This was somehow from the Jordan Peterson thread

Erwin Rotten

kiwifarms.net
Joined
Sep 27, 2018
This was my experience just five minutes in. I can listen to someone who competently defends ideas I disagree with, but it’s frustrating when there’s an obvious gap in an argument that I just want to fill in and he never seems to get to it.

His talking about the difficulty of climate modeling is all true, but his implication seems to be that it’s no better than random guessing because of this uncertainty issue. The much more reasonable conclusion is that the field exists to iteratively work on and eventually solve this issue. I think any serious climate researcher would openly “admit” this. Any predictive model in any science is only worth as much as its assumptions, but that’s an awful reason to give up altogether.

Maybe he does mention it eventually but I didn’t listen long enough to get there.

He wasn't saying to give up on it because it's incomplete. He said to expand on it and fill in the blanks instead of focusing on subjects that can be easily politicized and used for government corruption.

The issue isn't that we deny climate is changing. Most people deemed as climate change deniers don't think it's NOT changing. They understand it's changing. What they don't believe in is the implications of how it's changing, what causes this change, and how companies/populace can change it back.

Jordan is saying that it's very sus that we have volcanos, the world spins around a sun with the most mysterious thing to us holding it there, the Earth's core is a major factor, the ocean and how that thing functions is a major factor but it also carries on through the middle of the Earth through underground oceans, but then somehow were told that it's all because the US and Europe put out too much CO2 when China and India put out more.

THAT'S the issue he was talking about, because that's always been the issue since politicians changed the narrative from global warming to climate change.

We know climate changes. But to say what is causing it and then fail to even regulate that conclusion properly because of the way politicians work is what the issue is.
 
He wasn't saying to give up on it because it's incomplete. He said to expand on it and fill in the blanks instead of focusing on subjects that can be easily politicized and used for government corruption.

The issue isn't that we deny climate is changing. Most people deemed as climate change deniers don't think it's NOT changing. They understand it's changing. What they don't believe in is the implications of how it's changing, what causes this change, and how companies/populace can change it back.

Jordan is saying that it's very sus that we have volcanos, the world spins around a sun with the most mysterious thing to us holding it there, the Earth's core is a major factor, the ocean and how that thing functions is a major factor but it also carries on through the middle of the Earth through underground oceans, but then somehow were told that it's all because the US and Europe put out too much CO2 when China and India put out more.

THAT'S the issue he was talking about, because that's always been the issue since politicians changed the narrative from global warming to climate change.

We know climate changes. But to say what is causing it and then fail to even regulate that conclusion properly because of the way politicians work is what the issue is.
Oh fuck this.
To avoid Null potentially yeeting me for going off on an "enviromentalist pussy tree hugger political sperg", i'll just focus on how, even if people refuse to believe in manmade climate change because "gravity and volcanoes, bro", why not focus and re-orient the subject matter to enviromental conservationalism?

Even if you dont believe that C02 levels are rising to a dangerous degree, at least acknowledge that things such as declining coral reefs, rapidly increasing algae that fucks with aquatic eco-systems and deforestation is bad and needs to be dealt with, at the very least?

What about desertification and shit, how the death of gracing animals like american bison resulted in the big grassy fields no longer being fertilized or combed by herd animals, resulting in the grass dying, lacking nutrition and turning to sand? its happened in china, and its about to happen in texas. Not helped by droughts and lacked of rain.

this is why "climate change skeptics" or whatever you wanna call them just come off as fucking fake. dont believe the numbers or that the world is heating up? fine.
but that big fucking garbage island and those oil spills are very much real, and to act as if that doesnt have immediate adverse effects on the environment is straight up delusional.

edit:
Im ready, boys. give me all the political spergery you can. its the only way i can get hard at this point.
 
Oh fuck this.
To avoid Null potentially yeeting me for going off on an "enviromentalist pussy tree hugger political sperg", i'll just focus on how, even if people refuse to believe in manmade climate change because "gravity and volcanoes, bro", why not focus and re-orient the subject matter to enviromental conservationalism?

That is something me and people like Jordan are on board with. We just don't like the policies being implemented by governments where they punish the countries that hold all the weight of the developing ones and somehow the developing ones are not given support to go solar or anything like that.

It's the corruption that's the problem, not environmental conservatism. Remember, people keep trying to call Jordan a Nazi, and yet Nazis were some of the first environmental conservatives. Okay, why not include that in the nazi accusation? Not you personally, just in general.

