2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

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Cardenio said:
A lot of hoopla is being made because Allan Lichtman who correctly predicted the winner of the popular vote of every US Election since 1984 (excluding 2016 since Hillary won the popular vote) has predicted Biden will win the popular vote and thus most likely win the Electoral College as well. I'm here to tell you that his "13 Keys" is a very decent model but Lichtman has been fooled by his own liberal biases and is wrong this time. Highlighted is what I disagree with.
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5 & 6. This is an unusual era due to shutdowns all over the world. Incumbents are thrown out due to recessions because voters naturally blame leaders. I think we can agree that this Covid would have happened no matter who was president. Also Trump and the Fed have prevented the ceiling falling on us by printing money. Stocks are up and so are house prices. The recession is undoubtedly coming but we're not in it yet. Thus both statements are true.
11. Trump has achieved major inroads in making peace in the Middle East. Also Trump has been getting soldiers out of Afganinstan and Iraq which the majority of Americans have wanted for very long. Finally ISIS & Muslim Terrorism itself has slowed down significantly under Trump. I don't see how those are not major successes.
12. Trump's not charismatic? He is one of the most absurdly charismatic people there is. That's why we're all fascinated by him.

So to sum it up Lictman says Trump will lose because 7 of his 13 statements have come up "False." In my view only 3 statements are false and by the prediction system's rules that means Trump wins. But maybe my bias is effecting me as well? We'll find out in a month.
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He's also wrong about the unrest. This year's unrest has clearly been manufactured and the responsibility for it growing to what it has become rests clearly and decisively on the shoulders of the challenger.
 
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4STA said:
I've been saying it for years on end, and predicted the same for the 2018 Midterms. In each case people here have disagreed, which is of course fine, but in the case of 2018 I was proven completely correct. The reason for this disclaimer is that I don't "Doompost" without cause.

For a long list of reasons, Trump's first term has been a failure. Not necessarily to the US itself, inherently, or in other words for foreign policy, jobs, economy etc. typical issues that a president would have to worry about. No, the reason that it was a failure was that he failed to root out or combat in any way the growing Commie / Far Left / Deep State powers that are taking down the nation with them. Especially Big Tech. They said openly in 2016 that they'd never let Trump win again, then ever since they've been openly working towards that goal. Trump beyond Tweeting that he dislikes this, did nothing to stop this. (Which is especially ironic because now Twitter likes to openly shit on his Tweets, and he can do nothing about it) And some of that, especially in relation to the indoctrination of the young has come to surface this year. When the Portland et all Communist riots began, I said the authorities would side with, and not against them. People here laughed at me, again, and were wrong to do so, again.

The point of that paragraph is that the powers that be have turned enough people against Trump and sanity in general, that Trump is by far on track to lose. And a ton of the reasoning as to why that won't happen sounds identical to 2018 reasoning. ("No Democrats will not retake the House, because they've gone too far Left, Polls are Fake, 2016 though, etc.)

Not only do I think Trump will lose, I think the US will enter an era of significant and irreversible stagnation. In 2016 (on another account with a similar name, on this Forum, maybe some of you know it, forgot the password during one of the forum resets) I said Trump had to fix the US from top to bottom and that this was a huge task. If he'd fail, all of the underlying problems would come to Roost, and be unstoppable very soon. That time is now.
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I've gone over why the 2018 midterms are not a good predictor of the 2020 election, and in fact, midterms have historically been in favour of the incumbent's opposing party. In fact, it's rare for the incumbent's party to not lose seats in both houses, and guess what? Trump gained seats in the Senate and maintained control. So while you may believe you're doomposting for good reason, it really isn't very impressive that you managed to predict the outcome of a midterm election would follow historical outcomes. The rest of your post is just based on pessimistic feelings rather than any solid reasoning- if you haven't been following the thread closely, many people have gone over the statistical reasons why public polls are often misleading, and monitoring polls that are open about their sampling methods and attempt to be non-biased. I should also add that media trust has been falling (see attachment), even though that'll probably just be seen as a "cope" (and yet public polls somehow aren't). Sorry, but this post just makes me think of Nate Tin thinking he's an amazing pollster just because of 2012, and even if your prediction ends up being correct, it doesn't necessarily mean that your reasoning was sound (which seems to be what you think now with how you talk about your midterm predictions, which again, the results weren't even as bad for Trump as you'd expect considering history).
 

