Official Election 2020 Doomsday Thread

[Marissa Moira]

Remember Hunter S Thompson liked karl marx and if he was still alive would be Ridin' With biden.

 

[verissimus]

F a c t s
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What's your point?

 

[Rich Evans Apologist]

Right, I'd say every state depends on youth turnout. They rarely ever show up or vote in any significant numbers but perhaps this time it will be different Probably not though.

Dems benefit from youth turnout in almost every tossup state, but I don't think they depend on it like they do here. In Florida, for example, Trump's banking on the cuban/venezuelan/brazilian/argentinian expat turnout being greater than the mexican/central american/puerto rican turnout, and he desperately needs the elderly vote not to turn on him. In a place like Nevada or Texas, say, dems probably hang more on the rural areas not turning up to vote than they do on larger turnout from its small urban areas.

Here, there's really no chance that the rural areas -don't- show up to vote. The cities are also generally more mixed -- Philly has shitloads more people than Pitt and is a part of the east coast metro boat, whereas Pitt draws in plenty of people from across the midwest who tend to be more moderated. Philly will absolutely bend hard for Biden, but the greater Pittsburgh area is going to be more purple unless the sorts of young people who've made the local DSA/SRA chapters annoyingly vocal manage to conjure up big numbers to carry this side of the state. Allentown and Erie flipped from steadfast Obama holdovers to deep Trump areas to such a point that the latter was featured in a little Spiked documentary comparing the Brexit surge with Trump's election.

tl;dr: all of our olds and above-30s are probably in play, and that balance favors Trump fairly heavily. The only thing that'd flip the state on the whole is either extreme hemorrhaging of suburban women or an extreme turnout among the youth vote. I will, however, say that both of those events are perfectly likely and plausible.

 

[draggs]

Trust me, even his Soy smile is creepy
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Has there ever been a worse case of buck teeth Jesus get that poor child to an oral surgeon

 

[Things Better Forgotten]

Trust me, even his Soy smile is creepy
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Christ I thought the excited soyboy meme was an caricature, not something based in reality

 

[HarblMcDavid]

Does anyone think people will die in the riots? Or will the rioters just steal and burn like last time?

Depends a lot on where they decide to riot. If it's the usual places, they'll get the usual tear gas, pepperballs, and impact rounds.

If they decide to riot somewhere in the sticks with bad reception and bad LE coverage, they're gonna get shot at with live rounds.

That actually happened to Frank Nitty's jog to DC march when they started stirring shit in rural PA. Nobody was killed or injured but they skedaddled real quick when bullets started landing and they couldn't figure out where from.

Edit: Or if they actually no shit storm the whitehouse. If they do that the Secret Service will let the world know just how little they give a shit about casualties.

 

[Pissmaster]

Welp, nothing much to do until this evening, post your Trump folders if you got 'em

 

[The Bovinian Derivative]

We don't, as long as payment processors remain a monopoly the tech is literally working AGAINST Null

Thanks for 9/11-ing the mood. (But yeah, you're right.)

 

[Uncle Ted's Cabin]

Does anyone think people will die in the riots? Or will the rioters just steal and burn like last time?

People died in the riots last time.

 

[jje100010001]

Texan here. Californians are literally colonizing the American Southwest. It sucks. They even bring the horrific Califnornian suburban sprawl and highway wastelands here.

Not sure where I read it, but recall that new Texas residents skew more conservatively than the native residents (exception in inner cities). The real problem is the educational system, which is producing a bluer and bluer new voter demographic.

Former California assemblyman on why Trump will win Texas

Former California Assemblyman Chuck Devore weighs in on early voting record and says up to 2 million Texas voters may show up on Election Day, with many 'skewing heavily' toward Trump.

video.foxnews.com

Also:

According to a 2019 UC Berkeley Institute of Government Studies poll, more than half of Californians have considered moving. The biggest predictor for whether a Golden State resident wants to stay or go? Political affiliation. The poll found that Republicans were nearly twice as likely to be considering leaving California — 71% of Republicans compared to 38% of Democrats. Political affiliation was a better predictor of respondents’ answers than any other type of demographic, including race, gender and age.

