2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

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Imagine saying this while going full retard on the Texas is blue meme.
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Texas early voting is modeled to have a 16% Republican edge. With Trump having the highest in party approval since Reagan, I doubt there is going to be a massive crossover vote.
 
the idea is to put in any effort to lower Biden's national margins at any possible opportunity



I live in eastern Queens, and my neighborhood in 'normal times' was safe enough that a 20 something girl could walk around naked at night without any trouble (partly because cops wouldn't even need to patrol, so no public indecency charge). Because of De Blasio Admin's decision to fill up this one hotel with felons and sex offenders, violent crime skyrocketed in my neighborhood. Robberies and assaults are now semi frequent. Same patterns in other neighborhoods as well.
Go ahead, THROW your vote away! AHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAAAAAAAAAAAAA!
 
Imagine saying this while going full retard on the Texas is blue meme.
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Texas early voting is modeled to have a 16% Republican edge. With Trump having the highest in party approval since Reagan, I doubt there is going to be a massive crossover vote.
What the hell is he modeling for these numbers? Now I know why Baris has so much contempt for the guy.
 
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Which one is Millie Weaver? Is she a nutter?

It wouldn't surprise me if the tactics Antifa / BLM and other marxist insurrectionists had been practicing all summer during the riots were planned to be used in some sort of fantasy coup, since they are idolozing and in some cases being trained / indoctrinated by the 1970s marxist terrorists.
Nobody paying attention thinks antifa have the moral highground. Their antics will have cost Biden the election, honestly, considering the amount of voters Floyd and Kenosha redpilled is larger in Minnesota and Wisconsin than the winning vote margins in 2016.
 

In my opinion, Trump already has IA/OH/NC/GA/FL/TX in the bag. When you select all those states on 538 and give them to Trump, Trump's chances go all the way from 12% up to 59%.

Here is how it looks like when I select all the Safe Red states/districts, and then tack on Arizona.

This more or less is my prediction except that Nate's program is still underestimating Trump in Michigan IMO.
 

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My prediction. I kept it somewhat realistic, as I didn't put NY as red. I should've kept Illinois blue, but I think the turnout from the other parts of the state will offset the corruption. Also I want Trump to hit 400 and it was the only way.
 
Im not a doom sperg

Without hi tech or a reversion to pre industrial society the indoctrination breaks. To keep such a hi tech society intact is extremely resource intensive and cannot compete in the long term. Return to primitivism is most likely to happen.

So you're a doom sperg AND a luddite.

Edit: My prediction.

 
Imagine saying this while going full retard on the Texas is blue meme.
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Texas early voting is modeled to have a 16% Republican edge. With Trump having the highest in party approval since Reagan, I doubt there is going to be a massive crossover vote.

It's not just that Biden and Trump are equal. It's that in seven-eight months, Trump has never had a better than 50% chance of winning TEXAS!!!

Does that even begin to sound plausible?

And even worse, Nate has zero answer for this other than TEH POLEZ SAY SO!!!
 
One reason Trump needs to win is to really set off the left's internal civil war. Progressives vs progressives. Progressives vs neoliberals. It's gonna be ugly. It's already starting to get a little wobbly, and that's while they still think Trump is gonna lose.

I posted this in the TYT forum earlier, but Ana Kasparian and Jimmy Dore are going at each other. If she's felt like this about people on her own side all along, I can't imagine how it will be if the Dems get completely wiped out in ten days. The recriminations will be epic.
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One reason Trump needs to win is to really set off the left's internal civil war. Progressives vs progressives. Progressives vs neoliberals. It's gonna be ugly. It's already starting to get a little wobbly, and that's while they still think Trump is gonna lose.

I posted this in the TYT forum earlier, but Ana Kasparian and Jimmy Dore are going at each other. If she's felt like this about people on her own side all along, I can't imagine how it will be if the Dems get completely wiped out in ten days. The recriminations will be epic.
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Who would end up winning that civil war? The old, corporate-approved guard or the wokehawks?
 
