War Iran-United States Military Crisis of 2020 - US Baghdad embassy under siege, rocket fire in US Baghdad green zone, Ukrainian Airlines flight 752 crash, and more!

January 10th:
Exclusive: Informants in Iraq, Syria helped U.S. kill Iran's Soleimani - sources (archive)(post)
Iraqi Shia cleric whose militia killed American troops says crisis is over following Iran strike and Trump speech (archive)(post)
Iraqi PM tells US to decide mechanism for troop withdrawal (archive)(post)
Mike Pence says Congress might 'compromise sources and methods' if fully briefed on the Soleimani strike (archive)(post)
Unidentified planes hit Iraqi militiamen in Syria, killing 8 (archive)(post)
Iraq: The Master Of Mayhem Meets A Missile (archive)(post)
Eliminating Qasem Soleimani was Donald Trump’s Middle East farewell letter (archive)(post)
Iran uses BULLDOZERS to clear debris from plane crash site while accusing US of ‘big lie’ that they shot it down (archive)(post)
Swiss Back Channel Helped Defuse U.S.-Iran Crisis (post)

January 11th:
UKRAINIAN AIRCRAFT WAS BROUGHT DOWN IN IRAN DUE TO 'HUMAN ERROR' (archive)(post)
Iran minister says 'human error' caused by 'US adventurism' led to deadly crash of Ukrainian jetliner (archive)(post)
Ukrainian aircraft was brought down in Iran due to 'human error' (archive)(post)
Trump, at Ohio rally, says Democrats would have leaked Soleimani attack plans (archive)(post)
The Atlantic's David Frum blames Trump for downing of plane in Iran, deaths of 176 (archive)(post)
Associated Press changes ‘shockingly bad’ headline about Soleimani, Ukrainian plane crash after backlash (archive)(post)
GOP Rep. Doug Collins apologizes for saying Democrats are 'in love with terrorists' (archive)(post)
Iran demands West 'show findings' as new video reveals aircraft was struck before fiery crash (archive)(post)
Warren town hall interrupted by angry protester accusing her of ‘siding with terrorists’ (archive)(post)
Trump administration announces new sanctions on Iran (archive)(post)
Prepare For the Worst From Iran Cyber Attacks, As DHS Issues Warning: Experts (archive)(post)
Trump tells Fox News' Laura Ingraham 'four embassies' were targeted in imminent threat from Iran (archive)(post)
Trump tweets support for Iranian protesters as they demand Khamenei quit (archive)(post)
Trump warns Iran against ‘another massacre’ as protests flare over downed jet (archive)(post)

January 12th:
Trump tweet in Farsi 'the most liked Persian tweet' in history of Twitter (archive)(post)
Iraq warned to keep US troops or risk financial blow-WSJ (archive)(post)
Iran arrests UK ambassador in what Britain calls ‘flagrant violation of international law’ (archive)(post)

January 13th:
Trump authorized Soleimani's killing 7 months ago, with conditions (archive)(post)

edit: This is a WIP. All links are posted in the order they appear in the thread, not in chronological order of their publication.


---Original OP before the merge---
Iraqi supporters of Iran-backed militia attack US Embassy
https://apnews.com/75228a8a607a44863b57021ac33264dc (http://archive.vn/ljm9Y)

By QASSIM ABDUL-ZAHRA12 minutes ago

BAGHDAD (AP) — Dozens of angry Iraqi Shiite militia supporters broke into the U.S. Embassy compound in Baghdad on Tuesday after smashing a main door and setting fire to a reception area, prompting tear gas and sounds of gunfire.

An Associated Press reporter at the scene saw flames rising from inside the compound and at least three U.S. soldiers on the roof of the main building inside embassy. It was not clear what caused the fire at the reception area near the parking lot of the compound. A man on a loudspeaker urged the mob not to enter the compound, saying: “The message was delivered.”