Moving right: The rise of the political migrant in Idaho

Trinchera moved to Idaho Falls from Sacramento in June. She and her husband grew up in California, went to college there and raised their children there. Now, nearing retirement age,

magicvalley.com

Gut feeling, PA is a throw up, given the current issues going on there. Still way too early to decide if it's going one way or another.

The Dems are banking on 1.) Voting day 'disruptions 'pushing down voting day numbers (which skews Republican), and 2.) A strong Dem showing in mail-in-voting.

AMERICA VOTES: ELECTION LIVE BLOG – Stop The Left's Steal

FOLLOW LIVE – CLICK HERE TO SUPPORT OUR REPORTING.

thenationalpulse.com

 

[Epsteindidnothingwrong]

I’m telling you as a person from Pennsylvania that these people will vote Democrat no matter who even when the Democrat says they are gonna slaughter the whole population of the Amish for no reason. You can screenshot this but Trump is not gonna win Pennsylvania I’m not too optimistic about it.

 

[Marissa Moira]

TEXAS GOIN' BLUE

 

[A Cardboard Box]

Dems benefit from youth turnout in almost every tossup state, but I don't think they depend on it like they do here. In Florida, for example, Trump's banking on the cuban/venezuelan/brazilian/argentinian expat turnout being greater than the mexican/central american/puerto rican turnout, and he desperately needs the elderly vote not to turn on him. In a place like Nevada or Texas, say, dems probably hang more on the rural areas not turning up to vote than they do on larger turnout from its small urban areas.

Here, there's really no chance that the rural areas -don't- show up to vote. The cities are also generally more mixed -- Philly has shitloads more people than Pitt and is a part of the east coast metro boat, whereas Pitt draws in plenty of people from across the midwest who tend to be more moderated. Philly will absolutely bend hard for Biden, but the greater Pittsburgh area is going to be more purple unless the sorts of young people who've made the local DSA/SRA chapters annoyingly vocal manage to conjure up big numbers to carry this side of the state. Allentown and Erie flipped from steadfast Obama holdovers to deep Trump areas to such a point that the latter was featured in a little Spiked documentary comparing the Brexit surge with Trump's election.

tl;dr: all of our olds and above-30s are probably in play, and that balance favors Trump fairly heavily. The only thing that'd flip the state on the whole is either extreme hemorrhaging of suburban women or an extreme turnout among the youth vote. I will, however, say that both of those events are perfectly likely and plausible.

The youth vote has never showed up in the force that the democrats have wanted. Not once. I do not expect this pattern to change.

 

[Things Better Forgotten]

Welp, nothing much to do until this evening, post your Trump folders if you got 'em

I'm only posting this because I know Null hates it

 

[The High Prophet of Truth]

People died in the riots last time.
I meant more than a couple of rioters charging a guy with a gun and a cop.

 

[The Bovinian Derivative]

The youth vote has never showed up in the force that the democrats have wanted. Not once. I do not expect this pattern to change.

As an emboldened youth I upvoted everything I could on reddit, that should be enough. We can do this berniebros.

 

[Captain Manning]

Mitt Romney lost Massachusetts and he was governor of that state for a few years.

Yeah, but Mitt's campaign was the most pathetic thing ever.

Instead of melting down on Fox News, Karl Rove should have gone full Bud Dwyer on air. He failed utterly.

There's a chance of this place being shut down regardless - look up the section 230 stuff.

It's my understanding Null doesn't really care for either of them, because of their positions on CDA 230. I think that might be the real reason for our "friend" in the upper right hand corner.

 

[I'd abeeb bear]

The youth vote has never showed up in the force that the democrats have wanted. Not once. I do not expect this pattern to change.

Every election I've paid attention to, it's been people saying the youth vote and the black vote will be the deciding factor, and even year over year their projected numbers are lower than they guessed, even lowballing it.

 

[Shitpiss Babylord]

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So that's what happened to the piss tape.

 

[MuuMuu Bunnylips]

People died in the riots last time.

Yeah, but they can always do better.