- Joined
- Mar 28, 2024
Shohei Ohtani is currently at 47 homers and 48 steals. As I had suspected, he wasn't able to hit any homers against Atlanta in their house.
There are 12 games to go against the Marlins (away), Rockies (home), Padres (home), Rockies (away). He'll need to average 1 homer every 4 games and 1 steal every 6 games to reach the legendary stat line. Here's a modified look at the 4 series, now taking into account the ranking of how many homers each pitching group has given up:
Miami Marlins (3 games in Miami) = 4.70 ERA (28th) and 176 homers given up (11th). Park HR Factor = 0.95 (22nd)
Colorado Rockies (3 games in LA) = 5.40 ERA (30th) and 198 homers given up (30th). Park HR Factor = 1.11 (3rd)
San Diego Padres (3 games in LA) = 3.92 (14th) and 160 homers given up (21st). Park HR Factor = 1.11 (3rd)
Colorado Rockies (3 games in Colorado) = 5.40 ERA (30th) and 198 homers given up (30th). Park HR Factor = 1.14 (2nd)
A few observations would be: all 3 teams have actually improved their ERA stats by a few basis points over the last several days. Miami is surprising in that they give up a lot of runs, but they actually don't give up many homers (I suppose somewhat aided by their ballpark). The Padres are middle of the pack insofar as ERA is concerned, however they're actually good at not giving up many homers.
Getting the last 2 steals shouldn't be hard theoretically. I notice that pitchers are attempting more pickoffs and catchers seem to be more "on edge" during Mookie's at bats to try and catch a steal attempt at second base. Again, definitely very do-able and I would be surprised if he doesn't get to 50 steals.
When it comes to homers, Ohtani's on a 4 game streak of no homers so he's definitely due. While I had originally predicted a homer against the Marlins, given a closer look at their pitching performance as it relates to giving up homers, I'm not so sure anymore.
This puts some real pressure on him to get the last 3 homers during the home stretch in LA against the Padres and the Rockies. I say this especially because it wouldn't be great for him to have to go into the very final stretch of 3 games in Colorado searching for that remaining homer (assuming that he's at 49 at that point).
Nothing in Baseball is a given and I haven't even considered the possibility of faggotry by way of repeatedly walking him as teams may be wont to do.
There are 12 games to go against the Marlins (away), Rockies (home), Padres (home), Rockies (away). He'll need to average 1 homer every 4 games and 1 steal every 6 games to reach the legendary stat line. Here's a modified look at the 4 series, now taking into account the ranking of how many homers each pitching group has given up:
Miami Marlins (3 games in Miami) = 4.70 ERA (28th) and 176 homers given up (11th). Park HR Factor = 0.95 (22nd)
Colorado Rockies (3 games in LA) = 5.40 ERA (30th) and 198 homers given up (30th). Park HR Factor = 1.11 (3rd)
San Diego Padres (3 games in LA) = 3.92 (14th) and 160 homers given up (21st). Park HR Factor = 1.11 (3rd)
Colorado Rockies (3 games in Colorado) = 5.40 ERA (30th) and 198 homers given up (30th). Park HR Factor = 1.14 (2nd)
A few observations would be: all 3 teams have actually improved their ERA stats by a few basis points over the last several days. Miami is surprising in that they give up a lot of runs, but they actually don't give up many homers (I suppose somewhat aided by their ballpark). The Padres are middle of the pack insofar as ERA is concerned, however they're actually good at not giving up many homers.
Getting the last 2 steals shouldn't be hard theoretically. I notice that pitchers are attempting more pickoffs and catchers seem to be more "on edge" during Mookie's at bats to try and catch a steal attempt at second base. Again, definitely very do-able and I would be surprised if he doesn't get to 50 steals.
When it comes to homers, Ohtani's on a 4 game streak of no homers so he's definitely due. While I had originally predicted a homer against the Marlins, given a closer look at their pitching performance as it relates to giving up homers, I'm not so sure anymore.
This puts some real pressure on him to get the last 3 homers during the home stretch in LA against the Padres and the Rockies. I say this especially because it wouldn't be great for him to have to go into the very final stretch of 3 games in Colorado searching for that remaining homer (assuming that he's at 49 at that point).
Nothing in Baseball is a given and I haven't even considered the possibility of faggotry by way of repeatedly walking him as teams may be wont to do.