The embassy attack followed deadly U.S. airstrikes on Sunday that killed 25 fighters of the Iran-backed militia in Iraq, the Kataeb Hezbollah. The U.S. military said it was in retaliation for last week’s killing of an American contractor in a rocket attack on an Iraqi military base that it had blamed on the militia.

Dozens of protesters marched inside the compound after smashing the gate used by cars to enter the embassy. The protesters, many in militia uniform, stopped in a corridor after about 5 meters (16 feet), and were only about 200 meters away from the main building. Half a dozen U.S. soldiers were seen on the roof of the main building, their guns were pointed at the protesters.

Smoke from the tear gas rose in the area, and at least three of the protesters appeared to have difficulties breathing. It wasn’t immediately known whether the embassy staff had remained inside the main building.

The protesters hanged a poster on the wall: “America is an aggressor.”

Shouting “Down, Down USA,” the crowd tried to push inside the embassy grounds, hurling water and stones over its walls. They raised yellow militia flags and taunted the embassy’s security staff who remained behind the glass windows in the gates’ reception area. They sprayed graffiti on the wall and windows in red in support of the Kataeb Hezbollah militia: “Closed in the name of the resistance.”

Hundreds of angry protesters, some in militia uniforms, set up tents outside the embassy. As tempers rose, the mob set fire to three trailers used by security guards along the embassy wall.

No one was immediately reported hurt in the rampage and security staff had withdrawn to inside the embassy earlier, soon after protesters gathered outside.

The U.S. attack — the largest targeting an Iraqi state-sanctioned militia in recent years — and the subsequent calls by the militia for retaliation, represent a new escalation in the proxy war between the U.S. and Iran playing out in the Middle East.

Tuesday’s attempted embassy storming took place after mourners and supporters held funerals for the militia fighters killed in a Baghdad neighborhood, after which they marched on to the heavily fortified Green Zone and kept walking till they reached the sprawling U.S. Embassy there.

AP journalists then saw the crowd as they tried to scale the walls of the embassy, in what appeared to be an attempt to storm it, shouting “Down, down USA!” and “Death to America” and “Death to Israel.”

U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said Sunday’s strikes send the message that the U.S. will not tolerate actions by Iran that jeopardize American lives.

The Iranian-backed Iraqi militia had vowed Monday to retaliate for the U.S. military strikes. The attack and vows for revenge raised concerns of new attacks that could threaten American interests in the region.

The U.S. attack also outraged both the militias and the Iraqi government, which said it will reconsider its relationship with the U.S.-led coalition — the first time it has said it will do so since an agreement was struck to keep some U.S. troops in the country. It called the attack a “flagrant violation” of its sovereignty.

In a partly televised meeting Monday, Iraqi Prime Minister Adel Abdul-Mahdi told Cabinet members that he had tried to stop the U.S. operation “but there was insistence” from American officials.

The U.S. military said “precision defensive strikes” were conducted against five sites of Kataeb Hezbollah, or Hezbollah Brigades in Iraq and Syria. The group, which is a separate force from the Lebanese militant group Hezbollah, operates under the umbrella of the state-sanctioned militias known collectively as the Popular Mobilization Forces. Many of them are supported by Iran.









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Imagine going to your enemy and saying "hey I know you just ganked my best general, we look really fucking stupid right now. Can we please fire a bunch of rockets at your base sometime tomorrow just to save face?" Now imagine that during the course of accomplishing nothing, you shoot down a civilian plane. Iran is a fucking joke.
 
Wouldn't that be mangled in the initial contact with the plane? Strange that it is just laying on the undisturbed ground around it. I would think that falling from thousands of feet would leave some damage to the fins and tear up the ground around it at a bare minimum.
Nah, not necessarily.

Examples in this article... http://lugansk-news.com/tag/tor-sam/

I'm still sceptical of the provenance of the image. It could really be from anywhere, I'll wait until there's more info.
 