Even if you dont believe that C02 levels are rising to a dangerous degree, at least acknowledge that things such as declining coral reefs, rapidly increasing algae that fucks with aquatic eco-systems and deforestation is bad and needs to be dealt with, at the very least?
Sure, nobody is arguing against that and we're more than happy to see a better ocean and better forest size. It's also interesting to note that agrarian societies do better for the environment because they rely on the planting of plants that absorb the co2 and make more o2. I would rather see that in places like China than to see unregulated factories spewing out toxins, but that's the entire problem.

The data doesn't say for China to be more agrarian or for any country to be more agrarian. It just has these politicians advocate for electric batteries that pollute the ground and keep on polluting the ocean.

What about desertification and shit, how the death of gracing animals like american bison resulted in the big grassy fields no longer being fertilized or combed by herd animals, resulting in the grass dying, lacking nutrition and turning to sand? its happened in china, and its about to happen in texas. Not helped by droughts and lacked of rain.
Yes, exactly, which is why China should go back to being agrarian instead of having all of this slave labor making consumerism goods and leaching off of the American dollar. My point exactly.

this is why "climate change skeptics" or whatever you wanna call them just come off as fucking fake. dont believe the numbers or that the world is heating up? fine.
We believe the numbers, we just don't believe that is all that climate is about. It's the same as having something called "lifeform data" and it only covers humans. There are other life forms and there are other factors. It's incomplete and we can't use this incomplete nonsense to implement policies that don't even follow what the data says.

Doesn't anyone remember humorism and bloodletting? This is the same thing only global and as a government policy. It's goofy.

but that big fucking garbage island and those oil spills are very much real, and to act as if that doesnt have immediate adverse effects on the environment is straight up delusional.
Nobody said that garbage islands or oil spills aren't real. Jordan said the very opposite. He wants more data to be considered before any policies are implemented because it's incomplete and full of holes.

Isn't it a bit odd that we had a mini ice age before we had oil usage? It's almost as if the climate changes outside of the oil factor and can change due to human intervention. It can be either, but the data only focuses on the human intervention part while the things outside of our control is treated as blasphemy.

I personally am all for doing something about the human carbon footprint, but punishing the tiny percentage of pollution while growing the majority of pollution into a bigger majority doesn't help it in the slightest.
 
at least acknowledge that things such as declining coral reefs,
Just listen to the podcast man. He goes on to point out pretty early that waterlife is one of the prime areas where we are destroying the environment and gives an easy enough suggestion for how to protect it .

this is why "climate change skeptics" or whatever you wanna call them just come off as fucking fake. dont believe the numbers or that the world is heating up? fine.
but that big fucking garbage island and those oil spills are very much real, and to act as if that doesnt have immediate adverse effects on the environment is straight up delusional.
This is why anthropogenic climate change alarmists are always so laughingly ridiculous. They never seem to engage with the actual material that disagrees with their captain planet view of climate. And usually pretty blind to an old agenda using climate as an excuse for political power.
 
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That is something me and people like Jordan are on board with. We just don't like the policies being implemented by governments where they punish the countries that hold all the weight of the developing ones and somehow the developing ones are not given support to go solar or anything like that.
It's the corruption that's the problem, not environmental conservatism. Remember, people keep trying to call Jordan a Nazi, and yet Nazis were some of the first environmental conservatives. Okay, why not include that in the nazi accusation? Not you personally, just in general.


Sure, nobody is arguing against that and we're more than happy to see a better ocean and better forest size. It's also interesting to note that agrarian societies do better for the environment because they rely on the planting of plants that absorb the co2 and make more o2. I would rather see that in places like China than to see unregulated factories spewing out toxins, but that's the entire problem.

The data doesn't say for China to be more agrarian or for any country to be more agrarian. It just has these politicians advocate for electric batteries that pollute the ground and keep on polluting the ocean.


Yes, exactly, which is why China should go back to being agrarian instead of having all of this slave labor making consumerism goods and leaching off of the American dollar. My point exactly.


We believe the numbers, we just don't believe that is all that climate is about. It's the same as having something called "lifeform data" and it only covers humans. There are other life forms and there are other factors. It's incomplete and we can't use this incomplete nonsense to implement policies that don't even follow what the data says.

Doesn't anyone remember humorism and bloodletting? This is the same thing only global and as a government policy. It's goofy.


Nobody said that garbage islands or oil spills aren't real. Jordan said the very opposite. He wants more data to be considered before any policies are implemented because it's incomplete and full of holes.

Isn't it a bit odd that we had a mini ice age before we had oil usage? It's almost as if the climate changes outside of the oil factor and can change due to human intervention. It can be either, but the data only focuses on the human intervention part while the things outside of our control is treated as blasphemy.

