We got another Epic Exclusive:
The PC version of the award-winning PS4 puzzle game will feature enhanced graphics and new content.
www.pcgamer.com
I've never heard of it, but I guess if you like Tetris its Epic Game Store for you. Still snagging shit, no shopping cart. Crap features. I don't see many people moving for EGS for Tetris. I wonder what will happen when they finally run out of free games to give people.
i mean doesn't everyone start at square one, follow the money?. cause looking at it there seems to be money all over the fucking place, and they cant afford to do this forever. so heres hoping they slip up and we get a glimpse of how terrible it is.
Well, Epic's client is so universally garbage, you can't really follow it because it doesn't have Steam Spy or any sort of analytics. The only concrete number I know is that a dev for Pheonix Point accidentally spilled that 'if everyone refunded the game, we'd still be able to make it'. They raised 2.5 million, so they likely got matched that 2.5 million. For some indie devs, they probably get paid what they would have made on Steam so it doesn't really matter if everyone ignores or pirates it. The bag of money they get, plus whatever (minuscule) sales they get on Epic make up for it, then they just go back to Steam in a year and get more money.
The problem is no dev is outright saying how much their games are selling. We don't have an equivalency yet. What we have to wait for is when the year-end exclusives are up and then compare and contrast. That's the only way we're going to get relevant data. The problem is, most people will have ignored most of these games and already written them off. So even if we wait for a data comparison, the sales will likely be nowhere near what they were. Most games make their money in basically the first two or three weeks. In a year, Cyberpunk 2077 is going to be out. Metro Exodus is going to lose exclusivity in February while Cyberpunk comes out in April. Most people aren't going to pay 60 for Metro when Cyberpunk is around the corner. They'll see it as a year old game.
No doubt, Epic will use this to 'prove' that their exclusivity works because they sold more on their platform than these games that now released on Steam. My bet is Epic is going to try to use this to prove to developers that they get 'more sales' on Epic than on Steam. But its a false equivalency. People are going to see your game as a year old. Its not new or fresh and any hype for it has died down, replaced by any number of titles.
My guess is that they'll try to push this narrative hard, make devs do exclusivity on their own. The problem is I just don't think devs will do exclusivity on Epic by themselves unless Epic basically pays them what they would have earned on Steam. I think that's their plan with these exclusivity deals, because they really can't afford to pay for free games for everyone and then pay out the ass for exclusive titles, even small ones. I just don't think it will work. Most devs who see 'Epic Exclusive' see 'massive check' and without that massive check, their liability goes way up because of how hated the platform is. I mean, they only got BL3 for six months. Randy Pitchford is a greedy motherfucker. They couldn't even get it a year, how the hell much are they even paying for it? My guess is 7 figures, at least.
Read Dead 2 exclusivity they'd probably have to shell out half a billion and even then people would just buy it off the Rockstar Store. That's why they're doing so many Indie games. Tossing around 2 to 5 million per title isn't much to them, but I really can't imagine this strategy working without that massive carrot.
It is simply not possible to starve Steam. You have to pull their entire userbase away. Them going to you to buy one or two exclusives is just you re-couping your loss, not making profit. If they're still using Steam, it defeats the purpose. With GoG Galaxy 2.0, there's even less reason to go back to Epic besides the odd exclusive. So I fail to see this 'See our exclusives sell better on our store than on Steam! Go exclusive here!' without the massive amounts of money people are accustomed to.