I can not even hint at the powerlevel here because of family etc ... but just trust me, there was more than collision. As you can lookup, there were tests for new torpedoes that US was very interested in. There were some severe fuck ups that would serve no one to admit. We do know that "payout" was given for no reason to Russian federation and high ranking officials traveling shortly after. This is a case when truth would serve no one, only make ordinary people freak out.
Ok then. Reminds me of ongoing speculation regarding the Scorpion, which went down in 1968. Terrible way to go.
 
Honestly, I figure the Kursk was an embarrassing own-goal, along the lines of the US Navy's recent mishaps with exceptionally exceptional collisions. Didn't the Russians have a couple more recent sub mishaps as well, not long after Kursk?

And if I recall, the Russians declined far more aid & assistance from the West in regards to technical & logistical support than they accepted. Not that I blame them though, on state-secret level, as well as a matter of pride. I'm sure the US Navy would've loved to have been able to blame their fuckups on mechanical faults, and not let slip the fact that Navy seamen were too busy watching hentai or blowing each other in their racks to stand watch.
Submarines seem surprisingly accident prone.


I'd never heard of the incident where the San Francisco ran into a damn underwater mountain. And how poetic is it that we have a sub named after San Fran. That must be the gayest ship in the fleet.
 
View attachment 1088912

Those are some very suspicious looking holes on the tail fin debris.

Former jet engine mechanic, there's no way that engine debris from a screech failure (when the rotor blades interface with the stator case) could punch holes orthogonally into to the long axis of a 737 tail fin. When turbines catastrophically fail they tend to explode out along the plane of rotation, very rarely will debris deviate away from the plane of rotation unless detached from another portion of the plane after the initial compressor/fan/turbine failure.
If you've ever seen commercial or military aircraft powered by turbofan or turboprop engines then you've probably seen lines on the engine nacelles or fuselage that seem to have no indicating function.
These lines are present because during engine tests when the engine is installed in the aircraft, any rotor that undergoes screech will catastrophically fail and the debris will explode out of the aircraft from that indicator line in a plane of shrapnel and death.

Even accounting for relative airspeed, the shrapnel from a main engine failure would be going fast enough to tear through the rest of the aircraft in mostly straight lines away from the stricken engine, not magically curve like the Kennedy bullet to score a perpendicular potshot into the tail fin.
 
The thing about this situation I find unbelievably disgusting is all the "Americans" who acted as apologists for Soleimani and their hatred of President Trump. Get the impression that these people revel in the thought of American men and women being killed by Iranian actions. The ONLY way Soleimani was going to stop what he was doing was to die. Fucker's dead now. President Trump is merely doing his job. Am sure if he had to do it over he'd still wax Soleimani.

You come out of this thinking the Democrats/leftists/MSM are a bigger enemy of and threat to our country than ANY foreign power. Seriously, the Dems never miss a chance to fuck themselves and increase the divisions in our country.

They are, if it isn't clear by now that they exist to destroy America from the inside I don't know what to tell you.
 
Anybody as confused and scratching their head as to why the farleft has been defending Iran fanatically? They're quick to pin Russia in being under their bed, but Iran gets a free pass on upholding and defending Assad, and trying to kill Americans? Well in this case Iraqis and Ukranians..............and other Iranians.
ORANGE MAN BAD!!!!11

...No, really, that's pretty much the gist of it.
 
Former jet engine mechanic, there's no way that engine debris from a screech failure (when the rotor blades interface with the stator case) could punch holes orthogonally into to the long axis of a 737 tail fin. When turbines catastrophically fail they tend to explode out along the plane of rotation, very rarely will debris deviate away from the plane of rotation unless detached from another portion of the plane after the initial compressor/fan/turbine failure.
If you've ever seen commercial or military aircraft powered by turbofan or turboprop engines then you've probably seen lines on the engine nacelles or fuselage that seem to have no indicating function.
These lines are present because during engine tests when the engine is installed in the aircraft, any rotor that undergoes screech will catastrophically fail and the debris will explode out of the aircraft from that indicator line in a plane of shrapnel and death.

