- Joined
- Jun 2, 2019
That is not where I am my dude.Wow and youre in south Carolina in a pretty red area. That doesnt bode well
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That is not where I am my dude.Wow and youre in south Carolina in a pretty red area. That doesnt bode well
This foriegn fuck needs to see the electoral map by countyWent to the site and saw this.
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A few days to a week old but I find it funny how for battleground states, some of the big cities are islands of blue in a sea of red (Hennepin County is Minneapolis, Philly is Philly with Delaware and Montgomery as suburbia and Allegheny is Pittsburgh). Minnesota seems a bit more contested with the northeast counties, but for battlegrounds, I'd imagine it'd be more of a mix. I saw the same thing with Oregon in 2016 in only Portland and Eugene were blue. Can you really win a state with these individual cities/counties?
Short answer: It depends on the state.Went to the site and saw this.
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A few days to a week old but I find it funny how for battleground states, some of the big cities are islands of blue in a sea of red (Hennepin County is Minneapolis, Philly is Philly with Delaware and Montgomery as suburbia and Allegheny is Pittsburgh). Minnesota seems a bit more contested with the northeast counties, but for battlegrounds, I'd imagine it'd be more of a mix. I saw the same thing with Oregon in 2016 in only Portland and Eugene were blue. Can you really win a state with these individual cities/counties?
For you to believe that Trump can win, you kinda have to assume most polling data is bullshit. Them being off by a quarter mil is not at all impossible.Up early so I can get some work done and still be there when the polls open.
I can’t believe it’s Election Day already.
Glancing over at some different states, here is some unexpected news to start your day:
Virginia is absolutely in play.
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Virginia Early Voting Analysis 10/30
TargetSmart Oct 29, 2020, 5:59:11 PM (EST) https://targetearly.targetsmart.com/ 2016 Total votes ...statespoll.com
Targetsmart analysis of early voting is a little dicey in states like VA where they don’t list party affiliation with voter registration, but even assuming a Democrat skew on the data, Trump has enough votes left in the tank to pull ahead if he has an above average turnout.
3.4 million already voted, with a 300k lead for Biden. 3.0 million still to vote, with an estimated 59% going to Trump and 35% to Biden.
Even if Jorgensen nabs 4% of the vote, Trump still has the potential to take VA by up to 4 points.
My jaw hit the fucking floor when I saw this. Target smart may be wrong, but they would have to be wrong by underestimating Biden by a quarter million votes or more in order for him to carry the state.
That's not true at all. The electors are assigned based on who wins the majority in that state, and Trump won Texas by about 800,000 votes in 2016.Short answer: It depends on the state.
Long answer: Each state has their own regulations in regards to electoral college voting. Some states base it solely on popular vote. Others base it around total number of counties won. Others still base it similarly to the US election where some counties have a larger vote than others and the winner is the person to grab those key counties.
Getting rid of the electoral college or even changing electoral college rules would be disastrous for some states. Texas, for example, would be perpetually Blue if they changed to popular vote since the largest cities (Austin, Dallas, Houston, El Paso) are blue.
That's not true at all. The electors are assigned based on who wins the majority in that state, and Trump won Texas by about 800,000 votes in 2016.
God help us all if Antifa Keith Ellison runs for governor in 2022.Well, here's that picture: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Minnesota_gubernatorial_election
The energy for Trump in Minnesota is like nothing I have ever seen. In 2008, there was excitement for Obama and an impromptu party broke out on campus after the Bob Dylan concert on election night. Wow, it has been a weird 12 years since then. Now, there are people in the Twin Cities metro waving Trump flags and organizing car parades. My lying eyes tell me Trump has the state. I hope fellow Minnesotans make me proud today.Trump will take Minnesota because the rural areas will turn out in full force and they'll be voting for Trump.
Polls taken in that state cannot take that into account.
Minneapolis has a “protest” scheduled for 6pm tomorrow to prevent Drumpf from stealing muh election. The city is boarded up. Someone who participated in the Fenty Floyd autonomous zone posted this yesterday and they have started planting the huwite supremacists are violent angle in other posts:You're not insane. I've unironically loaded 2 extra guns in the house, and I'm keeping local news and police scanner going while I watch election coverage tomorrow.
