- Joined
- Dec 17, 2019
I dunno, 70% dropoff might be a little optimistic. I think there's definitely going to be a pretty big drop (that's the nature of the biz these days, strongest in its opening week and then massive falloff), but we're also in Christmas week without much else coming out. If the family wants to go to the theater, it's either Jumanji 3 or Star Wars, and I'm guessing they're probably gonna go to Star Wars. There's that animated film Spies in Disguise that might take a small bite out of its take this week, but probably nothing major. And the only other new movies out this week are 1917 (R-rated war drama), Little Women (remade yet again), or Just Mercy (another drama).Rate me optimistic, but I'd go with 70% drop next week at the minimum. The most ticket sales were the diehard Disney fans and the people who couldn't wait to torrent. The only people left to see the film are the autists who will rewatch the film several times to show their allegiance.
My guess is somewhere between 50-60% dropoff in the domestic market myself. International will probably drop faster. As much as I want this to be conclusive proof that Disney has mismanaged Star Wars into an early grave, the current lack of releases around it is working in their favor. The fact its opening weekend did worse than TLJ is definitely a good start in this regard.
Fuck, I really hate that I've reached a point in my life where I'm actively rooting for a Star Wars movie to fail.