2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

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Here is my guess for a pre-debate map.
Predebatemap.jpg


The solid colors are things that are about 90% likely to be called for that candidate on election night. The tilt colors are going to be extremely close and can change based on a variety of factors. This is all factoring in without mail in ballot shennanigans. Dispute it and rate :optimistic: to your heart's content.

Safe picks:
TX and GA: lol. Non competitive unless they do some insane fraud. Don't let your guard down, though.
CO, NM, and VA: non-competitive. Too many California transplants and/or Mexicans. As for VA, it has become a DC satellite state up north. Please cut out the cancer and save the Commonwealth.

Swing State Safe Picks:
OH and IA: non-competitive due to the results gathered, no campaigning done, and voter registration trends. Even Nate Carbon says they are more likely Trump. Would love to see proof otherwise for a more educated explanation.
FL and NC: non-competitive due to extreme realignment towards Republicans. At the rate the registrations are going, FL might go into election day with a 100k Democrat registration advantage or less, the most Republican Florida has been in history. NC is going though a similar political realignment with extreme Democrat registered losses and even larger Rep gains.
NE-2 and ME-2: non competitive due to multiple reasons. Apparently NE2 is raising 3 to 1 more money for Trump than Biden. ME2 is mostly rural. Either can be placed in the tilt until someone does an actual decent poll there.

Tilt Margin:
AZ: tilt towards Trump. Maricopa is growing more Republican (+5) in registration and is the deciding county in the state. SC battle will also energize the McCain Republicans to come home.
MN: tilt Trump due to riots, trends, and endorsements. The Iron Range endorsing Trump and the riots make me think that MN is going red. Even though the cookie poll is bullshit, it is an indicator of suburbianites in the Minneapolis area showing extreme visible enthusiasm for Trump. Depends if Illian Omar decides to bring in her harvesting squad.
PA: tilt towards Trump. Going through similar or even more extreme realignments that OH, FL and NC are doing. Only thing I can think that would stral the state is mail in ballots. PA Republicans are taking it to the SC now, so we shall see. ( Why not the appeals court? Am I missing something here?)
NH: tilt Trump because Baris said he polled it and Trump was up. Only reason I got. Can go either way due to lack of direct information and extremely close 2016 margin.
MI: tilt Biden due to Detroit and mail in voting fraud. Witmer is going to give it her all to make sure Trump does not suprise anyone in Michigan again. She is probably going to allow VBM counted for days without checking.
WI: tilt towards Biden because I don't know. Wisconsin voters decide really late, and even though Kenosha happened, I am getting mixed signals from WI. This can easily change if they burn down Kenosha again like Louisville. Might happen sooner than later due to Kenosha police issuing warnings about something happening soon, just like Louisville.
NV: tilt Biden because VBM fraud and Californians. Pretty much it.
 
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heard a radio interview with Trump Campaign Flunky #12 and from what I've gathered Show Host said he heard tactical rumors Team Biden is pulling Florida media advertising
then Flunky was basically like "hahaha yeah not gonna take a victory lap yet but hahaha wouldn't that be funny, just a joke haha"
 
New Yorkers report receiving ballots with wrong name, voter addresses
https://thehill.com/homenews/campai...iving-ballots-with-wrong-name-voter-addresses (https://archive.vn/jd65P)
Excerpt:
Voters in New York City said they received their mail-in ballots this week but were surprised to find they were printed with the wrong names and voter IDs and included incorrect return labels.

Some voters said they received absentee ballots mislabeled as the official ballot for military members, while others said the envelope meant to return their ballot did not bear their name or address.

Don't worry, I heard that problems with voting by mail is just some kooky right wing conspiracy.
 
I will be voting for Trump after being a lifelong Democrat. Lots of reasons for this but there is no way I can vote for Grandpa and Lady Macbeth. All of that aside, I had the most Vivid nightmare recently that someone assassinated Trump. I can't shake that something like this is about to happen. If this were a movie it would be the build-up to a finale, the music would be getting louder and the audience would be on edge knowing that something bad is coming. No matter who wins there will be violence and more unrest. I can't ever think of anyone who has been so hated in my lifetime As Trump is. I really think that someone is going to try to kill him.
 
I hate that people are more than willing to fuck up the lives of children, who have no part in any of this political bullshit. If there's one thing that CURRENT YEAR pisses me off more than anything, it's involving children in things that they shouldn't be part of.