I still think it's more likely the riots happen at the ballot counting offices than in the suburbs. But you never know. Any city that's had a nightly BLM march now has a contingent ready and willing to be activated on a moment's notice. Widespread "my guy lost" riots won't start until Wednesday, if people wake up and hear that there's no outcome or a contested outcome. VBM would just then start to get counted, and if the police are forced to protect central areas like that, it leaves the rest of the city open.
If I have to keep the riots thread open in a tab for another few months, I am going to be pissed. Whatever happens tomorrow, I'm never going to forgive the people who created this environment.
Yes, but Minnesota has relied on that blue area in the northeast called the Iron Range to stay a Democratic stronghold. Hennepin has about 1.5 million of the state’s 5.5 million residents, but even within Hennepin, the precinct level maps are deep blue in Minneapolis and some of the close suburbs, but the further you spread into the northwest and west of the county, the redder it gets. I am expecting to see all of the seven county metro area go red except Hennepin and Ramsey, maybe Dakota. The Iron Range appears to be flipping to Trump too and with that, the Democratic razor edge margin in 2016 is in serious danger.Went to the site and saw this.
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A few days to a week old but I find it funny how for battleground states, some of the big cities are islands of blue in a sea of red (Hennepin County is Minneapolis, Philly is Philly with Delaware and Montgomery as suburbia and Allegheny is Pittsburgh). Minnesota seems a bit more contested with the northeast counties, but for battlegrounds, I'd imagine it'd be more of a mix. I saw the same thing with Oregon in 2016 in only Portland and Eugene were blue. Can you really win a state with these individual cities/counties?
Do these guys not know the laws of their own country? Trump doesn't magically become not President on the 3rd if he loses. He's President until the next elect comes in on January. There's a transition period to which you have to assemble your team.View attachment 1703643
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Biden plans to assert control if he's declared president-elect
He'll begin forming his government, and won't yield to doubts President Trump might try to sow.www.axios.com
If news organizations declare Joe Biden the mathematical president-elect, he plans to address the nation as its new leader, even if President Trump continues to fight in court, advisers tell Axios.
Why it matters: Biden advisers learned the lesson of 2000, when Al Gore hung back while George W. Bush declared victory in that contested election, putting the Democrat on the defensive while Bush acted like the winner.
So if Biden is declared the winner, he'll begin forming his government and looking presidential — and won't yield to doubts Trump might try to sow.
Biden campaign manager Jen O'Malley Dillon told reporters Monday that even if all the votes aren't counted tonight, the campaign should have "a very good sense of where we're headed":
- Biden's schedule for Tuesday includes a clue to this posture: He "will address the nation on Election Night in Wilmington, Delaware."
To show momentum, Biden may begin transition announcements quickly, starting with senior staff appointments.
- "We're not really concerned about what Donald Trump says. ... We're going to use our data, our understanding of where this is headed, and make sure that the vice president is addressing the American people."
Biden plans to adopt what one confidant called "a healing tone," and begin talking about the path forward in battling the coronavirus.
- That way, core aides won't have to worry about their own jobs, but will immediately be able to get to work.
From there, the transition would move with unprecedented speed:
- Look for Biden to embrace science, and talk up the role of Dr. Anthony Fauci, after Trump threatened Sunday to try to fire the trusted official.
Biden has blueprints for staffing every single agency, and has extensive plans for executive orders, including ones to undo Trump actions.
- Biden had eight years in the White House, and he's surrounded by aides with decades of government experience.
- So the transition has made the most thorough agency-by-agency preparations in history, including offices no one's thinking about.
- Look for Biden to send all-business signals: He won't pack the courts, and is unlikely to push for repeal of the Senate's filibuster rule and its 60-vote requirement anytime soon.
- Instead, look for Biden to push to pass as much as possible under the banner of budget reconciliation, which requires just a simple majority.
It's a coup, if biden declares himself the president and enough people accept it then it becomes true.Do these guys not know the laws of their own country? Trump doesn't magically become not President on the 3rd if he loses. He's President until the next elect comes in on January. There's a transition period to which you have to assemble your team.
God help us all if Antifa Keith Ellison runs for governor in 2022.