2025 Israel vs Iran War

This fucking nigger.

Sure... Alex Jones and Tucker Carlson's incredible pressure campaign got Trump to force Israel and Iran to stop. That's so fucking retarded
The only people who think Cooper and/or Tucker are insightful are literal retards. I expected nothing more sophisticated and I was not disappointed.
 
That was my first thought, even if the new high command is competent and tries to improve their opsec mossad would be hearing all of this leaving it compromised forever unless they can somehow get them all out of the country (borderline impossible).
It is possible but mossad recruits locals too.
It is just that entire leadership is on israeli's payroll and they have been removing competition with airstrikes making everything both gay and retarded.
 
they are getting their people out. they know that israel isnt targeting tourists, but they also know that a iranian power struggle would be very ugly and everyone there hates chinks
Getting people out or might just a scheduled refueling like last time.

That or the oil rights negotiation team getting spooled up to make deals with the next regime.

If the United States or Israel were to force regime change it would be perceived as foreign-imposed and illegitimate, likely fueling nationalist backlash and unifying Iranians, even discontented ones, against external aggression. By contrast, allowing the current ceasefire to hold while the IRGC is weakened and public anger is at a boiling point gives the Iranian people ownership of the moment.
This opens the door for an organic, homegrown uprising—one driven by national pride rather than foreign agendas.

In this scenario, the fall of the regime would be seen as authentic, empowering Iranians to reclaim their country and pursue their own vision of a free and prosperous Iran.

The can chose between religious isolationism or make Iran great again by overthrowing their weakened overlords.

This was a move I never saw coming, but it might be Trumps smartest to date.
Exactly this.
However, I don't think we're going to see a topple. Especially not yet.

IDF only hit a few of Iran's internal security forces. IRGC got turbo fucked, but the police/secret police are largely intact. I think the previous wave of bombings where they did hit a few secret police HQs was a warning shot: keep this shit up,and we'll turbo fuck your ability to lock down your population.

Senior leadership is done. Rank and file retards high on copium and ideology maybe not so much.
Civilian leadership and theocratic leadership are still intact just weakend. They are not fully decapitated but they will take some time to work with the people now in charge.

Peace through shit posting:
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Trump literally shitposted boomer-tweeted peace in the mideast into existance.

Wasn't the Supreme Leader being propped up by the inner circle of figures in the military, which Israel have been killing off? At a certain point you run out of people whose bread has been buttered by the 86 year old and just have neutrals.
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Previous dudes have been serving since the the revolution in '79
The replacements have similar credentials. Ah well.
Sort of. He has the support of most of the civilian government as well. I honestly don't think Iran has been weakened enough for popular uprising to kick off, but they are weak enough they need to worry more about their own people than the Eternal Jew for a while.

Ironically,
Not that any of the IRGC would have dreamed about revolution, but the dead commanders were the only people in Iran powerful enough to have pulled a coup off.

IAF targeting Azadi Tower:
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The Azadi Tower:
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That's legitimately awful if true.

Everyone involved is spent and bored. Everyone not involved actually believed the participants were ready to repeat the Russian SMO.
Sad truth revealed:
Slavs < Persians
 
Iran would have to be braindead to do an attack right after a ceasefire agreement :story:
Well, we only need to wait
Where is that one rainbow guy at
He's dirdling his dirdel
:smug:
 
It's the opposite, systems will re-learn and get re-trained on current balistic data and reports and be much more lethal next time.
The Interception rate at the start was practically the same as when Iran went for it after Hasbullah got creamed; If the Jews couldn't do it last time I don't think they can for next time in a meaningful way.
Iran can't even fight off an invasion at this point. It is just other countries being "nice" that they haven't walked in.
And being it's a mud land it's only a matter of time before raiders try to get a score.
Iran might be neutered but any neighbours that would do it would still fall flat on their face, the Iranians are actually competent when you compare them to their neighbours.
 
Would be really funny if Khamenis 2nd in command and the army took over.
I seriously wonder if that already happened and the military sleepwalked into an internally bloodless coup with the supreme leader MIA for so long.

Guarantee you Iran didn't have any war doctrine or protocol for what happens when your entire command structure gets decapitated and your wunderwaffen-touted missiles and air defenses all fail. Khamenei likely has no idea what to do and reportedly just gave successors general objectives like: defend me, finish the bomb, protect the assets as best you can etc. with no clear strategy how to go about it. When you lose your entire staff like that, communication and command breakdown. Reportedly the missile attacks towards the end of the war were poorly coordinated as missile team 'A' could not synchronize with 'B' and 'C'. Repeat that 100x and you have a non functioning military thinking about how they are going to save their own head.

The entire war vindicates the moderate Iranian politician positions and empowers them. The hardliners & conservatives got their way, and it incurred the wrath of Israel and Trump and killed many others in the military, lost their enrichment capacity and cost them billions. Now they will not be operating from a position of strength.

The regime replacements have no leadership experience and know their own lives are much easier to target than their predecessors. They will likely be hesitant to restart hostilities unless they have a death wish and push back hard on any action to do so. Besides, what can they attack with?

The propaganda megaphones are in ruins, you can continue to cut off the internet and have the Basij harass the population into compliance, but at what cost?
 
The Interception rate at the start was practically the same as when Iran went for it after Hasbullah got creamed; If the Jews couldn't do it last time I don't think they can for next time in a meaningful way.
Ah no, it improved significantly over the period of 3 days. They managed to completely block one salvo.
Iran might be neutered but any neighbours that would do it would still fall flat on their face, the Iranians are actually competent when you compare them to their neighbours.
That's treating them very favorably
.
 
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What will they need to invest into in order for them to have better chances next time?
better allies that can offer serious protection through deterrence.
they are aligned with russia but russia didn't do anything for them, because russia is too busy with ukraine.
if they could get china to give a fuck about iran, that would be a game changer. if chinese troops were stationed around iranian nuclear facilities then america wouldn't dare strike those targets, because there is no appetite in america for war with china.
 
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