurality of single outcomes for both sides on their simulation distribution graph ever since their odds started to swing towards him since the 18th. Of course, getting to 312 electoral votes for Trump would mean him getting NV, AZ, PA, WI, MI, NC, and GA. I do kinda expect it to happen. RCP's 2016/2020 swing-state polls show similar behavior to their national averages across the board.

Nothing to me suggests that pollsters have changed their ways since 8 years ago and early voting everywhere isn't looking good for Team Blue. I put Trump at improving on Biden's 2020 EC performance with 312 (vs. 306) and him eeking out the popular vote, even if by a hair.
With Trump continuing to lead 50+pts while AZ, NV, WI, and MI are counted it's very very possible he gets to 312 Electoral Votes. RCP has his share of the vote at 51.2% Please allow me to jerk myself off and say that I was pretty spot on, even if I ripped off FiveThirtyEight for the EC prediction. Anyway, goodnight Kiwitrumpsisters, there's more Knob Creek to drink.
:drink:A TOAST TO TOTAL DOOMNIGGER DEATH
 
I've never been to NH but I have met a couple of mad lads from there. "Live free or die" is still the official state motto I think.
New Hampshire is one of the few states that allow you not have car insurance, not wear a seat belt and carry guns to polling places
Its that based
 
Let's see if he's able to slowly move MAGA away from his cult of personality. When he leaves in 2028, will the people vote for swamp republicans again, or will the Trump voters stick with Vance(?) and continue what is hopefully an improvement on the Republican party?
That's the next big "what if" to happen after this. Will MAGA become a general political creed or will it go with Trump? Can it become a defined set of stances or is it just whatever he says?
 
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The following reddits are currently goldmines:
r/suicidewatch
r/depression
r/anxiety
Literal Ubermensch when their horrible bitch didn't win they picked up the razor blades, Trump crowd during dementia patient win didn't they start self harming
If anything self sufficiency and bracing for inflation was the next move

Pussies whole lot of them.
 
Lets see if they find the magical crowd of 3 AM voters or not this time.
"Guys, the other voters just got a little lost on the way into town (lol old-fashioned rural towns and their old paper maps amirite, kids?), and we're gonna just tally them up now. And would you look at that, 450b votes in for Kumalla!" Dems, 7 Nov
 
My big take aways.

1. White women had a white mans back for once.

2. Abortion back to the states and letting the state vote on it defuses it.

3. The "based hispanic man" thing became real. Muslims turned on the dems too. Will they rethink mass importation?

4. Niggers didnt support Trump. All the bullshit about them seeing Trump as anything other than a honky was bullshit like i thought. They did say fuck Kamala and stayed home though.
Some Shaniqua on TV was blaming white women for the NC loss. Nonwhite women are always chomping at the bit to snake white women. There is absolutely no solidarity there, it's a one-way relationship just like all 'allies'.
 
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