As a side note, why do I keep believing this war is going to be a grind? Surely Zelensky has plans to use Lviv as the new capital should Kyiv fall. Am I wrong? If so, how? Just my gut feeling, the more things I see here.
You're not wrong. Because of his effectiveness as a rallying symbol, so long as Zelenskiy is alive and in command of the government, Ukraine will continue to fight. And even if he got captured or killed, the government can still spin him as a martyr. There are examples like those two situations before in history
That's about the point when the US Navy shows up and says hello.
RULE AMERICA, AMERICA RULES THE WAVE
China'll just pile bodies and equipment up till they win with sheer force of numbers alone (not to even mention they don't care about bombing the fuck out of the place ahead of time - they can always rebuild later in their mind,), and nobody in the Chinese government will give one single fuck over any of the dead. The literal only thing that has kept China from stepping up is the threat of War with the US since that has an actual chance of causing regime change over there if they lose (the only thing their government actually somewhat fears).
See, I would have agreed with you if not for a post of someone here in this forum. Forgot who sent it, I'll find who later, but I still have the message:
Some bigger problems - for all their bluster, believe China is extremely sensitive to incurring large numbers of casualties.
Read somewhere recently as much as 70% of Chinese military manpower comes from one-child families. In the Chinese (Confucian) model, the children are the primary support of the parents in old age, since China has no national Social Security-type system. That son gets killed, who will support Mom and Dad? Take out a carrier, could lose thousands. Try to land against Taiwan, gonna lose shitloads of only sons in the attempt. Observation - South Korea, which has conscription, doesn't draft sole surviving sons. They also, to a certain extent, subscribe to the Confucian model of support for parents in their old age. They have a Social Security-type system but it pays little.
And when you add what's been heard about Chinese officers purchasing their ranks, the picture of a corrupt, operationally inept force becomes increasingly clear.
ASB Military, one of the few Russian shill OSINT accounts and who brought big attention to how fake and gay the ghost of Sheev and the Snake Island story were has been banned. Expecting RWA and even guys like Clint Ehrlich to follow:
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Wasn't he the one that proudly claim Ukraine will lost in just hours, only to deleted the tweet when he was proven wrong? He's just an OSINT larper, and definitely just a Putin-bros, not even a paid shill. Also apparently the tweet that got him suspended was the one claiming the US is collecting Slavic DNA. Certified retard there
watching the Russian’s has got to be giving the Chinese Military planners pause regarding any of the Party Leaderships plans for Taiwan. Not simply for the unexpected harshness and blowback of the International Sanctions. But for just how chewed up and stalemated the Russian Armor is. Mainly from man portable weaponry. In an environment where every citizen wants them dead or gone. The question becomes what is the end game? Other than a never ending quagmire that chews up soldiers to no real purpose?
Oh, they're definitely on paus right now. If Russia is having a hard time like this? What about them? Their troops and toys' qualities must be lower than the Russian, and they have no real experience in modern warfar. I read in Reuters a few days after the war started that CCP, in their announcement of the spending budget, China is going to increase their defense budget, so they're definitely trying to fix their problems right
That said, I have no doubt they most likely are unable to do anything about the technological side, since they don't have much time before the population decline hit them hard. So the most probability is that they're going to focus on reforms regarding logistics/maintenance, intelligence, and training&leadership (especially rooting out the corruption)
Xi is running with the biolabs story
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See, I told you China is going to tie the Biolab claim with their Covid claim. Russia has no choice but to double down now
You are such a WWIIbrained retard that it hurts. This war is absolutely nothing like WWII and all of your hours playing Hearts of Iron do not make your analysis any less useless. For a much more recent example, do you know how many soldiers the Americans used to take Baghdad, a giant city of 8 million, in 2003? 30.000.
But Iraqi back then didn't have the very high morale the Ukrainian have, and they definitely don't have the expensive toys and gears from the West like Ukraine have right now
WW2 Japan was racist as fuck. Against whites (who they had a burning sense of resentment and inferiority towards), but much more so against other Orientals like the Chinese (who they murdered in their millions) and Koreans, and Filipinos, whose kids they enjoyed using for target practice when they weren't running around hospitals stabbing the patients, or burning down schools and convents with helpless civilians trapped inside. Their war crimes are legendary, worse than anything the Nazis and Soviets ever did. Maybe worse than Genghis Khan, who at least knew how to turn people into allies because he wasn't a racist lunatic out to brutally enslave anybody who didn't belong to his tribe.
There's a reason pretty much everybody in East Asia really fucking hates the Japs, even to this day.
They were only racist to the whites back then because they're trying to butter up the natives anti-colonian groups. They portrayed themselves to the natives that they're the "Liberator and Savior of Asia"
And although people back then hated the Japanese, their place as the most hated people in East Asia has been taken over by the Chinese