US US Politics General 2 - Discussion of President Trump and other politicians

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Should be a wild four years.

Helpful links for those who need them:

Current members of the House of Representatives
https://www.house.gov/representatives

Current members of the Senate
https://www.senate.gov/senators/

Current members of the US Supreme Court
https://www.supremecourt.gov/about/biographies.aspx

Members of the Trump Administration
https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/
 
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That's true for moving factories, but not for reducing tariffs. The short-term goal is to get these countries to lower their existing tariffs and trade barriers.

I predict half the countries on Trump's list will significantly lower their tariffs within six months. Some will stay strong, but many will bend the knee. Some will lower non-monetary barriers after signing trade deals with Trump.
The trade barriers include things you really can't change without fucking a whole country up, like VAT. Some countries extract the majority of their fiscal revenue through VAT instead of income taxes (Trump has said he'd like to move for the US to become such an economy, in fact!), so they really cannot remove or lessen VAT without a massive fiscal deficit, which utlimately leaves them in a lose-lose situation. Some of them are in the same situation as the US, without the "exorbitant privilege" of the dollar, so they really don't have conusmer economies which means they really cannot lossen tariffs without fucking themselves up, they are just not sufficiently industrialized and are also not sufficiently wealthy to have a strong service sector. This is the case of some of the worst offenders like Vietnam or the SEA countries. I fear this doesn't really make sense in any way other than import substitution because the newer manufacturers don't really have any other way to grow their own economies, again a lose-lose situation. Mexico and Canada might be able to survive because they both have service sectors, and Canada specially has a much more stronger consumer economy (Mexico is still developing that part of the economy, it's wages have been steadily rising which is what you want when you want to develop a local consumer market). All in all, I don't think you'll see many countries that are taking American jobs backing out of tariffs (Mexico specifically did not have much tariffs with the US and that's one of the big offenders, they really cannot do anything on that front beyond reducing their VAT but they're one of those VAT-heavy countries, it's also why Mexican VAT is 8% at the border, Trump negotiated that in the USMC, they wouldn't agree to a full VAT reduction, just a frontier one).
 
No Mexico or Canada on the list. Trump is a confirmed Monroe Doctrine enjoyer.
From what I understand: The prior tariff announcements on Mexico and Canada are staying as previously announced. Russia isn't on the list because we've already sanctioned them to the point we aren't trading with them anymore.

Australian Prime Minister now announcing this is all sad and they'll cry in their Foster over it, but won't do anything.
 
From what I understand: The prior tariff announcements on Mexico and Canada are staying as previously announced. Russia isn't on the list because we've already sanctioned them to the point we aren't trading with them anymore.

Australian Prime Minister now announcing this is all sad and they'll cry in their Foster over it, but won't do anything.
Mexico and Canada have a trade deal so the way Trump is dealing with the tariffs is through another mechanism, mostly by calling a national emergency over the border. I don't know if he can just raise tariffs on them for another reason without going through congress or dealing with the USMC in another way. Also, for the parts that matter i.e cars and manufacturing, they don't tariff the US, so it's not like Trump can impose anything tit-for-tat with tariffs, just "trade barriers" which he has already negotiated down in the USMC. They have to be handled seperately otherwise they'd probably just get like milk tariffs for Canada and oil tariffs for Mexico.
 
From what I understand: The prior tariff announcements on Mexico and Canada are staying as previously announced. Russia isn't on the list because we've already sanctioned them to the point we aren't trading with them anymore.

Australian Prime Minister now announcing this is all sad and they'll cry in their Foster over it, but won't do anything.
Sheinbaum has been surprisingly lax about the entire thing. It's very likely she's hoping for exemptions so long as she keeps agreeing to cooperate with immigration and dismantling the cartels. Canada is just retarded.
 
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