I personally am all for doing something about the human carbon footprint, but punishing the tiny percentage of pollution while growing the majority of pollution into a bigger majority doesn't help it in the slightest.
But thats the thing. I get that people are wary of corruption on one side but it often comes at the cost of pointing out the equal if not at times larger examples of corruption coming out on the other side. Yes, of course there are people who seek to cripple western industry in favor of giving China a heads up and shit like that, but there are also people who pocket fat stacks of cash to circumvent what little environmental protocols do exist, and take shortcuts around safety precautions, which then results in environmental disasters and other problems that hurt everyone but themselves.

which is without mentioning how our continued reliance on gas and oil has put us in a position where we in the western world have to constantly cuck ourselves to Saudi Arabia and Russia, with the former being the worse offender. How much shit haven't we in the western world had to deal with just because strings in the US are being pulled by the fuckers who control the petrol dollars?

How many lives, how many nations, how much money and resources are being spent on useless wars and conflicts just to chessboard our way into a favorable position with the fucking sheiks?
Sorry for going off on a tangent but, dig even slightly beneath the surface and you find a whole multitude of ways wherein, our refusal to become more eco-focused, has directly resulted in us taking it up the ass by dictatorships.
Yet all the focus seems to fall firmly into "well, this C02 tax is pretty shitty and now they've shut down a coal mine. fucking tree-huggers".
Not helped by the borderline counter culture-esque fetishization of our reliance on gasoline. We're so fucking Vulnerable yet we take it as a point of pride.

Of course switching the lever over to electricity reliance isn't going to make everything green and perfect. If NFTs and blockchains have showed us anything its that greedy fuckers can and will go any length to make money, even if it includes fucking up the power supply and the environment to boot.
But we cannot rely on that black liquid shit coming out of the ground forever, especially if it means subjecting ourselves to the whims of small dictatorial foreign nations with more power than they deserve, being forced to act as proverbial hitmen and create more 3rd world nations lest said dicatorial shithole suddenly decides to choke our access to fuel and thereby cause a systems collapse to an entire country. Our house of cards is upheld by the very same fuckers who have put us into this position in the first place, and trust me, its not the climate change alarmists who are to blame for that. If they were then Elon Musk wouldnt be constantly virtue-signaling about the enviroment inbetween making billions off of making things worse.

And it is in the face of all of that where Jordan Peterson's stance on environmentalism comes off less as skepticism and more as just environmental centrism. He acknowledges there is a problem, he can point out the problems, but rather than push for a solution of his own and rally around that, he'd rather just release another book about how neets should fix up their lives. Sure, we got minor solutions. re-balancing the eco-system through artificial re-introduction of certain wildlife or, in the case of coral reefs, robots that go around killing extremely destructive crown-of-thorns starfish, but those are ultimately a case of a hundred small solutions to a growing problem that requires more drastic measures.

also, don't compare modern medical knowledge with shit like bloodletting and the four humors. I get that "argument ad authority" or whatever is a fallacy, but by that standard literally everything we know and literally everything every doctor and scientist has ever said is just "bloodletting" tier nonsense.
Im just gonna go right ahead and swallow the blue pill and assume the people who've saved my life for no real gain of their own had my best interests at heart, and weren't just a gang of hucksters on par with witch doctors.
If you cant trust "the" science, then you also have to go above and beyond to explain why you suddenly trust "a" science. Why you only trust 1 out of a 100 experts.
 
His talking about the difficulty of climate modeling is all true, but his implication seems to be that it’s no better than random guessing because of this uncertainty issue. The much more reasonable conclusion is that the field exists to iteratively work on and eventually solve this issue. I think any serious climate researcher would openly “admit” this. Any predictive model in any science is only worth as much as its assumptions, but that’s an awful reason to give up altogether.
Peterson doesn't seem to understand the difference between "climate" and "weather". He erroneously suggests that climate scientists use the term "climate" as a stand in for a vague "everything", when really the term describes the equilibrium within which localized fluctuations in weather patterns exist. To understand the implications this has for mathematical modelling: it's essentially the difference between following a straight line on a graph, and following a bunch of haphazard zigzags. The latter is inherently erratic and therefore difficult to model; the former is not.
 
I've never really looked too closely at the environmental movement. But from osmosis, it seems a little odd that the MSM and Governments are focusing largely on wind power and electric cars in first world nations. When wind power is incredibly inefficient and dangerous to birdlife. Electric cars have batteries sourced from Lithium mines that employ child labor and are damaging to the environment.

While the massive plastic and covid mask trashpile in the ocean barely gets news. And no one ever talks about modernizing China and India's energy away from coal to nuclear. Or Nuclear at all really. I remember someone said the cargo ships that carry the goods around the world cause massive pollution. But I never see that as front page news.

