2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

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CrippleThreat said:
A campaign from the basement is still a campaign from home. The Warren Harding similarities are striking.


It's probably ego, and thoughts about the riots. Trump might be like us and think that Minnesota can't be that retarded to stay blue despite what happened this year.
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How many will swallow the narrative that campaigning during the Wu Flu is "irresponsible", and proof that Biden is the real adult in the room?
 
CrippleThreat said:
What are their takes on North Carolina and tossing up in Arizona? Have they mentioned any shifts in New York, or is the dream dead for Don at the very least?
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NY: This is about the Rust Belt. Also, Lol. Its a dream. Unless NYC revolts and "Louis XVII's" de Blasio and his entire family, there is no way. It'll be closer maybe.
NC: Voter registration is trending Rep heavily like FL. Historically it means he will increase his margin. Mentions it in the Pennsylvania video.
AZ: They say it isn't as competitive as others are saying. Maricopa county decides the state typically and right now voter registration trends have Republicans up over several months ago. They predict it will be closer but not enough to flip.

EDIT: For anyone curious about NH, Baris said his poll of ~650 sample size said Trump was up in the state by a few points.
 
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Jarolleon said:
How many will swallow the narrative that campaigning during the Wu Flu is "irresponsible", and proof that Biden is the real adult in the room?
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Everyone who already made up their minds to vote for Biden.

There are some disillusioning studies that show how little logical thinking we do, and how much of our "thought" is actually backwards rationalization to a position/tendency we already had. Politics amplifies this.
 
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HTTP Error 404 said:
"Trump might be knocking on doors but the Dems own the tech game."

View attachment 1597122

Yeah, about that...

And again, I want to stress this, I'm not a Republican and have never signed up to any GOP mailing list. And this isn't even the first page of my inbox, just the first screen full.
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I guess when they mean tech game, they mean those instrusive Google adsense ads that annoy you every five minutes.

That or astroturfing reddit and 4chan again because that totally works.
 
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CrippleThreat said:
What are their takes on North Carolina and tossing up in Arizona? Have they mentioned any shifts in New York, or is the dream dead for Don at the very least?
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They're adamant NC goes R unless it's a Biden landslide and polls are always too D slanted on the state. I agree.

Arizona, they're not as confident although they think Trump should still carry it since AZ is R+3. Even Barnes, who is very biased, thinks it's shifted at least a few points blue since '16. I'm losing faith with AZ.

They know NY isn't in play.

Their stream today was excellent like @GuntPunt said in his post. Their breakdowns of the Great Lakes states and the many voting topics that are relevant there are highly informative. Also making me feel a lot worse about Michigan, though.
 
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Salubrious said:
I've been following them for a couple of weeks.

They are the only public analysis I've seen so far to even mention that "look at the rallies! No shit the working class is siding with Trump!"

They also hate Nate Silver, which is great.
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Same here.

I am trying to cut down their content to "relatively" consumable chunks for people with questions about the race in specific states. I'm probably only going to do this for their analysis on Mondays and only when it truly interests me. Baris having Midwest polling is what motivated me this time. Unless they start shitting themselves or have updates on key states, I'm not gonna clip it.
 
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GuntPunt said:
Same here.

I am trying to cut down their content to "relatively" consumable chunks for people with questions about the race in specific states. I'm probably only going to do this for their analysis on Mondays and only when it truly interests me. Baris having Midwest polling is what motivated me this time. Unless they start shitting themselves or have updates on key states, I'm not gonna clip it.
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It's interesting how they basically have Florida as a near-lock for Trump yet Wisconsin is in danger of flipping blue. That I found interesting.
 
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darkwingosonichugorl said:
They're adamant NC goes R unless it's a Biden landslide and polls are always too D slanted on the state. I agree.

Arizona, they're not as confident although they think Trump should still carry it since AZ is R+3. Even Barnes, who is very biased, thinks it's shifted at least a few points blue since '16. I'm losing faith with AZ.

They know NY isn't in play.

Their stream today was excellent like @GuntPunt said in his post. Their breakdowns of the Great Lakes states and the many voting topics that are relevant there are highly informative. Also making me feel a lot worse about Michigan, though.
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I don't think Biden is the candidate that will flip AZ, maybe the dem candidate in 2024.
 
