2020 U.S. Presidential Election - Took place November 3, 2020. Former U.S. Vice President Joe Biden assumed office January 20, 2021.

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Getting ready to place my bets and I iust wanted to ask what the conseus about New Hampshire and New Mexico is asround her3.

I see alot about New Hampshire going red and i've heard some stuff about New Mexico because of Johnson taking votes in 2016 and Biden's stance on oil
Biden's oil gaffe came after the early voting surge, I would not expect New Mexico to go red.

This is part of why the Dems wanted early voting in the first place, so that he could gaffe at the debates without as much repercussions.
 
Getting ready to place my bets and I iust wanted to ask what the conseus about New Hampshire and New Mexico is asround her3.

I see alot about New Hampshire going red and i've heard some stuff about New Mexico because of Johnson taking votes in 2016 and Biden's stance on oil
New Hampshire is a 50/50 and New Mexico is really unknown since there were not many polls in New Mexico.

So it's best if you are placing bets for money to place your bets in Michigan, Ohio, or Florida


In other news, I am going to be voting for the first time today for Trump in my deep blue liberal state, just so I can help him with the popular vote. I hope Americans support him nationwide since these past 4 years were the funniest 4 years of presidential politics and it gets funnier since Trump doesn't need to be worried about re-election if he wins tonight.
 
I’ve become indifferent to the election but I want to make a few guesses. I could be dead wrong on everything lol but why not? Here’s my 20 predictions for the 2020 elections.

1. The Libertarian, Constitution, and Green parties will get less votes than 2016 despite greater voter turnout.
2. Most Gary Johnson and Constitution voters in 2016 will now vote for Trump. Jo will not perform nearly as well as Gary. Most Green Party voters in 2016 will vote Biden. This will be a net gain for Trump since most 3rd party voters are conservative. (Most self-identified independents vote Democrat and aren’t 3rd party voters, despite what journalists think).
3. Trump will get a higher percentage of black male voters.
4. Despite being a minority of a minority, black men that voted for Trump will be blamed for Biden’s loss. Some white liberals will show their true colors.
5: Biden will get less defecting Republican votes than Hillary.
6. Some solid red and blue states will be more purple than usual.
7. I expect a record high turnout in red states like Idaho, Texas, Utah, Louisiana, etc. This won’t affect the electoral college but it’ll help increase Trumps popular vote.
8. Some progressives will topple some big name neoliberals in California. This will make democratic primaries very interesting. This could potentially be bigger than the Presidential election.
9. Trump will win by a smaller electoral margin than 2016 but will also win the popular vote.
10. The progressives will be fired up for the next election and will be out for blood against neoliberals.
11. Some RINOs will officially change parties in the aftermath and side with the neoliberals against the progressives.
12. The Democratic establishment will also blame the Green Party despite getting a smaller percentage of votes in 2020. They will also blame Jo despite her performing worse than Gary.
13. The progressives will pick up Trump talking points on Biden and will use Hunter against Pelosi and any neoliberals tied to Biden.
14. Trump will solidify control over the Republican Party.
15. AoC will position herself for a presidential run in 2024 and will be on the offensive against neoliberals.
16. Obama will throw Biden under the bus as soon as it’s clear that he’ll lose.
17. Most media will stop running interference for Biden once it’s clear he lost. They will turn on him for losing and mention how weak of a candidate he was.
18. Social Media sites will try to backtrack to avoid Cheetos vengeful wrath. They will also believe they didn’t go far enough... again.
19. There will be looting and mass riots.
20. There will be simultaneous rrreeeing about voter suppression and voter fraud at the same time and in the same states.
 
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Well, the results from the New Hampshire midnight voting towns have come in:

Trump is leading 16 to Biden's 10 (Trump got 16-5 in Millsfield. Biden won Dixville Notch 5-0).

I've heard Hart's Location didn't vote due to COVID though.

Edit: For Governor's race, Republican incumbent Chris Sununu is leading 26 to the Democrat opponent's 1 (ouch).