So my feeling ends up being that the Environmental concerns from the media are merely schemes to get money into the pockets of various Chinese firms and Car manufacturers, the the name of "Environmentalism"

I may be wrong, but that the feeling I'm getting. I'm not stupidly naive enough to think Corporations and Media do things out of the goodness of their hearts.
 
Peterson doesn't seem to understand the difference between "climate" and "weather". He erroneously suggests that climate scientists use the term "climate" as a stand in for a vague "everything", when really the term describes the equilibrium within which localized fluctuations in weather patterns exist. To understand the implications this has for mathematical modelling: it's essentially the difference between following a straight line on a graph, and following a bunch of haphazard zigzags. The latter is inherently erratic and therefore difficult to model; the former is not.
I think we saw the same part where he said "climate pretty much means everything, but the data doesn't cover everything" which means you got it backwards. Climate scientists don't use the term for a vague everything. They use it for what is pretty much human factors on the environment and that's about it because it's directed at things humans can do so that policies can be enacted to change human behavior through government intervention. At that point, the climate scientists are using climate and weather interchangeably. It's not the weather changes and Jordan wants them to record every change in every place, it's that he wants the data to be less woo-woo and more valid. Attribute more factors that are outside of the human factor, but there's no political advocacy to try to properly understand rotation or the spin of the Earth around the sun or even the status of the sun because these are things outside of our ability to control as governments(for now).


For some reason I'm not allowed to quote or reply to Hagfish, but if you read this, my response to you is this:

1. People like Peterson are not for the corruption of either side. He's a liberal and he's centerist, while also being environmentally conservative, because a centrist can have any trait of any side as long as they don't embrace a majority of the main tenents of either. Saying that somehow Peterson is sided with the people who pocket money to circumvent environmental protocols is such a bad strawman. I have no idea where you got this idea. Is it because he points out the corruption but isn't a politician who can fight against it? What does a person have to do to NOT be accused of siding with the corrupt people of the other side?
2. The west doesn't HAVE to be the bottom bitch of Saudi Arabia or Russia. The US was producing a vast amount of oil with Canada and then Biden took that away because it was making Saudi Arabia threaten to make gas too cheap by flooding the market, and then the oil barrons shook Biden awake from his nap to get that taken care of and reinforce our reliance on them. Personally I would be more than happy to have the US just make its own oil so that we have a pipeline instead of a bunch of oil tankers spilling it all over the ocean and wasting oil to carry it. I think we're on the same page with this one: we shouldn't be giving dependance and power to countries that want our heads on a chopping block. Good, let's make policies to get that fixed then instead of giving policies that put more power into the hands of these angry and totalitarian people.

3. 1 life is too much to waste on the oil war nonsense, which is why it's so stupid for the US to reduce its own production instead of being the producer. Again, there's no reason to give more money and more power to these people, but government corruption doesn't care because it puts more money in the pockets of the global mega corporations anyway and benefits the politican who lobbies or does insider trading.

4. I totally agree that we should be more eco-focused, but this is different than saying we should punish the US, stifle its production required to advance to the next stage, and then give more power to the unregulated countries just because they make corporations happy. This is why the climate data is to be questioned, which is why Jordan questions it, because the scientists seem to think that the US has to make up for the pollution of other countries, but they don't think those highly polluting countries should be regulated. To say trust the science when the science is only focused on one side of the world and not the other makes me not trust the science. Because it's not science at that point, it's just scientism.

5. I don't think we as are vulnerable to climate as much as you think. Or at least, not in the way that you think. Your reasoning seems to be that because people don't like a tax designed by lobbiests that somehow that makes them hate hippies. No, we hate hippies because the hippies are the reason we are given the CO2 tax in the first place. They gave the power to corporation, they gave in to the consumerist nonsense, they caused the jobs to leave the US and go to China and India because they wanted more wage for less work. The hippies were and always have been LARPing as "tree-huggers" when they are just virtue signaling dirtbags who made the mess we are in now. It's the same thing as when a boomer complains about inflation or how college costs too much. Well, you caused that problem(the boomer, not you personally), so what did you expect?

6. Yeah, speaking of bitcoin, it's crazy how energy dependant our currencies have been since the digital age began and will further increase to even crazier amounts since crypto puts the power plants of the countries that produce it on full throttle. This means that all of these unregulated coutries are going to have more energy demands and that means other countries are going to give energy to them(yes, it's possible, this happens all the time), and this means the US is still going to have the tax payers foot the bill, but now it's globally. So further punishment for the west because Kazakhstan isn't able to keep its shit together and we can't trust their people with nuclear energy.

