War Invasion of Ukraine News Megathread - Thread is only for articles and discussion of articles, general discussion thread is still in Happenings.

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President Joe Biden on Tuesday said that the United States will impose sanctions “far beyond” the ones that the United States imposed in 2014 following the annexation of the Crimean peninsula.

“This is the beginning of a Russian invasion of Ukraine,” Biden said in a White House speech, signaling a shift in his administration’s position. “We will continue to escalate sanctions if Russia escalates,” he added.

Russian elites and their family members will also soon face sanctions, Biden said, adding that “Russia will pay an even steeper price” if Moscow decides to push forward into Ukraine. Two Russian banks and Russian sovereign debt will also be sanctioned, he said.

Also in his speech, Biden said he would send more U.S. troops to the Baltic states as a defensive measure to strengthen NATO’s position in the area.

Russia shares a border with Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania.

A day earlier, Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered troops to go into the separatist Donetsk and Lugansk regions in eastern Ukraine after a lengthy speech in which he recognized the two regions’ independence.

Western powers decried the move and began to slap sanctions on certain Russian individuals, while Germany announced it would halt plans to go ahead with the Russia-to-Germany Nord Stream 2 pipeline.

At home, Biden is facing bipartisan pressure to take more extensive actions against Russia following Putin’s decision. However, a recent poll showed that a majority of Americans believe that sending troops to Ukraine is a “bad idea,” and a slim minority believes it’s a good one.

All 27 European Union countries unanimously agreed on an initial list of sanctions targeting Russian authorities, said French Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian, and EU foreign affairs head Josep Borell claimed the package “will hurt Russia … a lot.”

Earlier Tuesday, Borell asserted that Russian troops have already entered the Donbas region, which comprises Donetsk and Lugansk, which are under the control of pro-Russia groups since 2014.

And on Tuesday, the Russian Parliament approved a Putin-back plan to use military force outside of Russia’s borders as Putin further said that Russia confirmed it would recognize the expanded borders of Lugansk and Donetsk.

“We recognized the states,” the Russian president said. “That means we recognized all of their fundamental documents, including the constitution, where it is written that their [borders] are the territories at the time the two regions were part of Ukraine.”

Speaking to reporters on Tuesday, Putin said that Ukraine is “not interested in peaceful solutions” and that “every day, they are amassing troops in the Donbas.”

Meanwhile, Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky on Tuesday morning again downplayed the prospect of a Russian invasion and proclaimed: “There will be no war.”

“There will not be an all-out war against Ukraine, and there will not be a broad escalation from Russia. If there is, then we will put Ukraine on a war footing,” he said in a televised address.

The White House began to signal that they would shift their own position on whether it’s the start of an invasion.

“We think this is, yes, the beginning of an invasion, Russia’s latest invasion into Ukraine,” said Jon Finer, the White House deputy national security adviser in public remarks. “An invasion is an invasion and that is what is underway.”

For weeks, Western governments have been claiming Moscow would invade its neighbor after Russia gathered some 150,000 troops along the countries’ borders. They alleged that the Kremlin would attempt to come up with a pretext to attack, while some officials on Monday said Putin’s speech recognizing the two regions was just that.

But Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin told reporters Tuesday that Russia’s “latest invasion” of Ukraine is threatening stability in the region, but he asserted that Putin can “still avoid a full blown, tragic war of choice.”

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Russian military warns of strikes against facilities in Kyiv, according to statement via state media​


The Russian military said Tuesday it will carry out strikes against the facilities in Kyiv, warning civilians living near the areas to leave.

The Russians will target the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) and the 72nd Main Center for Information and Psychological Operations (PSO) in Kyiv, the Russian defense ministry said in a statement Tuesday via Russian state news agency TASS.

"In order to suppress information attacks against Russia, the technological facilities of the SBU and the 72nd main PSO center in Kyiv will be hit with high-precision weapons," the statement said, according to TASS. "We call on Ukrainian citizens attracted by Ukrainian nationalists to carry out provocations against Russia, as well as residents of Kyiv living near relay nodes leave their homes."

Speaking about the "relay nodes," CNN's Clarissa Ward said, "we understand that to mean communications towers. So large antennas, things of that nature."

"This is not a surprise in a sense that people here have been bracing themselves for an uptick in the Russian onslaught. Up until now, most attacks have really been targeting the outskirts of the city. But now it appears that things will move to the center of the capital as so many had feared," Ward said.

More background: A massive 40-mile-long Russian military convoy — made up of armored vehicles, tanks, towed artillery and other logistical vehicles — has reached the outskirts of Ukraine's capital, Kyiv, according to satellite images from Maxar Technologies.

