In that case, maybe R* will just release GTA6's online mode one to one with the single player to recoup costs.
It's not that simple. Every gamer who moves from GTA5 online to GTA6 HAS TO pay into GTA6 at least the same amount as they did/will as GTA5. If those players move over and spend less, that's a net negative for R*
Not only that, R* are stuck between a rock and a hard place; Do they force GTA5 online players over and force them to start from scratch, or do they offer them a few million to entice them over, thereby screwing over everyone who is new to the game and starting from scratch?
On top of that, the barrier for entry is higher, with fewer customers. There are only 48 million PSN, and 25 million XBL MAUs, that includes those just logging in to get their free games.
88 million people may buy the game, but a maximum of 75 million have online accounts to access GTA6 online.
If they close GTA5 online, which they will have to at some point, 100 million people will be pissed off.
its going to become necessary for Developers to scale back development to 6th/7th gen budgets very soon
The best part is, they'll have no choice in the matter. Nintendo has just thrashed Microsoft, Sony, Ea, Ubislop, Activision and soon, R*, by focusing on exclusives aimed at affordable, low-powered hardware, something consoles used to be synonymous with and what was their main strength.
Sony and Microsoft have to release consoles with lower specs at worst, on par at best, with the XSX/PS5 if they hope to claw back their user base next gen. But they won't.
It's going to be a bloodbath over the next few years. If an economic downturn comes, then the industry, outside of Nintendo studios, will be a wasteland.
I for one welcome our sandal-wearing goldfish-tending overlords.