Apologies if its not a real Sargon twitter outpost. I knew he was still posting on backworldsman, but it's not like he hasn't shown himself to keep several accounts on the go at any time.
EU elections has proportional voting instead of 1st past the post like the rest of UK elections, so it doesn't matter if Scotland is an SNP stronghold over all as long as UKIP is able to get enough representational votes to field an MEP for Scotland. SNP in 2014 elections managed to get 2 MEP's out of 6 so not a dominant number. In Dank's case it will matter how the vote is split if the remainers stay at home and the leavers vote, then its very possible that UKIP or the BREXIT party (UKIP light) makes good.
73 seats will be up for grabs over all, dispersed among the different regions with the South of England getting the largest share of MEP's.
2014 UKIP was able to get 24 MEP's elected, while Labor managed 20 and the Conservatives managed 19.
The parallels in British politics are that the EU elections are not ever seen as serious when compared to the general elections. As such you see all sorts of weird things come out of the wood work, such as the vote for a BNP MEP from a northern labor stronghold, or the fact that in the last EU election a lot of small c conservatives, and ardent labor supporters cross platform voted for UKIP. Something which they'd never do in a serious elections, because a split vote would endanger the two party majority.
That being considered, it's now balkanized into leave or remain camps, and so a lot of the voting is going to reflect that, meaning big opportunities for UKIP and for BREXIT, if Farage and the new party can get their shit together.