I think it might last slightly longer than Mastodon did before most of the people who moved gave up and went back to TwiXer. I'd give it about a year or slightly less than that.
God, so many posts of bluesky are "hey guys!!! I'm going to be leaving twitter!!! I mean, I'll be using a tweet bridger to crosspost on bluesky, and most of my tweets will still be on twitter and that will still be the place I interact and reply and quote tweet..."
Yeah this shit ain't lasting. Remember cara?
Bottom line is none of these faggots have any actual discipline behind their words, and will leave to get their twitter fix back. It sucks, actually because I really don't even like twitter all that much. But the reasons I don't like it are even further condensed onto bluesky. Those blocking features will destroy that site in a few months at best.
The blocking features are so overpowered that people who crave the drama of twitter simply start turning on the non-blocked, causing purity spirals and infighting that are extreme even by leftist standards.
This reminds me that there's a lot of drama over blocklists.
Bluesky makes it easy to create & curate "lists" of accounts, and other users can subscribe to these lists to either follow or block all the accounts on them. Naturally, since Bluesky is overrun with censorious troons, blocklists for various kinds of chuds are popular!
Some examples from Bardfinn:
...And then, inevitably, there's drama when the curators of these lists add their fellow troons/leftists due to petty drama & in-fighting. They always devour their own.
I wish I had paid more attention at the time, but there was some massive drama earlier this year over a blocklist called "Aegis". Troons were ranting about conspiracies, fed infiltration, and the possible involvement of the notorious Laurelai Bailey.
Anyone remember more about the Aegis situation? I regret not delving into it when I had the chance.
Recently, a prominent member of the BlueSky community was exposed as having many sexual assault allegations, including a violent non-consensual strangulation incident which resulted in the victim falling unconscious. Chunks of the community knew small/vague details about the allegations, but neither the number of accusers, nor the severity of some of the incidents, nor the sheer extent of the accused's longstanding campaign (largely done on Twitter) to discredit their accusers who had already gone public was known to any of the Aegis moderators prior to the allegations catching the entire site’s attention on the weekend of 6/14. After spending most of the weekend offline to deal with personal matters, Kairi personally reviewed the evidence at length and ultimately decided there was enough clear misconduct (both onsite and offsite) to apply a "Boundary Violator" label to the accused's account.
In the aftermath of the accusations, many users came forward to criticize Aegis/Kairi (and other past community moderators) for not digging deeper into the allegations and acting sooner. Furthermore, other users came forward to criticize the methods used to draw attention to the allegations (including claims that the allegations were boosted to distract from another large-scale conflict around asexuality that had already been set into motion several days prior). A small set of users in the former camp had been reported by members of the latter camp for Anti-Social/Trolling behavior over the prior week, and on 6/20 one moderator chose to act unilaterally against these users by applying account-level labels without considering the optics of the situation (or consulting/informing any of the other moderators either before or after the decision was made).
To reiterate: Kairi herself did not make the decision to label these users. Kairi only found out when the labeled users began posting publicly and people sent her screenshots of the posts. Kairi took action to have the labels swiftly removed (without waiting for the users to file a formal appeal), but by then trust in the Aegis system and its moderators had been irreparably damaged. Shortly thereafter, a decision was made to pause all new moderation actions entirely and re-evaluate Aegis' viability going forward.
The public trust broken by this incident is likely irreparable. There were countless structural flaws with the system setup that allowed a moderator to act unilaterally and for an incident like this to happen. As such, the entire Aegis team has elected to resign from community moderation work and sunset the system. The existing labeler will be put in indefinite maintenance mode for any users/unrelated label operators who still wish to take advantage of our past work, but the reports queue will remain unmonitored, and no new labels will be applied going forward.
Another key takeaway from this incident is that any future community moderation teams will need to establish crystal clear protocols for how to handle sexual assault/harassment allegations made against someone in the community beyond just things like reporting of boundary-violating replies. Of particular concern is what to do when allegations are about egregious behavior that happened off-app, or if an operator is given access to potentially actionable information that is not yet public knowledge. It is also imperative that any future label operators wishing to protect the community from these sorts of threats be plugged into multiple whisper networks (both on and off Bluesky) to enable more thorough and proactive investigations.
The moderation team expresses deep regret that we were unable to anticipate the need for these changes and failsafes sooner. We hope others interested in community moderation can learn from our mistakes and design systems far more effective than Aegis ever was. We hope that lasting cultural change comes from this incident. We hope that one day BlueSky can truly become a safe space for marginalized people of all stripes. Lastly, we hope that the community will unite around the victims of sexual assault and harassment and give them the time, space and resources they need to heal.
But seriously, I find it hilarious how Laurelai Bailey is practically a Bogeyman over on Bluesky. https://bsky.app/search?q=laurelai https://bsky.app/search?q=laurelai+aegis
For anyone unaware, he's a troon who has raped several other troons in the past, so he's widely hated. He's also extremely power-hungry & obsessive. He's known for making countless alt accounts and spending all his time trying to worm his way into positions of power (often successfully) in various troon communities - on Reddit, Twitter, Discord, Mastodon, Bluesky, and probably every other social media platform.
