Is it solely from exit polls?
at this point yes, it would be neat/smart to use population and demographic data from Electoral precinct and figure it out that way, but i don't think anyone ever does that because unless you know excel it must be a real hassle to figure out and feed in all that data.
also that data would be shaky because you have to assume everyone of all ages and races had similar voter turnout.
8. Problem is he will have been out of the public spot light for years at that point,
his governorship ends in like 2027 right when he can start campaigning. also much like every other dem primary, it boils down to if you can get the blacks on your side, and i don't know enough about Gavin to know if he can do that. people forget Jerry Brown was also considered the shoe in for 1992, until some hick from arkansas got niggers to fall in love with him and got him the nomination and presidency.
I wouldn't be surprised if there isn't at least one rich or famous nig that could just take it all over. Someone joked about Lebron James being a solid pick, and honestly they aren't wrong overall. he would be able to get blacks on his side and would just be entering retirement and has experience being the de facto face of the nba and leader of the players, and has been a proud democrat for a long time. so he could sweep super tuesday, but honestly no one in 2000 knew who barack was, no one in 2004 knew romney would get the nom, no one in 2008 expected donald, even jd vance in 2016 would have said he'd be trump's vp. Shit changes a lot faster than people think. its almost certain to be a complete unknown.
left wing youtubers lie all the time. but yeah their whole bubble could be bursting, but i dont think Lefties are that smart or principled. Its way more likely that the DNC used dark money to build up a leftist environment to counter act the organic right wing shift of youtube.
thats almost exactly what happened, they've known for almost a century now that no one wants to be a puppet of the glowies, so instead they use shell companies and shit like that to fund these fucks.
was it unexpected? he spend the last year and a half shit talking every republican, of course they'd be hostile to him. Imagine if Keffals started posting on here and was like "why all the hostility this is so unexpected?" no one would agree with that.
there was a hilariously low voter turnout this year compared to 2020.
people can't admit it yet but thats the main explaination for trump's near double digit gains everywhere. There are no rabid kamala voters like there are hilary or biden voters, its the only explanation for how his vote count can remain near the same from 2020 but the percentage of voters in every demo increased. like of course trump won on the texas border, even if you supported biden you're not retarded enough to vote kamala. meanwhile ever since the assassination, the types that would vote trump have only gotten more proud.
His administration can't act too polarizing in office. There's plenty of Americans that will turn on him faster than a spring-loaded mouse trap.
you're right but i suspect the last 8 years battle hardened trump immensely. worst case scenario he now knows way more about digital media and has way more "friends in high places" as well as a super supportive VP who rather openly is connected to the far right sector and any worries that might pop up here or on twitter are responded to in less than 72 hours, like with the Haitians in ohio.
Trump got a literal new lease on life and isn't going to waste it