2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

[heyitsmike]

The three day extension and no signature requirement on absentee ballots in Pennsylvania will stay.

Link / Archive

The reason for this is that Judge Amy Barrett did not have time to fully review the parties' filing since she was just recently appointed into the Supreme Court. However, the Pennsylvanian GOPs can reapply after the election in case there are issues with the ballots. Ballots submitted after November 3rd at 8 :00 p.m. EST and November 6th at 5:00 p.m. EST will be segregated (archive).

I don't think this will be an issue. We'll know early the morning after election day the count of many ballots they received by then. They won't be able to hide if they're lying and counting ballots received on, say the 5th, and pretending they arrived on election day. By 8am on the 4th their number reported will freeze. If it doesn't, we'll know some shady shit is happening.

 

[Someone Awful]

I don't know about Minnesota. Biden had much more of a bigger lead a couple of weeks ago the fact that it went down to 3% should be saying something.

We are five days away from election and I don't think Trump can make up the 3% difference. Also keep in mind Trafalgar was right on every state (except maybe Nevada but I've never seen the results for it) in 2016 and that they factor in the shy Trump voter effect. Though I will admit, I was shocked to see Trump doing even worse there than in 2016 yet Wisconsin coming within striking distance.

I don't think this will be an issue. We'll know early the morning after election day the count of many ballots they received by then. They won't be able to hide if they're lying and counting ballots received on, say the 5th, and pretending they arrived on election day. By 8am on the 4th their number reported will freeze. If it doesn't, we'll know some shady shit is happening.

I hope you're right. But if we can avoid the whole issue in the first place, that would be amazing.

 

[Oats12345]

We are five days away from election and I don't think Trump can make up the 3% difference. Also keep in mind Trafalgar was right on every state (except maybe Nevada but I've never seen the results for it) in 2016 and that they factor in the shy Trump voter effect. Though I will admit, I was shocked to see Trump doing even worse there than in 2016 yet Wisconsin coming within striking distance.

But remmber Trump supporters lie to the pollsters all the time

 

[Pointless Pedant]

MN is definitely the most D leaning state in the midwest outside Illinois, so it's certainly possible for Biden to win there. Pennsylvania and Michigan are the big ones in play, Wisconsin too.

 

[UselessIdiot]

The three day extension and no signature requirement on absentee ballots in Pennsylvania will stay.

View attachment 1692840

Link / Archive

The reason for this is that Judge Amy Barrett did not have time to fully review the parties' filing since she was just recently appointed into the Supreme Court. However, the Pennsylvanian GOPs can reapply after the election in case there are issues with the ballots. Ballots submitted after November 3rd at 8 :00 p.m. EST and November 6th at 5:00 p.m. EST will be segregated (archive).

View attachment 1692862
View attachment 1692864

But Kavanaugh apparently switched sides from the earlier Pennsylvania order, maybe because it was too close to Election Day, as he did not join in the statement Gorsuch, Alito, and Thomas made. Apparently, "additional opinions" may follow. But no guarantees that in case voter fraud flips the state to Biden that they will hear it.

Given that Biden is three points ahead in Trafalgar's Minnesota poll (archive) and that Baris has hinted that Minnesota and Michigan are not close (but I'll wait for the results first), it looks like Baris' prediction about Pennsylvania being the bellwether state are coming true. Our hope now is that Trump can swing Pennsylvania by a percent or more to avoid voting fraud from flipping the state. That or he can get Wisconsin which I still think he has a decent shot at.

Sounds like it will be a nail-biter then. It will hinge on PA and WI. Too close for my liking.

 

[Gustav Schuchardt]

There is no deflating. Maximum lead is maximum salt. They'll just screech harder about how he is an evil racist and america is evil and racist for ellecting him.

I too agree with the Linear No Threshold model of salt yield.

Brexitfags should be proud of what he said today in Phoenix. Again, 10/10 speech.

I am a retard, but I hope someone archieves Nigel's speech in Phoenix.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YmNzSGLkzuk
https://archive.vn/wip/0aDG1

Right now I've got no idea which way this election will go.

 

[Tour of Italy]

Just remember folks, win or lose on Tuesday; laugh and the world laughs with you...

You know the rest.

As a morale boost though, I just got my first ever text from MoveOn, asking me for money for my state and urging me to vote in order to “maintain the lead” before the surge of Republican votes on Election Day.

I live in a blue state. I’m frankly shocked that they’re worried.

I told them fuck off and good luck because I’m gonna be part of that surge, baby.

Anything can happen dudes.

 

[MrJokerRager]

Predictit is still pushing a blue Arizona and even betting stronger on Biden winning the Rust belt.

It's kind of weird ever since the start of the democratic primaries that Trump was behind almost every single candidate.

 

[UselessIdiot]

Predictit is still pushing a blue Arizona and even betting stronger on Biden winning the Rust belt.

It's kind of weird ever since the start of the democratic primaries that Trump was behind almost every single candidate.

It's all so strange.

Biden has been a complete and total mess since the last debate, and that has given more confidence in him? Maybe he's what we deserve.

 

[Inventor of the Telephone]

I currently have ~$4000 USD equivalent on Trump winning this election.

This way even though I'm not in the US I can celebrate/commiserate with you on the results.

I, too, am a man of intrigue.

I too agree with the Linear No Threshold model of salt yield.





https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YmNzSGLkzuk
https://archive.vn/wip/0aDG1
View attachment 1692962

Right now I've got no idea which way this election will go.

They were booing Israel. lol. I didn't expect that.

 

[Oats12345]

View attachment 1692986
I, too, am a man of intrigue.

Trump winning California is a losing bet

 

[Salubrious]

Just remember folks, win or lose on Tuesday; laugh and the world laughs with you...

You know the rest.

 

[Eris!]

in 2016 and that they factor in the shy Trump voter effect.

Whenever a statistician tells me they "factored in" a totally unknowable value I roll my eyes.

 

[Oats12345]

I hope Trump wins Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan like he did last time.

 

[CrippleThreat]

It's all so strange.

Biden has been a complete and total mess since the last debate, and that has given more confidence in him? Maybe he's what we deserve.

Who cares about the "Dark Future" or "a transition from the oil industry? Biden was the chosen one from the beginning.

It would be crazy if Trump never stood a chance to begin with once COVID started.

 

[640by480]

Local bookmaker let me stack Trump,republican and state win bets, as in the odds multiply. I'm not sure if they don't get how elections work or if they made a mistake, but it's not my problem lmao, 600 EUR expected return on a 10EUR bet. It's 2.7 on Trump here, even those are ridiculous odds IMO

Holy smokes thats juicy.

 

[Tour of Italy]

Here’s a hot take;

Democrsts will commit massive voter fraud, in close states, but instead of giving them an edge against Trump, they’ll need it to break even with improperly filled out ballots. Especially since Dem voters are disproportionately doing mail-in and drop-off.

Some key states have fought over flexibility with ballot and witness rules, but if the primaries are any indication, there are still a host of ways to fuck up a mailed ballot that can disqualify it.

And boy howdy were they disqualified, to the tune of hundreds of thousands, maybe even millions.

 

[737 MAX Stan Account]

Trump down SIX POINTS in Texas.

I don't we have enough hospitals to deal with this many copium overdoses

 

[Oats12345]

I don't we have enough hospitals to deal with this many copium overdoses

What happen! He was up prior

 

[Salubrious]

What happen! He was up prior

The same reason Biden is up by SEVENTEEN POINTS in Wisconsin.

They are literally just making shit up at this point.