2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

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I can't believe I'm doing this and defending the DNC, but AOC was not invited to the party. She ambushed what's his name in the primary because he didn't take her seriously. This was not their plan.

We have to be intellectually honest. Even if it comes down to, Evola forbid, civil war and helicopter rides for commies I like to think it will be an intellectually honest civil war and intellectually honest helicopter rides.

I like to think I'll write many thunkful screeds even if things turn really nasty and I have to write them on toilet paper, of which I have a 15-year stockpile.
 
Huh,... Well learn something everyday
I remember her being the talk of the town and the Dems trying to spin her as a big icon. Even so, they really should have tried to neutralize her quickly, instead they seemed to want to press their luck by making her a prominent figure and that has surely backfired on all accounts.

Was the Squad a ploy by the DNC, or were they ambushes too? Even with just them, there is clearly some mixed messaging.
Umm, that all happened, the (attempted) neutralization. Remember last summer when Nancy Pelosi was trying to distance herself from The Squad and Trump said they should go back to where they came from? Then the Dems were forced to reassociate with them?

And it wasn't really the left making her into a big figure, it was the right turning her into a lightning rod. It's the right that wanted to make her the face of the party.
Nate Copium releases his hottest take yet.
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If Biden loses PA, the only fucking state he has been campaigning consistantly in, he's dead everywhere else in the Rust Belt he hasn't been campaigning in.
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Umm, that all happened, the (attempted) neutralization. Remember last summer when Nancy Pelosi was trying to distance herself from The Squad and Trump said they should go back to where they came from? Then the Dems were forced to reassociate with them?

And it wasn't really the left making her into a big figure, it was the right turning her into a lightning rod. It's the right that wanted to make her the face of the party.

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Is there a map for all of the trump visits?
 

Expect the third Pennsylvania poll to be up tonight and for Arizona to also get an update. You can check it out here,


- Chester County has remained competitive despite voter registration trends favoring Democrats (although the home stretch did have Republicans make a slight gain)
- Trump is losing senior at a greater rate in Pennsylvania than in Florida
- Donald Trump's gain among black - particularly young black men - has not evaporated a week before the election, which usually happens with Republicans. He'll get 15-20%, the raw is at 17% right now.
- 21.9% of 18-29 black plans to support Trump, while 18.8% of 30-44 blacks (just as good for working class 30-39), 12.1% of 45-64, and seniors look like traditionally low Republican support (single digits)
- Trump will get killed in Hennenpin County
- Do not listen to the voter file that is online, especially not in states without party preference references
- There is significant crossover in Minnesota - do not read too much into early voting in Minnesota
- Biden is doing worse in urban areas but a little better in some of the rural areas
- Minnesota is very difficult to poll
- The Ben Shapiro "decency and religious" people that did not vote for Trump might be coming home after all and it could be due to Amy Barrett's nomination and confirmation
- Trump is widening his lead among Independents in Pennsylvania
- The race is competitive
- Initially, 60% of people in the Rust Belt were familiar with the Biden scandals stories, but it has rose considerably in a few days
- Pennsylvania and Arizona will be updated first
- Baris believes that Nate Silver is a narrative maker that wants every pollsters to fall in line due to his ridiculous comment that Trump can only win due to significant polling error or stealing the election
- Nate removed Trafalgar Group due to being too pro-Trump, believes he will remove any dissident polls
- Trump is leading with independents in Wisconsin
- Some things are different from 2016, but there are also similar trends in 2016
- People have grown more uncomfortable with Kamala Harris in his Pennsylvania poll than before
- Trump going to Pennsylvania three times yesterday forced Biden to take the lid off and head to Chester County where he was all but ignored
- Trump has made gains in Philadelphia County. The two wards that supported him are going for him at even larger margins but it has larger counties. Corruption from Philadelphia will remains an issue
- Trump is getting killed in Delaware and Montgomery County
- Baris will oversampled Chester County just to make sure what he's seeing is true with him being competitive
- Undecided is going down and it's very much favoring Trump
- Crossover vote will be much bigger for Trump than Biden
- Biden's support is all but maxed out for Trump
- Thinks that the state might be heading in Trump's directions
- Believes it is possible that with Barrett in the court, the judges can strike down the unconstitutional three day ballot counting and absentee without postmarks requirement before Election Day
- He believes Trump will hit 40% in Allegheny County based on leaners, possibly more
- Biden can do better in Lackawanna, but Monroe could go to Trump as he is leading in the poll
- Luzerne County might go to Trump by a twenty-five point margin
- Berks County is giving mixed signals, suggests Biden could close the gap if not flip but it's a "wait and see. Current polling has Trump at a twelve point lead
- The race has tightened, moving away from Biden
 
Umm, that all happened, the (attempted) neutralization. Remember last summer when Nancy Pelosi was trying to distance herself from The Squad and Trump said they should go back to where they came from? Then the Dems were forced to reassociate with them?

And it wasn't really the left making her into a big figure, it was the right turning her into a lightning rod. It's the right that wanted to make her the face of the party.

