Mrtrollenski
kiwifarms.net
- Joined
- Dec 9, 2018
Diane Abbot, is that you? I make it more like 4 million.
The big thing is that we really don't know what those percentages will be in otherwise healthy western populations. The cruise ship experiment seems to hint that the 60% may be a reasonable estimate. Check back next month for what it tells us about the fatality rate I guess.
Personally, I'm not too worried about the direct death rate, but the potential second order disruption is concerning. Every single thing we need to exist is dependent on massively long supply chains. All arriving just in time, and all with a chinese component in there somewhere.
(some exaggeration here, but not much) . Even locally produced food needs fuel, fertiliser , tractor parts etc)
I'm assuming the death rate here will be lower than China because the effect the industrial pollution plays. I've talked to people who have been over there and it's so bad they where wheezing after walking 50 yards at a moderate pace after being back in the US for a week.
Claiming the kill rate will be remotely close to China's 6% is vastly underestimating both the effect of heavy pollution on the lungs and how shit their medical infastructure is.