When I found out she adopted two kids from Haiti, I thought it would make her bulletproof from any claims of racism from the Left. But the Left continues to find new ways to make me hate them.
 
heard a radio interview with Trump Campaign Flunky #12 and from what I've gathered Show Host said he heard tactical rumors Team Biden is pulling Florida media advertising
then Flunky was basically like "hahaha yeah not gonna take a victory lap yet but hahaha wouldn't that be funny, just a joke haha"

Maybe the campaign is pulling out, but Mike Bloomberg is spending $100 million in Florida. This may just be coordinating the ad spend so the campaign itself can use their funds elsewhere instead of doubling down in 1 state.
 
I will be voting for Trump after being a lifelong Democrat. Lots of reasons for this but there is no way I can vote for Grandpa and Lady Macbeth. All of that aside, I had the most Vivid nightmare recently that someone assassinated Trump. I can't shake that something like this is about to happen. If this were a movie it would be the build-up to a finale, the music would be getting louder and the audience would be on edge knowing that something bad is coming. No matter who wins there will be violence and more unrest. I can't ever think of anyone who has been so hated in my lifetime As Trump is. I really think that someone is going to try to kill him.
A Trump assassination would would a a giant ass wake up call that would make a John Brown's raid at harper' ferry look like a blip. Basically we will see legit nazis for the first time on American streets. They may not like him but they know he is the better choice. And will record Trump in American history as a legend if Pence defeats Biden riding off the MAGA train.

I predict Trump to gain electoral votes If he wins. His turnout was super duper huigh in the primaries. He is not FDR or Reagan levels but it's enough to win comfortably.
 
Overheard a Biden radio ad.

Biden seems to promise safety from COVID, looting, and "racially-motivated violence". Which is ironically more or less all stuff the radical left started or egged on, or so I heard.
Really wish they would put Biden out as someone original and not "Trump but not Trump / rude."

Ehh, once a plagiarizer, always a plagiarizer.
 
I could see him saying something racist in an innocent, nonchalant way like this:


"You know, I think my grandma might have been racist." :story:

I got a bad feeling about tomorrow night. I just don't feel like Trump has the debate in the bag. I feel like some serious fuckery is gonna go down. Best case scenario a lot of people get red pilled when they see how blatantly they're trying to screw Trump.
 
When I found out she adopted two kids from Haiti, I thought it would make her bulletproof from any claims of racism from the Left. But the Left continues to find new ways to make me hate them.
Ever since residential schools, it's been well known by the Woke that white people raising adopted non-white children is literally imperialism and cultural genocide, it is after all the "civilising mission" taking place on the most fundamental scale. This kind of thinking is a big problem for Injun children in Canada, for obvious reasons the pool of good Injun adopters is quite shallow, and delivering too many kids into the hands of whites is about as bad for optics as using firehoses for riot control in the the Deep South.

You know that poster where they described "whiteness" as "basically everything white Americans in the 1980s considered good"? It's as if they don't actually hate the race, but the culture it produced, and passing it on to PoCs is the most terrible thing you could possibly do in their book.
 
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My conspiracy-minded guess is that a massive riot-ready crowd shows up to all 3 debates.
That's exactly whats going to happen. The venue tonight is a 10 minute drive from my workplace and they're sending everyone home at 2. Lots of area businesses closing early too. They're all expecting "demonstrations". Yesterday I went to get lunch and a plane with a huge BLM banner flew overhead
 
Prediction: The worse Biden does, the more Antifa riots afterwards to draw attention away. If Biden shits himself or says nigger, they de-arrest an entire federal prison and hope it works like a break-out from Arkham Asylum in the Batman comics.


If Trump's campaign hasn't stopped with "Truth over Facts", they need to use his old language, child sniffing, and 180 years comment. Investigate the rumor that Biden steals youth like the witches in Hocus Pocus. He's falling apart because he can't get anymore children (with the subtle hint that it's because Trump is cracking down on child trafficking).

Antifa riots are the opposite of what the Dems want, they prove every right-wing talking point. Maybe there'll be another publicized police shooting or racial attack (with a white perp of course) in the news, if one doesn't happen they'll dredge one up from years ago like Elijah McClain and blast it across all the news shows. That would be the best distraction from a Biden gamer moment.
 
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