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GuntPunt said:
Nate JUST is calling Georgia to go to Biden as is celebrating.
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Note that Nate probably also predicted he would never go bald.
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Well that's depressing they that poor coomer on TV. With his sad snake and diaper fox. That goatee isn't helping either.

So now with Hunter Biden story being back in the news with new details. Lets see how well the bulwark all the tech companies have built holds.
I already notce Jack has mentioned the 2018 don't post hacked info rule. Also no doxxxing of emails and phone numbers are allowed.

The Democrats made their bed during that impeachment if they just left the phone call alone. Still I'm split on who will win if white collar unemployment continues to go up I don't think Trump will be able to win.
 
Someone Awful said:
WTF Trump took off his tie.
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Ultra Instinct

Salubrious said:
Maybe that's why Andrew Cuomo is deciding to round the Jews up now.

Which, honestly even with the MSM, I can't believe isn't a bigger story.
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Because if people are upset about rounding up Kikes, then we have to be upset about China trying to exterminate reeducate Jawas. And as we all know, "China numba wun!".

GuntPunt said:
Oh, yeah, and Obama is back.
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Looks like someone needs their adrenochrome. Being out of office has aged him more than being President did. I've also never seen a man lose the hair on the sides of their head before hair on top.

Probably just GRIDS from taking it the ass too much, though.
 
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Clockwork_PurBle said:
Oh dear Lord why is the fox in a diaper?
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Welcome to the internet, my dear. Since it's clear this is your first day, here is one tip you must remember: if you feel compelled to ask WHY. You're probably better off preserving your innocence.

FunPosting101 said:
Nate Bronze is a diaper fur lmao. :story: I really don't like the fact that I know what a "diaper fur" is though, so I guess the joke's on me, ultimately. *sigh*
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And this is an example of why this rule is in place. Protip: don't look up diaperfur. Infact never look up anything with the terms diaper or fur in it. Trust me. (Also, wasn't the term "babyfur"? Did they change it or are "diaperfurs" a new and legally distinct brand of degeneracy? Wait I think I don't want that question answered...)

FunPosting101 said:
This needs to be part of the random text.
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I second this motion.
 
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EmuWarsVeteran said:
And this is an example of why this rule is in place. Protip: don't look up diaperfur. Infact never look up anything with the terms diaper or fur in it. Trust me. (Also, wasn't the term "babyfur"? Did they change it or are "diaperfurs" a new and legally distinct brand of degeneracy? Wait I think I don't want that question answered...)
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They're related, but distinct. Take it from one who spends too much time in AC.
 
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Cardenio said:
Meanwhile Rasmussen claims Trump falls into the clear margin of error and holds a whopping 23% approval with Black Voters.
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Crack habits don't happen overnight and at fifty Hunter was getting high and masquerading as Beau for a long time. Blacks remember who wrote the Clinton era crime bill that sent thousands of black men and women to prison for decades over doing what Hunter has been up to all along.

lol at Kamala thinking people get amnesia and totally can't remember how you sent them or their parents to the slammer over bullshit.
 
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4STA said:
I've been saying it for years on end, and predicted the same for the 2018 Midterms. In each case people here have disagreed, which is of course fine, but in the case of 2018 I was proven completely correct. The reason for this disclaimer is that I don't "Doompost" without cause.

For a long list of reasons, Trump's first term has been a failure. Not necessarily to the US itself, inherently, or in other words for foreign policy, jobs, economy etc. typical issues that a president would have to worry about. No, the reason that it was a failure was that he failed to root out or combat in any way the growing Commie / Far Left / Deep State powers that are taking down the nation with them. Especially Big Tech. They said openly in 2016 that they'd never let Trump win again, then ever since they've been openly working towards that goal. Trump beyond Tweeting that he dislikes this, did nothing to stop this. (Which is especially ironic because now Twitter likes to openly shit on his Tweets, and he can do nothing about it) And some of that, especially in relation to the indoctrination of the young has come to surface this year. When the Portland et all Communist riots began, I said the authorities would side with, and not against them. People here laughed at me, again, and were wrong to do so, again.

The point of that paragraph is that the powers that be have turned enough people against Trump and sanity in general, that Trump is by far on track to lose. And a ton of the reasoning as to why that won't happen sounds identical to 2018 reasoning. ("No Democrats will not retake the House, because they've gone too far Left, Polls are Fake, 2016 though, etc.)

