Prospects for this resistance, lead by Amrullah Saleh, are dim. He has a formidable task ahead of him and his prospects are bleak. The Taliban will seek to crush this last bastion of resistance.
www.longwarjournal.org
There is some resistance, weak and isolated but the Taliban don’t have total control yet.
(The long war journal is the shit-regardless of it being a neo con backed blog, it’s probably one one of the most honest, informed and reliable news outlets/commentary sites on Islamic terror in the Middle East on the internet-I completely vouch for it).
Let just go ahead and drop a bunch of spoilers.
Here is how shit will go. The Taliban have gotten nearly every single warlord on their side - but all that means is that they have basically gotten them into a non-aggression pact. "we are allowed to move through these areas, we won't shoot at you and you won't shoot at us", and there is likely some money involved as well. This doesn't mean they are friends.
Next what is happening that the Taliban will be rounding up anyone they have a beef with. Guys in the old government, collaborators, faggots - people who don't have a lot friends, or who have underlings willing to sell them out. They talk to and/
or pay off the local Imam to get these people. They also go after theives and criminals, and start trying to settle disputes. And in the western part of the country, that will go all well and good.
What comes next is when local commanders start going full Sharia, and they start trying this shit in the east. These warlords and elders who were fine letting the Taliban pass through are not OK letting them set up shop and run things. They are outsiders, and thusly haram.
So you'll see (well, as much as the cowardly faggots in the media will attempt to report - that is, not much) the Taliaban get sucked into an Iraq situation where from the dust of victory, those opposed to them will start to crawl out from the debris and fighting them. But, not being bound by international ROE, they will start cracking down. But with no air cover/air transpo, when the going gets tough the forward deployed Taliban will say fuck this, shoot some villagers and shift back to areas the Taliban control.
And the reistance groups are going to get backed by everyone in the region.
This is what happened post-communism. Its going to happen all over again.
air drop supplies from where? who is backing them up? burger air force?
Airdrop who's supplies, I doubt the Americans are keen on backing anti Taliban forces when their balls are in an airport sized vice.
As others have said, everywhere in central Asia. No one wants a restful, in-control Taliban. You don't even need to fund the "opposition", you can simply foment unrest inside the Taliban ranks.
China is very likely to work with the Taliban but support/payoff any anti-taliban forces. They are a little less savy/glowy than the US/Britain in the destablizing countries without touching them game.
Pakistan likes to play both sides. There are also elements in Pakistan government that support/get support from the Taliban, and the oppostion in Pakistan do not want them to have united Afghanistan because if the Taliban aren't killing people in Afghanistan, they'll be killing people in Pakistan.
The other *stans also dont' want the Taliban to start infiltrating them.
Iran hates the Taliban, and that'll come to a head once things settle down. For the moment, they are more or less sitting back and laughing as 20 years of nation building implodes rapidly, and rubbing thier hands at the thoughts of a pipeline to China.
India has already been discussed.
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