It's not happening

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Three weeks ago Iran was supposed to have nuked us by now, yet as soon as that petered out... radio silence from the press. China didn't blockade a whole province until just this week and actively start looking for cases so of course it will look like there are more cases. The CFR is probably 3-4% which is wayyy less than SARS, the most vulnerable are the usual suspects who you should be careful around with garden variety flu symptoms anyways (the elderly, immunocomprimised), it's not like Spanish Flu that killed young and healthy people. The crackdown on cases that flew abroad is of course going to lead to identification of cases, and thus far, all the cases originated in China. Even if you can spread it without symptoms, basically blockading Hubei would mean even if you were asymptomatic you'd be quarantined.

I have reason to believe that in a week or two we will see the effects of the quarantine kick in. International chains of transmission will be caught and controlled, but China will bear most of the brunt. Doomers are going around looking for any reason to wear a giant sandwich board, and it's as important not to let panic and fear get the better of us. The reality is probably not much a flu about nothing, but it's not Black Death 2: Electric Achoogaloo like the press is making it out to be.
 
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Some Manajerk said:
Every time someone i know panics about it, i just mention SARS, Bird Flu, Swine Flu, and Ebola. all got the same amount of coverage and all amounted to nothing.
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Every time ;-; :
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Whats wrong with hoping for a better future?
 
Get out of the bunker. Go back to the house, feed the cat.

It's not happening. It never will begin.
 
It might happen, actually. We are still right at the start of the spread. We don’t know the mortality rate, the r0, the real incubation period and most crucially we don’t know if it can spread from asymptomatic carriers or in the incubation period. All those things can affect what happens a lot.
It seems to be spreading much faster than SARS. If it’s infectious from non symptomatic patients that’s a problem. If it’s spreading during incubation that’s a problem.
Ebola is not something we should be freaking out about - it’s spread by direct contact, it kills fast, and with good quarantine it can be contained. If it became easier to transmit or became airbourne irl, then you can start worrying.
The next Big One will most probably be something respiratory like this. We get bad pandemic flu every 30-50 years or so, so we are overdue one.
We are right to be wary - these viruses pop up all the time and one day one of them will be the big one. Weve been lucky so far, but one of them will be capable of very bad things. Dont forget the 1918 flu infected 1/3 of the world and killed 3-5% of everyone alive at the time. Panic isnt warranted, but real caution is.
 
I'm not scared because i'm American but my defense is high because of my NEET abilities. Try n RNG me china lol.
 
I honestly don't get why anyone would be unimpressed with Ebola. That is quality panic, complete with eyeball bleeding and murdering doctors, that can be viewed from a distance. 8/10, would Ebola hype again.
 
Honestly, I'm more concerned about the economic impact of the virus than the disease itself.

China manufactures a lot of goods for the export market and is the second-largest economy in the world after the United States, and it's obvious that the Chinese government is doing jack shit to effectively counter the spread of the disease. I'd wager that most of the fatalities in this pandemic will be Chinese citizens and most of the infected in the Western world will likely be properly quarantined and given the best treatments available.

However, with all these dying Chinese workers, it's going to put a strain on the Chinese economy and the government that depends on economic prosperity to underpin its own tyranny. The civil unrest in Hong Kong would be nothing compared to the civil unrest that would result from a major economic recession in mainland China and the Chinese Communist Party's reprisals would make the bloodshed at Tienanmen Square look like a half-assed game of badminton.

Then there's the effect that it would have on our economy as well, and by extension, the global economy. Parts of Europe are still reeling from the after-effects of the recession our housing meltdown caused back in the late 2000's (although the refugee crisis prolonged most of that shit)

Chances are that this will probably blow over either way, but I think a global economic disaster is far more likely to result from the coronavirus than a Spanish Flu-tier global pandemic.
 
Syaoran Li said:
Honestly, I'm more concerned about the economic impact of the virus than the disease itself.

China manufactures a lot of goods for the export market and is the second-largest economy in the world after the United States, and it's obvious that the Chinese government is doing jack shit to effectively counter the spread of the disease. I'd wager that most of the fatalities in this pandemic will be Chinese citizens and most of the infected in the Western world will likely be properly quarantined and given the best treatments available.

However, with all these dying Chinese workers, it's going to put a strain on the Chinese economy and the government that depends on economic prosperity to underpin its own tyranny. The civil unrest in Hong Kong would be nothing compared to the civil unrest that would result from a major economic recession in mainland China and the Chinese Communist Party's reprisals would make the bloodshed at Tienanmen Square look like a half-assed game of badminton.

Then there's the effect that it would have on our economy as well, and by extension, the global economy. Parts of Europe are still reeling from the after-effects of the recession our housing meltdown caused back in the late 2000's (although the refugee crisis prolonged most of that shit)

Chances are that this will probably blow over either way, but I think a global economic disaster is far more likely to result from the coronavirus than a Spanish Flu-tier global pandemic.
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Until the virus kills 80 million people within 6 months, it has absolutely jack shit on China's national economic plans which are historically far more deadly.
 
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