Russia has repeatedly claimed it is not hitting civilian infrastructure in Ukraine. But social media videos, photos and satellite images analyzed and geolocated by CNN confirm that on several occasions densely populated areas have been hit by Russian forces.

In the past two days, accelerated strikes on the second-largest city of Kharkiv that have struck civilians suggest Russia is shifting toward a far less-restrained bombing campaign, in contrast with its earlier attacks that were more focused on military targets.

The UN says that at least 102 civilians have been killed across the country and 304 injured, though those figures are likely to underestimate the true toll.

 

France will provide Ukraine with $111 million in additional aid​


France has allocated a further 100 million euros ($111 million) worth of financial and humanitarian aid to Ukraine, the French foreign ministry said in a statement Tuesday.

“Faced with the humanitarian situation in Ukraine caused by Russia's invasion of the country and in response to the request of the Ukrainian authorities, France has decided to mobilize a financial package of 100 million euros to provide a response for the population affected by the conflict,” read the statement.

“In addition to financial support to NGOs and multilateral organizations, our assistance takes the form of emergency humanitarian aid.”

A further eight tons worth of aid left France on Tuesday for Ukraine, with the statement adding that “other humanitarian aid operations for Ukraine are under consideration.”

France will also provide aid to Ukrainian refugees in Poland, the statement said.

France has already sent 33 tons of emergency aid, which includes tents, blankets and sleeping bags, to Ukraine via Poland. They were delivered to the Ukrainian authorities on Monday, according to the statement.


Emergency oil release could help offset supply fears in the short term, Chevron CEO says​


Chevron CEO Mike Wirth expressed support on Tuesday for governments to release emergency stockpiles of oil to offset supply fears triggered by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

“I do think a coordinated response by multiple countries could help in the near-term,” Wirth said in response to a question from CNN during a briefing with reporters. “Certainly, we’ve seen markets on edge with concern about supply and supply reliability.”

Brent oil prices closed above $100 a barrel on Monday for the first time since 2014. US crude and Brent jumped another 5% on Tuesday even as the International Energy Agency meets to discuss a response to the Russia-Ukraine crisis.

US President Joe Biden indicated last week the United States stands ready to release more oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the nation’s stockpile of oil that was tapped in November in response to high prices.

“The Strategic Petroleum Reserve was intended to be used in times of actual supply disruptions or high risk of supply disruption,” Wirth said. “Unlike some other times when we’ve seen it used perhaps more because of anxiety about prices but no real supply concern, in this instance use of the reserve would be consistent with what it was established for.”

However, the Chevron CEO urged the federal government to take broader steps to encourage the long-term development of oil and natural gas.

The invasion of Ukraine has driven concerns about a supply disruption from Russia, the world’s No. 2 oil producer. Wirth expressed confidence that won’t happen.

“I’ve seen nothing to indicate that either Russia’s intentions or the intentions of governments involved in sanctions would be to restrict oil supply,” Wirth said. “In fact, quite the opposite. It would appear to me that people have been very careful to signal their intention is to try to maintain energy supply to a world that needs it.”

Chevron said its only real exposure to Russia is through the Caspian Pipeline Consortium, a pipeline system that brings crude oil from West Kazakhstan and Russian oil producers. The Russian government and Chevron own stakes in the venture, according to its website.

“We’ve had no indications from any government that operations of the Caspian Pipeline Consortium are likely to be interrupted,” Wirth said, adding that this is an important source of supply, carrying more than one million barrels per day out of landlocked Kazakhstan.

High oil prices have lifted prices at the gas pump to seven-year highs. The national average for regular gasoline rose to $3.62 on Tuesday, up about 9 cents in a week and 24 cents in a month, according to AAA.

At some point, energy prices could get so expensive that it erodes demand from consumers and slows the broader economy.

“We have a strong economic recovery underway globally. To this point, economies have been able to accommodate high energy prices and still deliver growth,” Wirth said. “I think there probably is a limit to that.”


Italy moves its embassy from Kyiv to western Ukraine in light of "security situation"​


Italy has moved its embassy from Kyiv to the city of Lviv in western Ukraine in light of the deteriorating "security situation" in the Ukrainian capital.

In an update Tuesday, the Italian Ministry for Foreign Affairs announced that it had moved the embassy so it could "continue carrying out its duties."

On Monday, France had also announced that it would move its embassy from Kyiv to Lviv.


