Virginia update from Baris:
Independents going to Youngkin by 10+ points. If the independents are a larger part of the electorate, Youngkin wins.
The election is all down to turnout now. McAllife needs his low turnout voters to have a chance to prevent current momentum from killing him. Which is why you are seeing a push for vote by mail.
In electorate standards, in a D+2 environment, it's even. If its more Republican, Youngkin wins.
In the 2020 election, Virginia was an D+4 inferred registered voter state, but the elecorate was D+2 in the presidential election. Something has shifted, where now Virginia is an inferred even state, meaning a 4 point slide in registered Democratic registration edge.
2 weeks ago, 33% have heard about the tranny raping a girl in a school girl's bathroom in Loudan County, to 50% now have heard it.
This shift and 10+ point loss in Independents in Virginia has major implications nationwide. He says that WI, MI and PA are all going to have Republican governors in 2022 if this holds.
It's getting interesting. Still not holding my breath because Fairfax.