Even accounting for relative airspeed, the shrapnel from a main engine failure would be going fast enough to tear through the rest of the aircraft in mostly straight lines away from the stricken engine, not magically curve like the Kennedy bullet to score a perpendicular potshot into the tail fin.
Considering this and how I saw some other photo of what I think it was the front of the plane, and when compared to other debris fond planes shot down it looks almost fucking identical, depends what missiles were used on the jet.
 
The thing about this situation I find unbelievably disgusting is all the "Americans" who acted as apologists for Soleimani and their hatred of President Trump. Get the impression that these people revel in the thought of American men and women being killed by Iranian actions. The ONLY way Soleimani was going to stop what he was doing was to die. Fucker's dead now. President Trump is merely doing his job. Am sure if he had to do it over he'd still wax Soleimani.

You come out of this thinking the Democrats/leftists/MSM are a bigger enemy of and threat to our country than ANY foreign power. Seriously, the Dems never miss a chance to fuck themselves and increase the divisions in our country.

I was expecting far worse from the squad than what I got, and instead I was greeted with wild speculation about war crimes and WW3 by purported level headed members of the Democratic leadership. I wasn't terribly surprised to see Ilhan Omar chirping about stupid shit but knowing that senior leaders are apparently so out of their wits that they feel the need to defend a vicious killer like Soleimani is simply unforgivable.

The depth of this Trump derangement continues to make me glad that there are other options come election day. I just don't see myself voting for very many incumbents when the entire establishment strategy is built on absurd lies.

Trump is a fucking lunatic but at least he's the people's lunatic. That's more than many senior Democrats can say.
 
I was expecting far worse from the squad than what I got, and instead I was greeted with wild speculation about war crimes and WW3 by purported level headed members of the Democratic leadership. I wasn't terribly surprised to see Ilhan Omar chirping about stupid shit but knowing that senior leaders are apparently so out of their wits that they feel the need to defend a vicious killer like Soleimani is simply unforgivable.

The depth of this Trump derangement continues to make me glad that there are other options come election day. I just don't see myself voting for very many incumbents when the entire establishment strategy is built on absurd lies.

Trump is a fucking lunatic but at least he's the people's lunatic. That's more than many senior Democrats can say.

There's literally nothing that they won't take the opposite stance of Trump on.

If Trump said cannibalism was bad the Democrats would be all for it.
 
Former jet engine mechanic, there's no way that engine debris from a screech failure (when the rotor blades interface with the stator case) could punch holes orthogonally into to the long axis of a 737 tail fin. When turbines catastrophically fail they tend to explode out along the plane of rotation, very rarely will debris deviate away from the plane of rotation unless detached from another portion of the plane after the initial compressor/fan/turbine failure.
If you've ever seen commercial or military aircraft powered by turbofan or turboprop engines then you've probably seen lines on the engine nacelles or fuselage that seem to have no indicating function.
These lines are present because during engine tests when the engine is installed in the aircraft, any rotor that undergoes screech will catastrophically fail and the debris will explode out of the aircraft from that indicator line in a plane of shrapnel and death.

Even accounting for relative airspeed, the shrapnel from a main engine failure would be going fast enough to tear through the rest of the aircraft in mostly straight lines away from the stricken engine, not magically curve like the Kennedy bullet to score a perpendicular potshot into the tail fin.
Yeah, I agree. What do you reckon about the image below? To me, it looks like the top section of one of the wings, with flap section closest to the photographer.

There's no conceivable way (in my mind) that an uncontained engine failure would cause that type of damage on the top of a wing, penetrating from below sure, but from the top?
UA Wreckage.png
 
Yeah, I agree. What do you reckon about the image below? To me, it looks like the top section of one of the wings, with flap section closest to the photographer.

There's no conceivable way (in my mind) that an uncontained engine failure would cause that type of damage on the top of a wing, penetrating from below sure, but from the top?