US is closing in on decision to join global release of oil as Ukraine war roils markets​


The US is closing in on deciding whether it will join a global release of up to 60 million barrels of crude oil, including from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, as President Joe Biden seeks to dampen the effect of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on gas prices at home.

The total number of barrels released globally could range from 50 million to 60 million barrels, senior administration officials and others familiar with the matter said, though sources cautioned that a decision had not yet been finalized and deliberations were still underway Tuesday morning.

Other allies are also expected to dip into their stockpiles in a coordinated effort to bring down energy costs amid the ongoing Russian invasion. They include Germany, the UK, Italy, the Netherlands and other major European countries, as well as Japan and South Korea.

US officials have spent the last several weeks on calls and in meetings with their counterparts in key energy-supplying countries in an effort to secure commitments to backfill any market disruptions. The effort included an in-person visit to Saudi Arabia from two senior administration officials to discuss the need to address the impact on oil markets. The US informed Saudi Arabia ahead of the oil reserve announcement.

The White House has not laid out any specific commitments and White House press secretary Jen Psaki declined to say whether any specific request for supply increases had been made when asked this week during a briefing.
Biden signaled his intent to release the oil last week.

"We are actively working with countries around the world to evaluate a collective release from the Strategic Petroleum Reserves of major energy-consuming countries. And the United States will release additional barrels of oil as conditions warrant,” he said.

The Paris-based International Energy Agency is holding a last-minute meeting Tuesday on oil supply with the goal of “stabilizing markets," it said earlier this week. The meeting with be chaired by US Secretary of Energy Jennifer Granholm.

Some background: Tapping the SPR – the stockpile of 600 million barrels of crude oil stored in underground salt caverns in Louisiana and Texas – generally has only a limited effect on gas prices because of how much oil can be released at a time, but would act as a political sign that Biden is confronting the problem.

 
Russian stock exchenge probably will not open until war ends. Ukrainian monopoly money performance on forex is better that russian monopoly money (besides all currencies in Europe except EUR, GBP, CHF and maybye viking coin from Sweden are monopoly money). Probability of declaring Sbierbank in Austria as unable to pay own liabilities is increasing. Short word about how it works in Europe: in country control/guarantee power declares bank of non-operatable that bank will be taken from his shareholders within any pay them off (not even single dime) and them "sold" to another bank. Probably one of many state-owned banks in Europe.

The money already knows the result of WW3.
 
I'm betting my chips on a Russian victory in Kiev until Friday. They will relocate the capital to another country and fight until the last part of Ukranian soil is under Russian control. West already pushed Jewtin too far with the sanctions so he won't back down until Ukraine is back to the 2013 status. The war in the Ukraine may be over then but the economical raping of Russia just started. Washington probably wanted to achieve exactly that: set up Ukraine as a honey pot, bring Europe back to their breast and install the image of Russians as completly subhumans in every mind of the average Westerner.

I highly doubt that the sanctions will end Putins regime. Just look at the Iran or places like North Korea. In the long term Euros probably shoot themselves in their own leg with all this but Merica will definetly profit.
 
You know I am surprised Poland doesn’t just pull a runner and ‘wardec’ on Ukraine too WINK only darn the UAF just happens to keep surrendering everywhere we go how about that.
 
If Putin actually orders to nuke the west, I can imagine that his goons will just shot him in the head instead and declare on TV that "Mr. Putin is seriously ill and needs to rest for a week".
This. If he tried to launch nukes he'll be killed by his own men. He's no Stalin, he doesn't have the fear, and didn't purge his disloyal officials like he did, to order something that fucking stupid. Not even corrupt oligarchs are going to destroy the world over fucking Ukraine.
 
I'm betting my chips on a Russian victory in Kiev until Friday. They will relocate the capital to another country and fight until the last part of Ukranian soil is under Russian control. West already pushed Jewtin too far with the sanctions so he won't back down until Ukraine is back to the 2013 status. The war in the Ukraine may be over then but the economical raping of Russia just started. Washington probably wanted to achieve exactly that: set up Ukraine as a honey pot, bring Europe back to their breast and install the image of Russians as completly subhumans in every mind of the average Westerner.

I highly doubt that the sanctions will end Putins regime. Just look at the Iran or places like North Korea. In the long term Euros probably shoot themselves in their own leg with all this but Merica will definetly profit.
Part of me feels like many Democrats and similar parties in the West want a war to find a scapegoat for the coming economic decline thanks to their piss poor response to covid and dumb green positions. On Twitter many Democrats openly discuss how war can improve their poll numbers and increase the chances of keeping Biden in office.