The Senate race has Republican Corky Messner receiving 16 votes to Democrat incumbent Jeanne Shaheen's 11.

New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district has Republican Steven Negron leading with 18 votes to Democrat incumbent Ann McLane Kuster's 9.
Well let's hope Republicans maintain a lead there. It would be crazy if this is a sign that Trump will win New Hampshire.
 
I’ve become indifferent to the election but I want to make a few guesses. I could be dead wrong on everything lol but why not? Here’s my 20 predictions for 2020 elections.

1. The Libertarian, Constitution, and Green parties will get less votes than 2016 despite greater voter turnout.
2. Most Gary Johnson and Constitution voters in 2016 will now vote for Trump. Jo will not perform nearly as well as Gary. Most Green Party voters in 2016 will vote Biden. This will be a net gain for Trump since most 3rd party voters are conservative. (Most self-identified independents vote Democrat and aren’t 3rd party voters, despite what journalists think).
3. Trump will get a higher percentage of black male voters.
4. Despite being a minority of a minority, black men that voted for Trump will be blamed for Biden’s loss. Some white liberals will show their true colors.
5: Biden will get less defecting Republican votes than Hillary.
6. Some solid red and blue states will be more purple than usual.
7. I expect a record high turnout in red states like Idaho, Texas, Utah, Louisiana, etc. This won’t affect the electoral college but it’ll help increase Trumps popular vote.
8. Some progressives will topple some big name neoliberals in California. This will make democratic primaries very interesting. This could potentially be bigger than the Presidential election.
9. Trump will win by a smaller electoral margin than 2016 but will also win the popular vote.
10. The progressives will be fired up for the next election and will be out for blood against neoliberals.
11. Some RINOs will officially change parties in the and side with the neoliberals against the progressives.
12. The Democratic establishment will also blame the Green Party despite getting a smaller percentage of votes in 2020. They will also blame Jo despite her performing worse than Gary.
13. The progressives will pick up Trump talking points on Biden and will use Hunter against Pelosi and any neoliberals tied to Biden.
14. Trump will solidify control over the Republican Party.
15. AoC will position herself for a presidential run in 2024 and will be on the offensive against neoliberals.
16. Obama will throw Biden under the bus as soon as it’s clear that he’ll lose.
17. Most media will stop running interference for Biden once it’s clear he lost. They will turn on him for losing and mention how weak of a candidate he was.
18. Social Media sites will try to backtrack to avoid Cheetos vengeful wrath. They will also believe they didn’t go far enough... again.
19. There will be looting and mass riots.
20. There will be simultaneous rrreeeing about voter suppression and voter fraud at the same time and in the same states.
How much time did you waste on this? Will you admit how delusional you are tonight?
 
Everyone, thank you.

It has been a distinct privilege and pleasure to have lurked this thread in the run-up to the election. Most fun I've had on the Farms since it was found out that DSP plunged tens of thousands of Dollars into a gacha game. I can't count the number of insightful posts I've read here from one of the various regulars (you know who you are), and, come what may, I will remember the speculation and joking fondly.

For the Americans in the thread, get out and VOTE!
 
BUT WHATS THIS?!?
JEB HAS ENTERED THE RACE AT THE LAST SECOND!
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Up early so I can get some work done and still be there when the polls open.

I can’t believe it’s Election Day already.

Glancing over at some different states, here is some unexpected news to start your day:

Virginia is absolutely in play.


Targetsmart analysis of early voting is a little dicey in states like VA where they don’t list party affiliation with voter registration, but even assuming a Democrat skew on the data, Trump has enough votes left in the tank to pull ahead if he has an above average turnout.

3.4 million already voted, with a 300k lead for Biden. 3.0 million still to vote, with an estimated 59% going to Trump and 35% to Biden.

Even if Jorgensen nabs 4% of the vote, Trump still has the potential to take VA by up to 4 points.

My jaw hit the fucking floor when I saw this. Target smart may be wrong, but they would have to be wrong by underestimating Biden by a quarter million votes or more in order for him to carry the state.
 
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