The holes appear to be penetrating into the wing from above, perhaps above and aft. That section of wing appears to be the more distal part where the main ailerons are located. Not consistent with catastrophic turbine failure when said engine is mounted below and forward of the wing's leading edge, nearer to the flaps.

Edit: That piece of wreckage could also be one of the stabilizers on the tail of the aircraft, which almost certainly couldn't be struck by high speed engine ejecta. If this is a piece of tail wreckage then this would be the starboard stabilizer, going off of the orientation of presumed trim tabs and general shape. If the starboard stabilizer, then this may indicate an air burst detonation of the SAM in addition to the damage seen on the starboard side of the tail fin.
Unless you're flying a DC-10, no major airliner will experience damage on the tail flight control surfaces if one of the engines explodes.


I am just a guy speculating on the internet, by no means is my assessment accurate

Edit 2: Grammar
 
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Wouldn't that be mangled in the initial contact with the plane? Strange that it is just laying on the undisturbed ground around it. I would think that falling from thousands of feet would leave some damage to the fins and tear up the ground around it at a bare minimum.

SAMs don't normally detonate on impact, nor in a manner that most people imagine.

Depending on the model, they burst in a fashion that throws out a very specific pattern of shrapnel. Usually the only thing left of a missile after a target intercept is the tail & motor section, and which happens more often than not.

On active ranges where missile testing & practice shots occur, pieces like that are commonplace.

I can not even hint at the powerlevel here because of family etc ... but just trust me, there was more than collision (*in regards to Kursk). As you can lookup, there were tests for new torpedoes that US was very interested in. There were some severe fuck ups that would serve no one to admit. We do know that "payout" was given for no reason to Russian federation and high ranking officials traveling shortly after. This is a case when truth would serve no one, only make ordinary people freak out.

Those same supercavitating torpedos are something that Iran has been very interested in, as they can be launched from their small attack boats or shore installations.

The things are scary as fuck, when you think about it; as they are essentially underwater guided missiles.
 
The Iranians are starting to explain too much. Sign of a liar.




Anyway, it's bullshit that a plane would instantly explode in midair if hit by a missile. Korean Air 902 was hit by a Soviet missile in 1978 when it wandered into Soviet airspace by accident. It that case the missile took off part of one of the wings and thr debris penetrated the fusilage. It suffered decompression and still flew on at least 40 minutes before made it down to land on a frozen lake in one piece, albeit with a couple of dead passengers from the decompression. It depends what part of the plane got hit and how high you are whether the whole thing falls apart instantly. Korean Air 007 didn't break up instantly either, even at 31,000ft.

Now that all the threads got merged and everything is out of context, I'm gonna say fuck 19 pages and just respond. Anti air weapons don't really use explosions to damage the aircraft, like you might see in the movies. A guided missile knows it's distance from the target, will explode a certain distance away, then shower the aircraft in shrapnel in the hopes of destroying an engine, severing major electrical functions, or rupturing the hydraulic flight control systems. Most aircraft have at least 1 back up hydraulic system, and due to the controlled descent, at least one of those systems remained intact. I don't know nearly as much about the comm equipment, but someone mentioned that radio contact had been lost. If that's true, it could have been damaged. The fire ball you see while the aircraft is still flying is a wing mounted engine. That is really common when shrapnel hits the engine. Most aircraft of this size use their hollow wings as the fuel tank, so the giant explosion when the bird hits the ground is the wing coming apart and dumping it's fuel on the burning engine.