7. I don't think we will rely on oil forever, just how we don't rely on the horse anymore. But the example I like to use is that we need horses to create enough cars so that those cars can create the cars that follow. We need coal power to create enough alternatives so that those alternatives can create more alternatives and advance them to where they are more cost efficient. One thing that might wow you is that we are working on artificial photosynthesis and if you haven't heard of it then that might relate to the way the media mishandles the clilmate discussion. We should be putting more money into this because it literally has devices absorb sunlight to create energy and hydrogen. Run the place with solar during the day and hydrogen during the night. Boom, you have yourself the ultimate power plant based on an actual plant. But no, we can't do this because of government corruption AND because nobody wants to use the energy to R&D such a thing.

8. I don't see how he's an environmental centrist. He clearly said the environment is important and we should fix it, and the way the government is trying to do it doesn't solve the issue, it just moves it to different countries. That's not centerist, that's very conservative in relation to the environment. As for push for a solution of his own, he doesn't have to. He doesn't intend to. He's not a Greta Thurnburg. If I see a robbery and I'm putting the energy to call the police as a consideration for other people, it's not my responsibility to then go to see the robber and dedicate more time to fix his life personally. And if you don't do that then you're a centerist? Okay, if that's what it takes to be a centerist then pretty much everyone is a centerist on this matter unless they virtue signal with worse ideas or tell everyone to return to monkey. It's just saying anyone who isn't radical is a centerist and that's not how this works. As for fixing the hundreds of small solutions that require more drastic measures, sure. Let's talk about those and sus out the bad ideas and work on the things that benefit us through reasonable means of execution. If it's possible, it fixes the environment, and it's required to save the world, then why not do it? But you have to prove it's required to save the world, and that's the issue. Climate data doesn't do that outside of the fear mongering from scientists who get paid to fear monger so corporations get more money and more power.

9. I don't know where you got the idea that I compared modern medicine with bloodletting. I said the current climate data is the same as bloodletting, not modern medicine. We look into practically everything for modern medicine and intend to because not doing that means people die. Science will always advance and evolve. The issue is that climate change data claims to be the "be all end all" of the possible factors and data, and then when someone looks into other factors outside of that, they are silenced. THAT is the issue, and THAT is like if someone said "hey, I found a way to prevent polio, but it requires a belief in that viruses exist and they are the cause of the disease", but then people are paid to shush that because too many people are making money in the leech industry. THAT is the comparison.

10. Nobody is talking about trusting the outlier. That's what Flat Earthers do. What is said is that there is a difference between science, scientist, scientism, what a scientist says scientifically, and what a scientist says in general. This is why there is the argument from authority fallacy. An authority can say whatever they want and it doesn't make it correct. BUT, what is correct is what is logical, reasonable, proven through evidence, and challenged in a way that is also logical, reasonable, and proven through evidence. But when we're not allowed to challenge something with logic, reason, and evidence, then what the hell is that other than some kind of fascist political agenda?
 
Arguing about climate science on KiwiFarms is the most autistic shit I've ever seen.

Gotta hand it to JBP tho, he got you idiots talking about real issues in great detail on a forum dedicated to making fun of retards.
 
Arguing about climate science on KiwiFarms is the most autistic shit I've ever seen.

Gotta hand it to JBP tho, he got you idiots talking about real issues in great detail on a forum dedicated to making fun of retards.
Is he successfully troll shielding himself? Truly a Master Lobster 5D Connect Four move.
 
@Erwin Rotten For some reason it won't let me quote your reply, so I've had to do some cut and pasting. Anyway. . .
I think we saw the same part where he said "climate pretty much means everything, but the data doesn't cover everything" which means you got it backwards.
Peterson's assertion that climate predictions involve variables which "accumulate over time" like "compound interest" applies chiefly to weather predictions. It's not an accurate summation of how climate modelling works, because with the climate, the variables are fixed and easy to isolate. We've been modelling the climate for decades, and the modals strongly correlate with what has been observed, in stark contrast to what Peterson's faux skepticism would suggest.
Climate scientists don't use the term for a vague everything. They use it for what is pretty much human factors on the environment and that's about it because it's directed at things humans can do so that policies can be enacted to change human behavior through government intervention.
This is not correct.
 
Weird, it let's me reply to you with no problem. Bugged kiwi mechanics.

Peterson's assertion that climate predictions involve variables which "accumulate over time" like "compound interest" applies chiefly to weather predictions. It's not an accurate summation of how climate modelling works, because with the climate, the variables are fixed and easy to isolate. We've been modelling the climate for decades, and the modals strongly correlate with what has been observed, in stark contrast to what Peterson's faux skepticism would suggest.
I am not sure where he said things like compound interest or accumulation over time. In the clip that I saw he was talking about how climate means everything in a given area in relation to the living conditions, but then the data doesn't cover everything and the data has to pick and choose what it wants to go over for the policies to be enacted, which then means the climate data focuses on human intervention.