It makes other troons very paranoid, and they occasionally accuse each other of being Laurelai sock accounts.
Some recent-ish comments on Bluesky to show what I mean:
Bluesky is just Twitter's Tumblr. It's far from a "cozy campey" place. It's just an even bigger echo chamber than the last one. GOD, there's nothing more I hate than these kinds of strawman drawings. Twitter is predominately left wing and because of a site's decision to be more open with one's political leanings/beliefs rather than letting it be a lefty fantasy site, it's now this ultranationalist, fascist regime?
I will never get the Bluesky merge like, at all. It's all but a massive hugbox site moving to an even bigger hugbox site.
As of today, 6% of new accounts can’t stand the place and delete their accounts . Those first 10,000 are toxic troons who only gave their invite codes to other troons and enablers… to whom the “rules” don’t apply (such as “create a welcoming environment,” or “ don’t intimidate people over politics”. )
For all the love bombing and hugboxing about how it’s “so nice to be around likeminded people without any stupid magats” they’re currently reporting each other to the kommisar at a rate of 3,000 per hour because they’re even intolerant shitbirds towards each other.
I’m planning to separate bluesky related research and /or shitposting from my regular KF account and only participate in bluesky threads with this alt
Calling it now, Bluesky will start going shit when they go full pre-Musk Twitter and openly refuse to do anything about rule violaters because they're in a protected group like troons.
Yeah, I cringe whenever I see that troon's username... which is sadly often. He's a Bluesky poweruser who pals around with all the other troon lolcows on the platform.
First heard a bunch of Twitter pussies bitch about moving to Bluesky when it gets more engagement. Then - when it gets video upload support. Place your bets on what’s going to be their next excuse to keep posting on Twitter.
First heard a bunch of Twitter pussies bitch about moving to Bluesky when it gets more engagement. Then - when it gets video upload support. Place your bets on what’s going to be their next excuse to keep posting on Twitter.
You know why
every accusation is a confession .
For a bunch of people who hate Russia so much they seem to enjoy reporting each other to the kommisar and living in 24/7 paranoia and fear of their neighbors targeting or disappearing them for their “activism.”
(They also don't seem to moderate loli and pro-MAP shit but I'm in no mood to search for examples)
It's anarcho-tyranny but for troons.
NOW TO BE FAIR: it's not ALL angry violent crossdressing men. Whenever I search for anything by keyword, I also get a lot of fandom content, mostly consisting of women writing gay fanfiction threads for some reason:
Yeah, I cringe whenever I see that troon's username... which is sadly often. He's a Bluesky poweruser who pals around with all the other troon lolcows on the platform.
Given that this app is more or less 2 years old and assuming that this account was created when the app first came out, we can calculate the number of posts per day that they must have made:
122.000/2 = 61.000 posts per year.
61.000/365 = 167,123 every day.
Imagine having enough free time to post 167 ~ 170 times a day. Crazy.
Remeber Mastodon? Or Plurk? This shit is just going to end up just like those once all the libshits inevitably get no engagement and go crawling back to Twitter.
I don't really get what Bluesky is supposed to do better than Mastodon, except have a better UX and a non-ass name.
It's hilarious watching artists switch to Bluesky because they don't want Elon's AI to be trained on their art. Putting everything on a federated network makes it so much easier for dataset providers to scrape!
I see a lot of fairly normal users that I follow on twitter create accounts on bluesky because of the change in how the block feature works now. They commonly say that they will use bluesky more and just use twitter for art and keeping connections with their friends and such, but that doesn't seem to be the actual case since I haven't noticed a difference in post activity for most of them on the bird app, meanwhile the butterfly app barely gets touched.
I wonder how many rational and non-skitzo users that emigrated to bluesky because of x or y reason were converted into the commie tranny cult due to exposure to these types crowding the site? If they weren't, how many have since become hardcore 1488 white power due to being disgusted by it's fanatic alphabet usersbase? That would be an interesting statistics.
Man, all I'm saying is I would not want to be the predominate openly leftist social media app going into Trumps second term, doubly so when considering Trump has made the owner of it's primary competitor Elon part of his inner circle Lmfao.
I would not be surprised in the least if we eventually see gayops be ran and prosecuted on there, and at the end of the day, I'm all for it. Give these "resistance fighters" exactly what they're looking for.
I've taken a quick look at Bluesky and it seems like every single post is either talking about how much X/Twitter sucks, or how cool Bluesky is. No real engagement other than this weird sense of a smug ciclejerk over their superiority complex. I'm pretty sure the honeymoon is going to end very quickly, and these people are gonna either kill eachother in a purity spiral, or starve from lack of meaningful interactions.