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That graphic tells me all I need to know about what Biden's internal polling is telling them. In that Biden expects Trump to win OH, IA, FL, AZ and NC, which means if Trump gets PA too, then the fat lady sings, more or less.

Either that or it's convenient for his tired, decrepit ass to over-visit a state real close to where he lives.
 
I think it's more that GamerGate was the culture war coming to gaming, and it just happened to occur right as the new-right realized the left had no fucking idea how to actually fight a culture war, that trolling the left is hilariously fun, and that righty culture is actually superior to what the radical left is pushing. Gamers told the radical left "no, and fuck you you faggot retard nigger kike tranny" and they had no fucking idea how to respond to someone not only refusing to give surrender immediately, but actively pushing back and mocking them.

That was the huge takeaway people like Milo noticed. The left wins the culture because the right was told never to bother fighting. The left doesn't actually know how to fight a culture war, not really. They are completely reliant on the right not questioning their sociopolitical pseudo-religious beliefs (like in "privilege," "identity," or "gender") and the second that is no longer the case, they literally have no idea what to do.

But if it wasn't GamerGate, it would have been ComicsGate, or TabletopGate, or something else. At some point someone would have told the left to fuck off and the new-right's growing realization that the right doesn't have to constantly surrender cultural issues to the left would have sparked all this shit.
I agree. If it wasn't George Floyd, it would have been Jacob Blake.


Every left's main arguments are conversation enders for lack of a better term. You're wrong because you're unconsciously biased. If you're black like 50 Cent, you have internalized racism against blacks. If you're a woman like Candice Owens (who's also black), you suffer from internalized misogyny. If a black trans womyn is talking, she's automatically right because of her "lived experiences" and you are wrong and need to shut up and listen.

They never actually engage in dialogue. They're all five year olds - "I'm right and you're wrong."
 
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I agree. If it wasn't George Floyd, it would have been Jacob Blake.


Every left's main arguments are conversation enders for lack of a better term. You're wrong because you're unconsciously biased. If you're black like 50 Cent, you have internalized racism against blacks. If you're a woman like Candice Owens (who's also black), you suffer from internalized misogyny. If a black trans womyn is talking, she's automatically right because of her "lived experiences" and you are wrong and need to shut up and listen.

They never actually engage in dialogue. They're all five year olds - "I'm right and you're wrong."
So the Left is pretty much this guy

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If it's a clear K.O., then yes.

If it's close, then no way.

Brandon Tatum was part of a Blexit rally in DC about a month ago or so. I like what he had to say: "Trump voters, don't get complacent: RUN UP THE SCORE. Get out there and vote, even if you are in the reddest or bluest state imaginable." If on election night, it is determined that Trump supporters have indeed run up the score, then the best option for the Dems from an optics standpoint is to force Biden to concede ... Otherwise they look even worse than they already do.

If Trump supporters all get out there and vote in record-breaking numbers, then no amount of fraud will swing the election back to Biden.

Their entire plan hinges on keeping it close enough to steal. They can adjust things 1-5% or so, in one state, maybe. 10%? No way. Multiple states? No way. Each time they do it it becomes exponentially more obvious what they're doing, and if Trump can get any evidence whatsoever, the game is up.

It's why Abrams won't fuck off and go away. She was promised the position, they rigged shit, but she lost so hard that even them fixing shit couldn't save it. She's too fucking stupid to realize that she's supposed to go away for a few years and try, try again. Oook oook, ME BUNGA BIG LEADER WAMMYN.

Afaik, the Biden campaign was already prepped to litigate/contest everything about the election if they lose, as is the Trump campaign.

They're also litigating now, and Republicans are counter litigating. Democrats are considering any vote security/verification to be suppression, Republicans are considering any removal of vote security to be laying the groundwork for fraud.

The betting odds I've seen atm favor a concession happening "November 15 or later".

I think there's going to be a legal shitshow & media freakout after the election, libs will protest suppression, reps will protest fraud.

If they can get it down to 1 state -- god help us if that's Pennsylvania -- then you'll see lawfare the likes you'll never believe. But I fully expect them to give up if Trump has gotten enough of a win that it'd take more than 1 or 2 states of fuckery to flip. They absolutely must keep the "voter fraud" arrow in their quiver until they can use it in such a way that they won't be caught using it. If Trump survives or even can expose the game on his way out, god help them because the GOP might have a mandate to push through something horrific like Voter ID -- and then they're FUCKED.

Regardless, this will be the new Bush v Gore, only amplified with all the religious fervor that they take the Russiagate hoax under. You'll be hearing about how he stole the election -- TWICE -- for the next 20-30 years. It'll be like the old Conservatives ranting about how we could have won Vietnam if not for that goddamned stupid "reality" getting in the way.

"We could have won if he had just stopped campaigning and doing rallies like we told him he had to because of that really bad flu season we had in 2020!"
 
If Trump wins will Biden concede?
I would be shocked if that’s the case.

The fix is in to commit mass voter fraud. The DNC hasn’t been trying very hard not because Biden is a jobber candidate but because they know that millions of fraudulent ballots are being filled out, likely as we speak. If Trump is able to cover the margin of fraud and then some, it will be a knockout dragout fight for weeks.