Again, we have no idea what's going on in underground oceans that run through the center of the Earth but somehow we don't have to consider this when talking about 70% of the world surface which effects the rest of it. But scientists don't care because we cannot control what goes on down there. That's why it's all focused on CO2 and even then the data is iffy in how it determines the changes since it doesn't adjust for the sun, the variables between us and the sun, the orbit around the sun, the prediction of solar flares that slam into the Earth. All sorts of things are not being considered because it's hard to consider these things we have trouble calculating.

We don't have the tech for it really, because it's outside of the world or deep where we can't really reach.

I also don't know where he talked about climate data predicting for decades whatever it predicted. But, this is pretty funny how climate advocates always protect the old data by saying we didn't have the tech back then to measure accurately so that's why it's wrong, but then some how now that same data is being claimed as accurate and to be trusted.

Maybe I'm not sure how far back you're talking about, since back in the 70s or so the scientists were warning us about global cooling. Then later that changed to global warming. Then now they say climate change in order to say "well, it's going up and down and all around and it's because the US uses too much carbon fuels and it's all about the co2 and nothing else."

As you can see, it's not the same thing as what you're claiming. Sure, there can be accurate data about something involving climate. Sure. But that doesn't mean the procedures demanded by governments would be using that accurate data or that they would have the right solution. And that's exactly what Jordan was talking about.

He even says that the governments get to limit what poor people can do, and this makes more pollution because it restricts them from advancing to more cost efficient alternatives. This is true and this is why the climate policies are goofy. It's rich people wanting to be more rich and have poor people depend on them more.

Maybe that should be changed a tad?

This is not correct.
What about my statement was not correct? Do scientist's consider every factor or are they counting stuff that's outside of human factors? Is this going to be one of those conversations where you hold my words to a pinpoint literal interpretation outside of context instead of understand what I'm saying in relation to the rest of the context?
 
Oh fuck this.
To avoid Null potentially yeeting me for going off on an "enviromentalist pussy tree hugger political sperg", i'll just focus on how, even if people refuse to believe in manmade climate change because "gravity and volcanoes, bro", why not focus and re-orient the subject matter to enviromental conservationalism?

Even if you dont believe that C02 levels are rising to a dangerous degree, at least acknowledge that things such as declining coral reefs, rapidly increasing algae that fucks with aquatic eco-systems and deforestation is bad and needs to be dealt with, at the very least?

What about desertification and shit, how the death of gracing animals like american bison resulted in the big grassy fields no longer being fertilized or combed by herd animals, resulting in the grass dying, lacking nutrition and turning to sand? its happened in china, and its about to happen in texas. Not helped by droughts and lacked of rain.

this is why "climate change skeptics" or whatever you wanna call them just come off as fucking fake. dont believe the numbers or that the world is heating up? fine.
but that big fucking garbage island and those oil spills are very much real, and to act as if that doesnt have immediate adverse effects on the environment is straight up delusional.

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Im ready, boys. give me all the political spergery you can. its the only way i can get hard at this point.
Null would yeet you for that? Is this like your first day or something?
 
I am not sure where he said things like compound interest or accumulation over time. In the clip that I saw he was talking about how climate means everything in a given area in relation to the living conditions, but then the data doesn't cover everything and the data has to pick and choose what it wants to go over for the policies to be enacted, which then means the climate data focuses on human intervention.
This is the Peterson quote I was referring to:
"Another problem that bedevils climate modelling, too, which is that as you stretch out the models across time, the errors increase radically. And so maybe you can predict out a week or three weeks or a month or a year, but the farther out you predict, the more your model is in error. And that’s a huge problem when you’re trying to model over 100 years because the errors compound just like interest."
Not sure of the timestamp, and I'm not going to the trouble of listening to the full conversation again just to find it, but he definitely said it, and the fact remains that Peterson is just flat out wrong. The reason I say that he doesn't seem to understand the difference between "climate" and "weather" is that the above comments really only apply to weather predictions. It is true that the weather is nigh impossible to model long term, because weather patterns are inherently localized and governed by a multitude of variables which are difficult to predict. The same is not true for the climate, which is much more holistic and stable.

To use an analogy, it's kind of like putting a pan of cold water on a hot stove, and then predicting what will happen. A physicist would say that the water will heat up to 100 degrees and eventually boil, while a Petersonesque character might offer the criticism that "well, you see, you can't predict exactly when a bubble is going to form in the water at a precise location at a precise time, and the further out you go, the more difficult the predictions become, so, err, how can you say that the water will boil? Physics debunked!"