Russia is going to get hit harder, but they want an outlet for frustration and a way to blame the consequences of poor decisions surrounding covid.

More importantly, a war with a foreign power is a great excuse to hit “Russian” collaborators at home. Coincidentally, it can be conservatives and/or independents, especially those in key districts in swing states.

I have no doubt that protestors will be labeled as Russian collaborators. Especially in Canada. It’s a perfect excuse to arrest, cancel, and purge undesirables from society, the military, government at all levels, etc.
 

Belarus joins Russia’s war on Ukraine​

Minsk sends troops to Chernihiv region, north of the capital Kyiv.

Belarus joined the Russian invasion of Ukraine on Tuesday, with the country’s troops entering the Chernihiv region in northern Ukraine, Ukrainian authorities confirmed.

In a tweet posted on Tuesday morning, the Ukrainian parliament, the Verkhovna Rada, confirmed earlier reports that Belarusian troops were on Ukrainian soil.

“Belarusian troops have entered Chernihiv region. The information was confirmed to the public by Vitaliy Kyrylov, spokesman for the North Territorial Defense Forces. More details later,” the tweet said.

According to local reports, a Belarusian column of 33 units had entered the region, located north of Kyiv, with mobile communications cut.

The Belarusian rollout comes a couple days after authoritarian leader Alexander Lukashenko held a referendum on proposed changes to the constitution that would allow him consolidate control of the country and end Belarus’ status as a nuclear-free zone — opening the way for a possible deployment of Russian nuclear weapons in the country.

Unsurprisingly, Lukashenko’s side won the referendum, according to Russian news agencies, citing Belarus’ central elections commission that 65.16 percent of those who took part voted in favor.


Tag teaming in another countries troops mid war is not a sign things are going well. Organising coalition forces is always harder because seperate communications, chain of command etc all add layers of complexity, and can end up with shit going wrong. Remember how well Desert Storm went? Remember how we took a fucking year to set that shit up? Now remember that we Brits lost more troops to blue on blue fire than we did to the Iraqis, and despite all the planning they ended up having to call an audible partway through and redirect the 1st Armoured Division because they were afraid of more shit going wrong.


I highly doubt that the sanctions will end Putins regime. Just look at the Iran or places like North Korea
Iran is a weird theocratic shithole, and NK is a weird cult of personality. Russia is neither, and the current sanctions appear to be harming the population and the oligarchs fairly effectively. That's a perfect storm for bringing down an unpopular government, unless Putin is willing, and able, to go full dictator mode.
 
This. If he tried to launch nukes he'll be killed by his own men. He's no Stalin, he doesn't have the fear, and didn't purge his disloyal officials like he did, to order something that fucking stupid. Not even corrupt oligarchs are going to destroy the world over fucking Ukraine.
It does seem to be worthless to go nuclear apocalypse on something like Ukraine
 
I don't even know what to say. Hope the pic is staged and they are just addicted to upvotes

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I don't even know what to say. Hope the pic is staged and they are just addicted to upvotes

View attachment 3031290
I don't think this is staged. There's a lot of reports of European wanting to join the Ukrainian. Hell, even UK's Foreign Secretary was supporting the idea (although I don't know whether or not she have retracted that after some criticism about it)
 
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Part of me feels like many Democrats and similar parties in the West want a war to find a scapegoat for the coming economic decline thanks to their piss poor response to covid and dumb green positions. On Twitter many Democrats openly discuss how war can improve their poll numbers and increase the chances of keeping Biden in office.

Russia is going to get hit harder, but they want an outlet for frustration and a way to blame the consequences of poor decisions surrounding covid.

More importantly, a war with a foreign power is a great excuse to hit “Russian” collaborators at home. Coincidentally, it can be conservatives and/or independents, especially those in key districts in swing states.

I have no doubt that protestors will be labeled as Russian collaborators. Especially in Canada. It’s a perfect excuse to arrest, cancel, and purge undesirables from society, the military, government at all levels, etc.
It's not just me right. Whating to start world War three just for better polls sounds like you have to be a crappy human being.
If you are amerikan you think this is about Ukraine. However, in Europe, some of us still remember soviet occupation. Few of us think that they are going to take ukraine and then we will be friends again.
Yes I am American. And I'm well aware of that. Did you think they were either your friends?
 
If you are amerikan you think this is about Ukraine. However, in Europe, some of us still remember soviet occupation. Few of us think that they are going to take ukraine and then we will be friends again.
idk man, they’re having enough trouble invading Ukraine, I honestly don’t think the Russian military is in any place to even be THINKING about an occupation of Europe.
 
