Some people are worried about early voting in Florida. I have to say relax because the topic is one I know well.
First, there are 1.6 million votes cast in Florida now. We do not know how they voted, but along party lines:
1,655,541 TOTAL
841,401 Dem (50.8%)
484,203 Rep (29.2%)
329,937 Inds/Oth (19.9%)
They are using the same arguement that LOOK AT THAT EARLY VOTE FLORIDA SOLID BLUE.
This was on CNN on Nov 8, 2016.
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They used the same metric to say that in 2016 and look where it got them.
That percentage of Dem early vote share is also decreasing slightly. It was at 51% yesterday. It will decrease further when the vote is further counted and non-mail voting begins. This will be the case as more vote comes in because every blue county of Orange, Broward, and others sent their ballots 1 week earlier than the red ones.
Finally, I gotta be a bit more anecdotal here. I have seen things this election year that have never happened here before. Anti communist rallys filled with Hispanics with hundreds of cars in Miami, boat parades and armadas constantly waving Trump 2020 like its the new Jolly Roger, and what got me to put everything into perspective, gigantic Trump signs every 2 minutes across the Florida Keys. That one got me the most because the last time they voted Republican in Monroe County before Trump was in 1988. I am not seeing Biden anywhere in regards to signs, enthusiasm, anything. Without Trump voters, you would never know it was an election year. If data is more your style:
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I just don't think Biden will win Florida.