One reason Trump needs to win is to really set off the left's internal civil war. Progressives vs progressives. Progressives vs neoliberals. It's gonna be ugly. It's already starting to get a little wobbly, and that's while they still think Trump is gonna lose.

I posted this in the TYT forum earlier, but Ana Kasparian and Jimmy Dore are going at each other. If she's felt like this about people on her own side all along, I can't imagine how it will be if the Dems get completely wiped out in ten days. The recriminations will be epic.
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Who would end up winning that civil war? The old, corporate-approved guard or the wokehawks?
Who cares, they are co-dependant. Its like a white trash family they both hate each other but once one of them OD's on Meth the other one starves and dies unless they can find another degenerate to latch onto.

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Who would end up winning that civil war? The old, corporate-approved guard or the wokehawks?
It depends on who wins the election

If Biden wins, the old guard would win since they have complete control over the country and can go full "I told you so" onto the progressives to make them fall in line

Trump winning would actually have the progressives win that theoretical civil war since they see that the old guard Democrats are unable to beat the Trump boogeyman and it doesn't help that Pelosi, pretty much the face of the DNC old guard is close to her death bed while the previous living Democrats presidents would rather do their own thing than get involved in party drama.
 

In my opinion, Trump already has IA/OH/NC/GA/FL/TX in the bag. When you select all those states on 538 and give them to Trump, Trump's chances go all the way from 12% up to 59%.
Actually did the same thing, except that I pushed every state that I think is a lock for Trump at this rate and a lock for Biden. This is what I came up with,

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It's weird. Under this circumstance, Trump is the favor the win the election yet he's on track to lose every state except Arizona. Even Pennsylvania gives Biden a 56% of winning under this scenario. Which to be fair isn't unreasonable, but if you design the map to allow me to give Trump a majority chance to win, should there not be be a state outside Arizona that Trump has a 50/50 or higher shot in?
 

My prediction. I kept it somewhat realistic, as I didn't put NY as red. I should've kept Illinois blue, but I think the turnout from the other parts of the state will offset the corruption. Also I want Trump to hit 400 and it was the only way.
As much as I'd love to see this, there is absolutely zero chance WA goes red. Seattle is full-on communist, the Eastside suburbs are full of upper-middle-class liberals obsessed with the social prestige that publicly supporting left-wing causes gives them (and are insulated from its negative effects, for now), and the rest of the state doesn't have enough people to out-vote those two groups. Oregon has a better chance of flipping just because the population imbalance between Portland and the rest of the state isn't quite as extreme, but even that has an extremely low chance of happening.
 
I dunno. The boomers have the money, but the tankies have the guillotines.1
but the tankies have the guillotines hormones, self-diagnosed mental disorders, superhero LARP gear, and all-around dysgenic traits.

However, Bio-Leninism predicts that, since they are the dregs of society by design and know no healthy society would ever grant them power, they will be 110% loyal to the cause of tearing things down, unlike more stable/healthy/functioning members of society who can course correct once proven wrong.
 

In my opinion, Trump already has IA/OH/NC/GA/FL/TX in the bag. When you select all those states on 538 and give them to Trump, Trump's chances go all the way from 12% up to 59%.

Selecting just Arizona and North Carolina bumps him up to 54%.

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It's already being blamed on Russia. My TDS-afflicted grandparents genuinely think Russia is trying to intervene in 2020.
That's the issue with Facebook and Twitter censorship.

Someone said it in one of the threads, but they looked at their grandmother's Facebook feed and it was a completely alternative reality where everything CNN says is true without question. I know some of my older relatives's feeds probably look the same.
 
That's the issue with Facebook and Twitter censorship.

Someone said it in one of the threads, but they looked at their grandmother's Facebook feed and it was a completely alternative reality where everything CNN says is true without question. I know some of my older relatives's feeds probably look the same.
They don't have social medias beyond my grandfather having Facebook. They believe everything MSNBC says.
 
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