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DeadFish said:
The left speaks in code.

From what I understand the end goal of these commies is erase any identity that prevents working class solidarity.

Why?
Because the bourgeoisie can use such things to distract the working class away from class conflict.

America is a national identity. Its an identity to be used to get one group of working class people to help oppress another group of working class people.

For example the iraq war. Or sweat shops
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Whats crazy is Trump is doing the class solidarity bit better than the democrats. This is why there was so much unexpected cross-over between Bernie 2016 and Trump. Both were making clear, goal-oriented class based appeals to voters. Both were highlighting the neglect of marginalised groups in the economy, and both were pitching a message Americans could get on board with regardless of their ethnic background.
/pol/ may loathe Trump for being a civnat, but latino and black working families saw meaningful improvements under Trump, and rejecting identity politics means the GOP isn't constantly trying to catch up with the Democrats. Will they vote for Trump? Maybe not, but this year's RNC hosted a lot of black conservatives and refugees from socialist nightmares down south who would've been politically homeless had the party go full white ethnostate.

Also, there's a huge difference between voting for a candidate and expressing an opinion. I'd say 90% of people that like Trump are gonna go out and re-elect him. Whereas how many voters genuinely like Biden as a candidate? How many say they'll vote Biden to stop Trump, and then how many will bother to go and do it?
I'm genuinely curious what the final vote tally is for Biden, regardless of the final result. We know for a fact every single one of those millions have cast their ballot for him aren't truly passionate about making Joe president.
I forget which is supposed to be stronger, love (trump) or hate (anti-Trump) but I wonder where apathy ranks? Because the election is 'For Trump' and 'For Biden', not 'Orange Man Good' and 'Orange Man Bad'
 
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UntimelyDhelmise said:
In what's become an ever-running theme with Current Year, it's the "inch given, mile taken" mentality. We budged on gay marriage, so then they moved on to pushing for troons and, more recently, kid diddlers.

Same principle on abortion. Started with just making it acceptable, now it's gotten to the point of straight up infanticide with some people wanting to make killing an already born baby a legal act.

It's been admitted by many on this very site that the religious right knew what they were talking about all along when they warned that things like letting fags marry would escalate to shit like tranny story time with kindergartners, we've seen it unfold in real time.
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I always kind of had this feeling that the Religious Right's hysterics ultimately became a self-fulfilling prophecy. Seriously, whenever I look back on the past and compare it to the leftists I know online and IRL, I get this feeling that the Millennial leftists were pissed at the traditionalists and neocons of their childhood and teenage years for being insufferable cunts. Then when they got older, they went as overboard as they did just so they could trigger and own the fundies and that's how we get shit like Cuties and drag queens reading books to little kids.

Salubrious said:
It's interesting how they basically have Florida as a near-lock for Trump yet Wisconsin is in danger of flipping blue. That I found interesting.
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I think it's because Florida is always one of the perpetual swing states and has been for decades while Wisconsin was a fairly solid light blue state prior to 2016.
 
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UntimelyDhelmise said:
The difference is back then, nobody took Trump seriously. They all wrote him off, laughed and got ready for "her turn." When that didn't pan out and it became evident enough of the public was turning against Current Year bullshit, that's where things went off the goddamn rails. Hence why now, the world is being turned upside down because they have become that rabidly desperate to get everyone back in line. I guarantee you the "new normal" shit for example would be next to non-existent if there wasn't so much at stake for the Dems.

We said no four years ago, and by all the fires of Hell they are trying to make us pay for that and ensure we don't have our say again.
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If the Democrats "taking Trump seriously" brings us a Joe Biden/Kamala Harris presidential run, then the Democrats are a fucking joke and any "retaliation" they attempt will fail miserably. People who aren't competent enough to bring up a good candidate aren't competent enough to bring serious "retaliation" or perform sufficiently unnoticeable cheating.

I often worry myself if the American populace will actually get Joe Biden elected, then I remember that were are talking about Donald Trump versus Joe Biden, and I end up relaxing.
 
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CrippleThreat said:

Something just tells me Van Jones will be saying whitewash in the near future again.
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What the hell is a "comback"?
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