It's not just me right. Whating to start world War three just for better polls sounds like you have to be a crappy human being.
It is shitty but that’s what they care about the most. They want to expand the Democrats party’s influence as much as possible. The Republicans are no better. They’re willing to start wars because the ends justify the means. The end being winning the next election. They’ll overthrow Democracies if it’s in their interests.
 

Russia Is a Potemkin Superpower​

By Paul Krugman | February 28, 2022

Beware, Vladimir Putin: Spring is coming. And when it does, you’ll lose much of whatever leverage you had left.

Before Putin invaded Ukraine, I might have described the Russian Federation as a medium-size power punching above its weight in part by exploiting Western divisions and corruption, in part by maintaining a powerful military. Since then, however, two things have become clear. First, Putin has delusions of grandeur. Second, Russia is even weaker than most people, myself included, seem to have realized.
It has long been obvious that Putin desperately wants to restore Russia’s status as a Great Power. His already infamous “there is no such thing as Ukraine” speech, in which he condemned Lenin (!) for giving his neighbor what Putin considers a false sense of national identity, made it clear that his aims go beyond recreating the Soviet Union — he apparently wants to recreate the czarist empire. And he apparently thought that he could take a big step toward that goal with a short, victorious war.

So far, it hasn’t worked out as planned. Ukrainian resistance has been fierce; Russia’s military has been less effective than advertised. I’ve been especially struck by reports that the early days of the invasion were hampered by severe logistical problems — that is, the invaders had a hard time providing their forces with the essentials of modern war, above all fuel. It’s true that supply problems are common in war; still, logistics is one thing advanced nations are supposed to be really good at.

But Russia is looking less and less like an advanced nation.
The truth is that I was being generous in describing Russia as even a medium-size power. Britain and France are medium-size powers; Russia’s gross domestic product is only a bit more than half as large as either’s. It seemed remarkable that such an economically underweight state could support a world-class, highly sophisticated military — and maybe it couldn’t.

That’s not to deny that the force ravaging Ukraine has immense firepower, and it may well take Kyiv. But I wouldn’t be surprised if post-mortems on the Ukraine war eventually show that there was a lot more rot at the heart of Putin’s military than anyone realized.

And Russia is starting to look even weaker economically than it did before it went to war.
Putin isn’t the first brutal dictator to make himself an international pariah. As far as I can tell, however, he’s the first to do so while presiding over an economy deeply dependent on international commerce — and with a political elite accustomed, more or less literally, to treating Western democracies as their playground.
For Putin’s Russia isn’t a hermetic tyranny like North Korea or, for that matter, the old Soviet Union. Its standard of living is sustained by large imports of manufactured goods, mostly paid for via exports of oil and natural gas.

This leaves Russia’s economy highly vulnerable to sanctions that might disrupt this trade, a reality reflected in Monday’s sharp plunge in the value of the ruble despite a huge increase in domestic interest rates and draconian attempts to limit capital flight.

Before the invasion it was common to talk about how Putin had created “fortress Russia,” an economy immune to economic sanctions, by accumulating a huge war chest of foreign currency reserves. Now, however, such talk seems naïve. What, after all, are foreign reserves? They aren’t bags of cash. For the most part they consist of deposits in overseas banks and holdings of other governments’ debt — that is, assets that can be frozen if most of the world is united in revulsion against a rogue government’s military aggression.
True, Russia also has a substantial amount of physical gold held within the country. But how useful is this gold as a way to pay for things the Putin regime needs? Can you really conduct large-scale modern business with ingots?

Finally, as I noted last week, Russia’s oligarchs have stashed most of their assets overseas, making them subject to freezing or seizure if democratic governments can muster the will. You might say that Russia doesn’t need those assets, which is true. But everything Putin has done in office suggests that he considers it necessary to buy oligarchs’ support, so their vulnerability is his vulnerability.

Incidentally, one puzzle about Russia’s pre-Ukraine image of strength was how a kleptocratic regime managed to have an efficient, effective military. Maybe it didn’t?

Still, Putin has one remaining ace in the hole: Feckless policies have made Europe deeply dependent on Russian natural gas, potentially inhibiting the West’s response to his aggression.

But Europe mainly burns gas for heat; gas consumption is 2.5 times higher in the winter than it is in the summer. Well, winter will soon be over — and the European Union has time to prepare for another winter without Russian gas if it’s willing to make some hard choices.

As I said, Putin may well take Kyiv. But even if he does, he will have made himself weaker, not stronger. Russia now stands revealed as a Potemkin superpower, with far less real strength than meets the eye.
 
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