Watch at Florida's poll number magically bumps up in favor of Biden again in light of Michael Bloomberg spending $100 million on the state. Notice how Minnesota barely got any polls but now that they're getting a whole bunch that it's rising up for Biden again? That tells me the Democrats know Minnesota is a swing state and they need to work on demoralizing Trump supporters right fucking now by telling them he has no chance.
The way to defeat Demographics is Destiny is by a working class message and sealing up the border. Everyone's gotta work. Rename illegal immigration fight into "War on Gang Violence" and watch it print results.
In other news, IT KEEPS HAPPENING.
View attachment 1592713
Link. No archive because it was acting exceptional.
Its only a matter of time before the Saudis bend the knee. The only reason this is happening at all is because of them easing up.
Agreed and Trump is already working on doing both. Lots of Hispanics and blacks fall under the working class and that same working class message the Democrats used to have was what got them the black vote after FDR's New Deal benefited them. We obviously won't see the blacks make a drastic swing to the Republicans, but reaching double digits is definitely a possibility.
True, but you usually don't see them endorse the opposition candidate, at least not publicly.
Exactly. When was the last time the Chicago Police union endorsed someone? The NYPD made their first presidential endorsement for Trump for a reason. For many people, this election may save or destroy their livelihood and it's obvious Trump voters will feel most of the fallout if their candidate loses.
Or the left manages to rig the election via voter fraud. Which I don't see happening. I can only see it happening in the states they're already going to win (the west coast, NY, Illinois, the other Northeast Corridor states possibly). And that isn't going to help Biden at all. Texas is out since apparently they've got a ton of stringent voter id laws. Arizona might help a little, and only a little. Even if they manage to get their tendrals in other states, I still think they're too incompentent to pull off voter fraud on a nation level.
The problem is that they only need to successfully cheat one state to win a other close one and Arizona is definitely a Democratic target. It also assumes that the Democrats are incompetent, which they really aren't. That doesn't mean they don't make dumb mistakes or that voting fraud alone will hand Biden the election no matter how well Trump campaigns, but it is enough to be concerned.
Trump needs to outperform what he did in 2016 in swing states to accommodate for the deficit that will happen with voting fraud. Having said that, it's notable that he's going all-in in Nevada of all states despite it being a likely Democratic hold due to voting fraud (seriously, no limit on absentee ballot for 2020?). That makes me think that Trump is confident that he can beat the DNC's voting fraud at their own game and no flip would demonstrate that better than Nevada. I can't say I share that same confidence, even if I barely give Trump the edge in winning by keeping Florida, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and flipping Michigan, but after Trump's incredible rally at Minden yesterday along with hitting VBM fraud at the beginning of the speech and noting he had a lead in Hispanic vote, which I suspect is just the Florida Martis poll, I now understand why he thinks he can do it.
your mostly on the money but I have 2 things i'd argue:
3) Your right on w/ legal latinos, but remember that illegal voting from illegals is a constant, as even if it isn't a talking point, their biggest priority is their lives and do not want to be sent back to mexico unless they are grabbing more cocaine. They heavily outnumber any legal vote trump really gets from latinos, so keep it in mind.
6b) Turning point and the neocon republicans always try to push this. Should blacks be repub? Probably. Will they EVER? No, the black vote will never sway enough to make a difference for the same reason many people quit their jobs at the start of covid: "It pays more to not work with our nice social programs".
May I ask where you are getting that illegal Hispanic voters outweigh the legal ones? More than half of eligible voters sit out the election and they're way below the percentage of Hispanics nationwide.
Also the black vote still does matter, It keeps states like Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, and Georgia in play. If black start voting over 10% for Republicans again - that makes states like North Carolina, Georgia, and Florida hard to grab for Democrats. Wayne County in Michigan is populated 40% by blacks and nearly 90% of Detroit's population are black. If that county becomes a lighter blue and he holds on the rest of the state, which it might be since it did from 2012 to 2016, then that turns the state from light blue to light red.
Jeb! is unbeatable.
View attachment 1593617
More lines from the rally yesterday.
View attachment 1593605
Damn. How good was the rally number? Trump said tens of thousands but I'd like a closer estimate.