It's a silly red herring of an argument, because it fails to appreciate the difference between a stable and predictable equilibrium (the climate), and the often erratic fluctuations that exist within that equilibrium (the weather).
Again, we have no idea what's going on in underground oceans that run through the center of the Earth but somehow we don't have to consider this when talking about 70% of the world surface which effects the rest of it. But scientists don't care because we cannot control what goes on down there. That's why it's all focused on CO2 and even then the data is iffy in how it determines the changes since it doesn't adjust for the sun, the variables between us and the sun, the orbit around the sun, the prediction of solar flares that slam into the Earth. All sorts of things are not being considered because it's hard to consider these things we have trouble calculating.
Modals are necessarily limited to the factors which explain the greatest variability. This is a feature of mathematical modelling, not a bug, and with the climate, they're highly statistically congruent with observation:
Climate change models vs observation 1970-2020.jpg
Climate scientists are aware of the impact that solar activity and orbital cycles can have on the climate, and many climate models do take these factors into account.
What about my statement was not correct? Do scientist's consider every factor or are they counting stuff that's outside of human factors? Is this going to be one of those conversations where you hold my words to a pinpoint literal interpretation outside of context instead of understand what I'm saying in relation to the rest of the context?
The answer to your question is yes: climate scientists do consider factors other than human activity, which is what made your initial statement incorrect. Even the specific discovery that CO2 absorbed longwave radiation and thus acted as a greenhouse gas was originally made in the 19th century; many decades before the implications of human industry and it's impact on the planet were even being discussed or thought about.

To bring this back to Peterson, it seems to me that his opposition to climate modelling has little to do with science, and much more to do with the political corner he's painted himself into. Peterson dislikes the implications of climate change because it threatens the status quo (something his message exists to uphold), but rather than confront the topic honestly, like a scientist, he prefers instead to take the ideological option of pretending that it doesn't really exist.
 
Modals are necessarily limited to the factors which explain the greatest variability. This is a feature of mathematical modelling, not a bug, and with the climate, they're highly statistically congruent with observation:
I don't know about other countries, but in the Netherlands just a couple of years ago they changed the locations of the station where the temperature was being measured. The new location is at a different altitude among other factors, and based on the temperature difference of the last 5 years between those two locations, they went ahead and changed the same amount to all of the 50 years prior of the old location.

The result was that the number of heatwaves in the last 50 years more than doubled as a result of the +1.x temperature increase to old measurements.

Although this is officially what they've done, they refuse to elaborate and scientists that have spoken up about this have been demonized. Forgive me if I think it's possible that this happened in more locations besides just the Netherlands.

Also

global-warming.png

Btw, climate predictions are consistently false, and the falseness compounds with time. Jordan Peterson is actually correct about this. Here is an amalgation of scientific predictions and actual measured temperature:

predictions.jpg

If predictions based on the CO2 hypothesis are consistently false, at some point you have to discard your hypothesis. Or make a new prediction, lul.

How tf is a brain scrambled Peterson more on point about this while he meanders and cries about these things?
 
Not sure of the timestamp, and I'm not going to the trouble of listening to the full conversation again just to find it, but he definitely said it, and the fact remains that Peterson is just flat out wrong. The reason I say that he doesn't seem to understand the difference between "climate" and "weather" is that the above comments really only apply to weather predictions. It is true that the weather is nigh impossible to model long term, because weather patterns are inherently localized and governed by a multitude of variables which are difficult to predict. The same is not true for the climate, which is much more holistic and stable.
Thank you for clarifying what quote, but I see a lot of mistakes on your end as to what exactly is being said. I think that you are mistaking climate for environment.

Climate is defined as the weather over a long period of time, usually around 30 years increments. It's not there to determine the exact temperature but the possible changes that can cause issues for surival or change the environment, such as when grapes are able to be grown more north, because of the climate change. What Peterson was talking about was that you can determine what was the climate previously, because it already happened and that's literally set in stone. But, you cannot predict future climate as easily because you're going to have so many errors and missing variables over the 30 years, and this is because we don't include the entropy and chaos outside of Earth and our limited measurements.

We do have all the data that we feel like we want as politically influenced scientists, but we don't have all of the data in general to make the future predictions valid. It's no different than trying to predict what the stock market would look like 30 years from now. Imagine trying to do that while politicans pay big money to skew the numbers and hide data in order to serve an ideology and agenda. That's basically what we're dealing with.


To use an analogy, it's kind of like putting a pan of cold water on a hot stove, and then predicting what will happen. A physicist would say that the water will heat up to 100 degrees and eventually boil, while a Petersonesque character might offer the criticism that "well, you see, you can't predict exactly when a bubble is going to form in the water at a precise location at a precise time, and the further out you go, the more difficult the predictions become, so, err, how can you say that the water will boil? Physics debunked!"
I'm sorry, but this is a terrible comparison. Mostly because you made it seem like a weather prediction during the weather event instead of climate prediction. There are so many more variables that accumulate over these 30+ years that it would be like saying a frying pan with water trying to boil would still be trying to boil while the house it's happening in is surrounded by war and tornados and all sorts of disaters at random times.