Not only do I think Trump will lose, I think the US will enter an era of significant and irreversible stagnation. In 2016 (on another account with a similar name, on this Forum, maybe some of you know it, forgot the password during one of the forum resets) I said Trump had to fix the US from top to bottom and that this was a huge task. If he'd fail, all of the underlying problems would come to Roost, and be unstoppable very soon. That time is now.
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I don't agree that he'll lose, I do agree that Trump has failed to remove the cancer in society, but I disagree he did nothing.

Most of the turn-over at the White House has been because people were diligent wearing their masks but let them slip at key moments. Trump has said so himself that he "didn't realize (the swamp) was so deep". The barbarians were already inside the gates when Trump arrived, but he's successfully redirecting the SCOTUS and with it western thought for the next 20 to 30 years.

He's fended off multiple coup attempts from within the US Government and retained control of the senate despite an unceasing tide of propaganda and attacks from the news media, Hollywood, and "influencers".

The SCOTUS nominations are going to echo for a long time.

And while he hasn't taken any direct action to combat the return of the red menace, he's made them all drop their masks and expose themselves. The news has been exposed as fabricated. Democrats are now openly seen for the socialists they are. Antifa is recognized as the brownshirts they've always been. Silicon Valley has been exposed as Big Brother. The traitors in hiding in consumer media (video/tabletop games, comics, print media, and film and television) have all flipped their wigs and lost their audiences.

Now, being active in a space like this, you were already awake to all of these things and saw the writing on the wall, so the actions of these people hasn't seemed much different or new to you, but the thing is;

The normies have noticed.

MrJokerRager said:
If Trump loses then America deserves to burn and White America deserves to get blacked hard by Kamala Harris.

I mean at that point, God will give nations the leaders they truly deserve.

EDIT: This election is giving me 2012 vibes where Obama lost a lot of his shine after the 2010 midterms. Obama went on to win in the end thanks to black voter turnout to compensate for whites disillusioned by him.

I felt that Obama was going to lose as I was a Democrat back then. The 2018 midterms was not a blue wave that stop Trump from doing more in the last two years.

As for the deep state, pray the GOP has some Colonel Kurtz in stock to start the fire.
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The writing was already on the walls after the Tea Party 2010, though. The Obama Administration never really came back from that since Obama had to do everything via EO after that point. It was also likely the beginning of the awakening of populism as people were turning away from the establishment, on both sides. No Tea Party, no "Squad".
 
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EmuWarsVeteran said:
I mean. That article does call Biden "China Joe Biden", so I'mma guess it's got a bit of a bias. Not attacking their conclusions I think Trump got this one on the bag easy, but I wouldn't link them as reliable sources when they're that blatantly in favor of one side ya know.
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Regardless of whether they are biased or not, Rasmussen was one of the more accurate pollsters in 2016. Just throwing that out there.
 
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4STA said:
I've been saying it for years on end, and predicted the same for the 2018 Midterms. In each case people here have disagreed, which is of course fine, but in the case of 2018 I was proven completely correct. The reason for this disclaimer is that I don't "Doompost" without cause.

For a long list of reasons, Trump's first term has been a failure. Not necessarily to the US itself, inherently, or in other words for foreign policy, jobs, economy etc. typical issues that a president would have to worry about. No, the reason that it was a failure was that he failed to root out or combat in any way the growing Commie / Far Left / Deep State powers that are taking down the nation with them. Especially Big Tech. They said openly in 2016 that they'd never let Trump win again, then ever since they've been openly working towards that goal. Trump beyond Tweeting that he dislikes this, did nothing to stop this. (Which is especially ironic because now Twitter likes to openly shit on his Tweets, and he can do nothing about it) And some of that, especially in relation to the indoctrination of the young has come to surface this year. When the Portland et all Communist riots began, I said the authorities would side with, and not against them. People here laughed at me, again, and were wrong to do so, again.

The point of that paragraph is that the powers that be have turned enough people against Trump and sanity in general, that Trump is by far on track to lose. And a ton of the reasoning as to why that won't happen sounds identical to 2018 reasoning. ("No Democrats will not retake the House, because they've gone too far Left, Polls are Fake, 2016 though, etc.)

Not only do I think Trump will lose, I think the US will enter an era of significant and irreversible stagnation. In 2016 (on another account with a similar name, on this Forum, maybe some of you know it, forgot the password during one of the forum resets) I said Trump had to fix the US from top to bottom and that this was a huge task. If he'd fail, all of the underlying problems would come to Roost, and be unstoppable very soon. That time is now.
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Sir, this is an Arby's.
 
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Trump retweeted Styxhexenhammer666 LMAO 2020 is surreal.
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