2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

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My prediction:
Screenshot from 2020-11-01 18-00-03.png

I think NV will swing for Trump. MN and PA are in the air.
If Biden wins all 3, its tied. Then Trump wins based on state legistlature votes alone.
If Trump wins NV, PA, MN, or all 3, its over for Biden.
 
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Just for people's reference, the Bin Laden family is a very large, and very, very wealthy construction magnate family (See: Saudi Binladin Group). Osama Bin Laden was banished from the KSA back in 1992 and the Bin Laden family disowned him at that time and most all family funds were cut off. IIRC.

ETA: I remember seeing a bunch of stuff about the Bin Laden family being heavily in favor of modernization and moderation as compared to the fundamentalist in the KSA. All I am trying to say is that Osama Bin Laden is not a representative of the entire Bin Laden family. Though they may need to be dicked with for entirely different reasons.
 
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tehpope said:
My prediction:
View attachment 1700720
I think NV will swing for Trump. MN and PA are in the air. If Biden wins all 3, its tied. Then Trump wins based on state legistlature votes alone. If Trump wins NV, PA, MN, or all 3, its over for Biden.
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Honestly I don't see how Trump can win Wisconsin without winning Michigan because those two states seem to be connected to each other or mostly vote the same with some exceptions.
 
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Ruin said:
It'll be hilarious if Latino turnout wins Trump the election and democrats start calling for a white ethnostate.
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I said in a different thread that if Trump were to win, that I wouldn't want a landslide - but man now I'm thinking of the crazy (and hilariously racist) shit Don Lemon might have tumble out of his mouth at a latino landslide for Trump and can't help but be enthused at the concept.
 
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Why are all these Republican voters supposedly waiting until Election Day to vote? Is there some kind of security advantage to voting on Election Day as opposed to in person early voting? I would think that it's safer to attempt in person early voting to avoid any logistical foul ups on Election Day or standing in line for hours and not ending up able to cast a ballot.
 
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millais said:
Why are all these Republican voters supposedly waiting until Election Day to vote? Is there some kind of security advantage to voting on Election Day as opposed to in person early voting? I would think that it's safer to attempt in person early voting to avoid any logistical foul ups on Election Day or standing in line for hours and not ending up able to cast a ballot.
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I think it's because early voting is concentrated to very few areas in each city, there are a lot more lines for early voting this year compared to others, and there are some worries over early voting being sketchy to some
 
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tehpope said:
My prediction:
View attachment 1700720
I think NV will swing for Trump. MN and PA are in the air.
If Biden wins all 3, its tied. Then Trump wins based on state legistlature votes alone.
If Trump wins NV, PA, MN, or all 3, its over for Biden.
Click to expand...

I think your map shows how Biden has more of an uphill slog than the pundit class really appreciates. It's completely reasonable for Trump to win every red state you have, with maybe Wisconsin being iffy. I think everything else you put in his column are states he's definitely winning.
 
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millais said:
Why are all these Republican voters supposedly waiting until Election Day to vote? Is there some kind of security advantage to voting on Election Day as opposed to in person early voting? I would think that it's safer to attempt in person early voting to avoid any logistical foul ups on Election Day or standing in line for hours and not ending up able to cast a ballot.
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They believe that it minimizes the chances/time their governors/state officials, whom they distrust, will commit voter fraud due to how late their ballots will come in, a la Election Day.
 
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X Prime said:
The Dems themselves are freaking out, because one of those modifiers (COVID) mainly negatively affects them, and mainly negatively affects in-person voting.

They will not turn out Election Day, because they traditionally do not and they are scared of COVID.

The fact we are seeing a 1% D-R gap in early voting is ludicrous. Floridian independents went R in 2016, any idea that they're disproportionately Biden is likely to be a fantasy; assuming Biden is 500k ahead because of independents is extremely optimistic.
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I don't even think you have to go as far as "Dem's are more scared of COVID".

The real truth is that their "get out the vote" operations have been utterly eviscerated this year due to lockdowns and COVID related delays/confusion. Churches and college campuses alone make up a huge part of Dem's election day presence, and those institutions have been restricted to the point where they can barely serve their original function, let alone be as effective engines for turnout. In contrast historically, solid Republican voters haven't needed as much handholding.

I'm almost certain that Trump is going to outperform Biden on election day, the only remaining question is that will it be enough to overcome whatever gap is leftover from early voting. Like you're pointing out here, based on how well things are going in Florida and NC, I think there's a reason to be optimistic.
 
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Went to take a piss and the size of thr rally doubled with 3 hours to go. On my way back, I heard the Trump supporters behind the row of metal dectectors howl like the dens of hell. Flowery bullshit from Jim Acosta's diary, but still.

Its a hell of a lot different when you are just shitposting at home or watching a Youtube stream.
 
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millais said:
Why are all these Republican voters supposedly waiting until Election Day to vote? Is there some kind of security advantage to voting on Election Day as opposed to in person early voting? I would think that it's safer to attempt in person early voting to avoid any logistical foul ups on Election Day or standing in line for hours and not ending up able to cast a ballot.
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They think the Dems will prepare more ballot fraud if they vote early, whereas a large surge on Election Day is more difficult to prepare fraud for.
 
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BONE_Buddy said:
ETA: I remember seeing a bunch of stuff about the Bin Laden family being heavily in favor of modernization and moderation as compared to the fundamentalist in the KSA. All I am trying to say is that Osama Bin Laden is not a representative of the entire Bin Laden family.
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Noor's mother, Carmen was had Swiss and Persian parents and married into the Bin Laden family, specifically Osama's brother Yeslam. She decided they were Islamic nutters and moved back to Switzerland and cut off contact with Yeslam and her daughter is a Christian. Conversely, Osama decided the family was insufficiently Islamic and moved to Afghanistan and cut off contact with the family.

So Noor and her uncle are at opposite poles on the Islam scale. Noor is an apostate in Islamic terms and uncle Osama was an actual violent jihadist.
BONE_Buddy said:
Though they may need to be dicked with for entirely different reasons.
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At the risk of sounding crass Noor needs to be dicked with for entirely different reasons.
 
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