Here's a generic example. Mind you that this is a Russian missile, and there's a lot of documentation saying that most of Iran's missiles are based on soviet design, but even the Russians say that Iran doesn't have the manufacturing capacities to make them correctly.
1578528059922.png


Edit: I want to add that this example shows an aircraft getting hit at high altitude, meaning you would expect projectiles to enter the aircraft from the belly and exit through the top. Most of the images of damage I've seen posted shows the entry holes being on top of the wing and on the vertical stabilator (upper tail). If the aircraft in question had JUST taken off, the tail section and the top of the wings would be exposed to the ground, making it possible for an AA weapon to do the damage we're seeing in the pictures (upper fuselage, vert stab, top of the wings). If the images posted aren't mirrored, I'd wager a guess that the projectile exploded on the upper aft/starboard section of the plane. Makes a lot of sense if the plane is ascending and the missile was fired from either behind the aircraft or along the side as it passed by.
 
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Now that all the threads got merged and everything is out of context, I'm gonna say fuck 19 pages and just respond. Anti air weapons don't really use explosions to damage the aircraft, like you might see in the movies. A guided missile knows it's distance from the target, will explode a certain distance away, then shower the aircraft in shrapnel in the hopes of destroying an engine, severing major electrical functions, or rupturing the hydraulic flight control systems. Most aircraft have at least 1 back up hydraulic system, and due to the controlled descent, at least one of those systems remained intact. I don't know nearly as much about the comm equipment, but someone mentioned that radio contact had been lost. If that's true, it could have been damaged. The fire ball you see while the aircraft is still flying is a wing mounted engine. That is really common when shrapnel hits the engine. Most aircraft of this size use their hollow wings as the fuel tank, so the giant explosion when the bird hits the ground is the wing coming apart and dumping it's fuel on the burning engine.


It's almost like.... shades of TWA-800, amirite??

:tomgirl:
 
So ultimately, the US ended up completely BTFOing Iran without having to do much at all. Or, alternatively, Iran BTFO'd itself without much US intervention.

Iran has clearly shown itself to be a non-threat to any great power, even in the Middle East, in a straight-up military conflict, let alone war. Their global standing must be in tatters now.
 
Honestly, I figure the Kursk was an embarrassing own-goal, along the lines of the US Navy's recent mishaps with exceptionally exceptional collisions. Didn't the Russians have a couple more recent sub mishaps as well, not long after Kursk?

And if I recall, the Russians declined far more aid & assistance from the West in regards to technical & logistical support than they accepted. Not that I blame them though, on state-secret level, as well as a matter of pride. I'm sure the US Navy would've loved to have been able to blame their fuckups on mechanical faults, and not let slip the fact that Navy seamen were too busy watching hentai or blowing each other in their racks to stand watch.

Kursk sank due to a torpedo exploding before being launched, it was a known issue for the type of torpedoes they used for training.

The incidents in the Asia sea area were due to a really fucking stupid "modern" piloting equipment that the Navy replaced the traditional wheel on all of its Destroyer class ships. The system made little sense and the navy personnel that were using them had minimal (less than an hour) of training on the equipment. Cant remember the specifics around the first collision, but the second collisions, the captain decided to use 2 navy personnel to control the ship in heavy fog. The main station let's you split controls so one person can steer while a second can handle propulsion, during the set up they accidentally transferred rudder control to a 3rd entirely different station, so neither of the 2 piloting stations could control the ship, and I believe the propulsion control was changed correctly, but the screen layout didn't have the controls visible and no one could get the controls to show up on the screen.

So yeah, those poor bastards got royally fucked by the Navy, both in terms of not being trained at all on a new piece of equipment, but then after the incidents the navy fucked them and ruined their careers.
 
So ultimately, the US ended up completely BTFOing Iran without having to do much at all. Or, alternatively, Iran BTFO'd itself without much US intervention.

Iran has clearly shown itself to be a non-threat to any great power, even in the Middle East, in a straight-up military conflict, let alone war. Their global standing must be in tatters now.

I think Iran assumed it was going to gain international support, but no one outside of the Shia faith gives a fuck about Soleimani. They probably felt really lonely when no other country said a damn thing about our strike on Soleimani and threw a temper tantrum with some missiles.

They've also managed to make Trump look like the most rational person in the world.
 
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