It's not a debunking of physics, it's a debunking of a prediction of something that's being guessed on and hasn't happened yet and didn't use physics to determine the outcome beacuse climate is not a physics equation when it's about the future, only when it's about the past.

What's funny is that your argument against Peterson is the actual red herring. At this point it's projection.

Modals are necessarily limited to the factors which explain the greatest variability. This is a feature of mathematical modelling, not a bug, and with the climate, they're highly statistically congruent with observation:
View attachment 2932685
Climate scientists are aware of the impact that solar activity and orbital cycles can have on the climate, and many climate models do take these factors into account.
According to the picture, they are only congruent with the observation up to around a decade and then veer off right after that. Up to 2020, it's a bunch of madness with it being off by around 0.2C average and if they are saying with this model that temperature went into a cooling before the 80s and then slowly rose by around 1C in 50 years... this means we have more than 8 years before it's irreversable damage. However, according to the UN, based on this data that is supposedly trustworthy, they say we have until 2030 to act or else we can't fix it.

Are you saying the UN is telling us the wrong data or the scientists? Because the data the UN is using is from the scientists.

As for solar activity and orbital cycles lol no, they don't. The solar activity and orbital cycles haven't happened yet, and there's no prediction of this unless we can analyize the sun very closely, which we can't, because it's the sun. We can only guess from the past and hope time doesn't change anything. It's not like determining an eclipse. It's more like determining an astroid and where it will go, but from another galaxy and we can't see it.

The answer to your question is yes: climate scientists do consider factors other than human activity, which is what made your initial statement incorrect. Even the specific discovery that CO2 absorbed longwave radiation and thus acted as a greenhouse gas was originally made in the 19th century; many decades before the implications of human industry and it's impact on the planet were even being discussed or thought about.
So you're saying it's not about human factors but it's about human factors. Okay, that's not different from what I said so I'm not sure how I'm wrong unless you thought it was specifically humans themselves and not their impact on the world.

To bring this back to Peterson, it seems to me that his opposition to climate modelling has little to do with science, and much more to do with the political corner he's painted himself into. Peterson dislikes the implications of climate change because it threatens the status quo (something his message exists to uphold), but rather than confront the topic honestly, like a scientist, he prefers instead to take the ideological option of pretending that it doesn't really exist.

He never said it doesn't exist. He never painted himself into a corner. He wants to change the things we do to save the environment. He said so in his talk with Rogan. If you watched the video, you would know this. I'm sorry if this sounds harsh but I expect this from a redditor, not from a person who knows what they're talking about. This is Vaush level of going in blind to say a bunch of stuff that isn't in relation to the subject. It looks good rhetorically but completely ill-informed.

He said climate change is real. He understands it's real. He's just not falling for the balogna about everyone dying in 2030 unless the US buys oil from the Middle East and China and India continue to be unregulated. We're told to trust the data and then somehow the data is as accurate as Chris-Chan's dimentional merge announcements.

Again, there is accurate data for particular things, but climate is not the thing that it's accurate about when it comes to predicting the future. For the past, sure, why not, it already happened. For the future, no.
 
I havent listened to the whole thing. Anyone know the timestamp for this part?

View attachment 2934577

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Yeah, the logic cuts both ways. Itt is a good example of why those who want a more centralized economy and planned economy, are all also in favor of the current climate change narrative.

The stake thing is about how cartoons used to be symbolic in their creativity, because they were modernist. Now they are postmodernist and instead of being symbolic they are representative of the current culture or of colloquial memes.

It's the reason why everyone could relate to Tom and Jerry but it's hard to get an easterner to get behind something like Rick and Morty or Regular Show. It's trapped in it's cultural bubble instead of a human bubble.
 
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The stake thing is about how cartoons used to be symbolic in their creativity, because they were modernist. Now they are postmodernist and instead of being symbolic they are representative of the current culture or of colloquial memes.

It's the reason why everyone could relate to Tom and Jerry but it's hard to get an easterner to get behind something like Rick and Morty or Regular Show. It's trapped in it's cultural bubble instead of a human bubble.
Tom and Jerry has always been popular internationally because there's no dialogue, and that translates pretty easily.

Looney Tunes, back in the day, were pretty representative of their current culture and the colloquial memes of the day. How many of you know what "He don't know me very well, do he?" or "I'm only three-and-a-half years old" are referencing? How many of you listen to old radio shows and get why these were funny in 1942?
 
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