So the lack of data somehow supports your point of "most people are not infected, millions will soon die as the disease spreads"? You got that from 0.1% of the population being tested over 3 months?
The testing does, in part, support my theory, based on how diseases spread, for coronavirus to have touched so many parts of a country as large as the US, it must have a large number of background cases. Again, short of being able to teleport, this disease will have infected many along the way due to its infectiousness. One county reports two people are diagnosed with Corona. Both returned two weeks ago from international travel, and self quarantined immediately. Didnt leave their house for 2 weeks. Not two days after these two were diagnosed, 6 other people int he county were diagnosed. None had international travel, none had left the county for the past month. So how did they get it?
Unless the disease teleported from a couple in quarantine to the other side of the county, it must have passed through the community. The more of these community cases pop up, the more evidence there is that Coronavirus has achieved widespread community spread. The testing data supports your theory just as much as it does mine. The difference is my theory is also supported by pre existing knowledge the medical community has gathered from decades of studying coronaviruses, flus, and other infectious diseases.
This virus cannot travel 50-100 miles, strike a handful of people, then travel another 50-100 miles to another county and strike more random people, without also infecting the local community. If these cases appear, the most logical method would be a chain of transmission from one person to another from town to town, county to county. In the absence of testing, we can look at the behavior of similar diseases to establish an educational guess of how far this disease has spread. You are free to disagree, but if you insist on coronavirus somehow barely infecting anybody, then how do you explain it spreading so sporadically, and how can we justify further quarantine if this type of insanely high demand is going to collapse the medical system anyway, and will continue for some time? Why bother quarantining then?
I refuse to believe that Coronavirus can randomly skip through a population when we know how infectious it is until someone posts proof that it can infect people without infecting its surroundings consistently. The best evidence supporting that is south korean testing, which equates to testing 0.25% of the country's population per month, a pathetic sample size. And that is the BEST weve got. Given the disease can be transmitted weeks before symptoms appear, it can survive on hard surfaces, is aerolized, is airborne, can be transmitted by fecal matter, ece, we can assume anyone who has touched a surface or been near any active patient up to 2 weeks before symptoms presented as exposed to infection. That is a LOT of people. I just cant buy that a disease more infectious then the flu and seemingly survives better then almost any other virus is being this picky on the number of infections, that goes against all infectious disease logic.
www.cp24.com