The Democrats have long since done away with even the slightest veneer of legitimacy. It’s not even that unrealistic to consider. The last few years have been a collective shit test as constitutional rights erode rapidly and for the most part, the public just took it. Want to protest? Imagine if that means losing your job or locked out of your bank account. With a senile, smiling Biden promising big brained centrism, most people will just accept the results and shrug off a stolen election. They just wanna grill and their fat wife wants to go to Hawaii for vacation, democracy can take a backseat to more consoomerism.
 
If you're someone that believes money talks, Bloomberg is reporting that Trump is going to stop spending ad money in Florida and start spending it in Minnesota.

What's hilarious is that Bloomberg originally reported the article and then "corrected" it.

It went from:

Trump Pulls Florida Ads as Cash Poor Campaign Enters Final Week

to

Trump Campaign Shifts Florida Ad Spend Burden to RNC

(Corrects story to include context that was missing from earlier version on additional spending planned by the Republican National Committee on Trump’s behalf.)
 
I agree. If it wasn't George Floyd, it would have been Jacob Blake.


Every left's main arguments are conversation enders for lack of a better term. You're wrong because you're unconsciously biased. If you're black like 50 Cent, you have internalized racism against blacks. If you're a woman like Candice Owens (who's also black), you suffer from internalized misogyny. If a black trans womyn is talking, she's automatically right because of her "lived experiences" and you are wrong and need to shut up and listen.

They never actually engage in dialogue. They're all five year olds - "I'm right and you're wrong."

It's worse than that. It's religious thought. Their arguments suck because they don't have any arguments. They have conclusions and work backwards from them.

It's why logic and reason don't work with them, because they KNOW you're a racist transphobic reactionary piece of shit white supremacist (even if you're black or brown) who is enjoying unearned privilege and probably kicks puppies too -- they just have to find WHY they know it and WHAT you did wrong. (Note that all of those words mean nothing to them other than "bad guy" -- or, perhaps, "sinner.")

You can't use logic and reason against someone who is using feeling and belief as the basis of their ideology, be it Islam or Post-Modernism.

The only way you can fight it really is to show people how fucking insane they are and hope onlookers are shook out of the pseudo-religious belief. Fortunately, a really good way to do that is what I call Empathy Fatigue. Yes, the radical left can get leftists to obey them by shouting magic words -- transphobe, antisemite, racist! -- but each time they do they risk driving that person into the realization that their empathy is being weaponized against them.

And once that happens, well, you get GamerGate all over again. The real story of GamerGate wasn't the culture war crap, or the insane and unhinged reaction to a bunch of uppity gamers telling their marxist betters to fuck off -- no, the real story was that a shitload, an absolute shitload, of moderate liberal Gamers got shit on by radical leftists and instead of falling in line, they laughed and joined the Alt-Right just to fucking spite them. It singlehandedly accelerated GenZ's leaving the leftist plantation by years and years, and the radical left doesn't even realize how fucked they are because of it.
 
Rewatched the final debate last night. Biden looks like a plastic idiot that's afraid of his own shadow, and can't come off as sincere or convincing in any of his points. This was even with the moderator running interference and profusely apologizing to people at the end. I really think his performance might have damaged his chances.
 
Is anyone else seeing these emoji-laden Trump ads on Youtube or did the algorithm mistakenly tag me as an 18 year old Tiktok user?
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He did a 7-figure ad buy starting last night at midnight. 24 hours of damn near every ad being Trump.

7 figures... none of which were spent on the thumbnail.
 
Rewatched the final debate last night. Biden looks like a plastic idiot that's afraid of his own shadow, and can't come off as sincere or convincing in any of his points. This was even with the moderator running interference and profusely apologizing to people at the end. I really think his performance might have damaged his chances.
Might have been the brain medicine wearing off or the fact that his idiot son may have cost him the Presidency. Past few weeks have not been good to Biden, as much as the media denies it its out there in the public mindset that Hunter is a crack head and associated with child pornography. Whether its true or not the fact remains that the name "Biden" is only a few steps removed from "child porn" in some peoples minds and could cause just enough voters to decide no for Biden. There's also the fact that the Supreme Court is now solidly Conservative with three Justices personaly appointed by Trump. If the election gets contested it could make it all the way to the Supreme Court who would find a way to make their ruling in Trumps favor. Biden needs a landslide if he wants to win and all hes seeing from the public polls and internal polling is his lead evaporating and the election becoming even more of a toss-up.
 
Umm, that all happened, the (attempted) neutralization. Remember last summer when Nancy Pelosi was trying to distance herself from The Squad and Trump said they should go back to where they came from? Then the Dems were forced to reassociate with them?

And it wasn't really the left making her into a big figure, it was the right turning her into a lightning rod. It's the right that wanted to make her the face of the party.

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This is interesting because we can see that Biden does know what states to campaign in. He obviously doesn't believe the blue Texas nonsense that some people have been saying, and he knows MN is a potential swing too. It makes me wonder what all the Biden +8 polls are for if the campaign isn't following them.
 
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