Hurricane Milton

[The Lawgiver]

getting wrecked by a "milton" is insult to injury

He brought his nigga Bradley with him.

 

[Spectator]

Could I ask one of the informative weather spergs to explain eyewall replacement and what it means?

Non weather FL expert. In laymen terms it means FL is truly fucked.

 

[LaxerBRO]

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Damn you, Milton!

 

[Smyrna]

I think the only thing I need to know is how long it will take to shear through the state and how long the period of calm time in the eye will be.

The official forecast suggests that Milton will take about 10-11 hours to traverse Florida. The calm in the eye is trickier to predict; depending on how badly the wind shear gets to him, there may not be much of an eye at that point, and not much calm as a result.

Could I ask one of the informative weather spergs to explain eyewall replacement and what it means?

An eyewall replacement cycle (EWRC) is something that happens in most mature hurricanes. It is a process where bands of thunderstorms outside of the eyewall coalesce and form a second eyewall around the first. This chokes off the original eyewall by robbing it of moisture and the ability to oscillate freely. Therefore, the original eyewall collapses and the second one shrinks slightly to take its place.

A sucessful EWRC has two main effects - it temporarily weakens the storm by killing the original eyewall, but at the same time expands the storm's size as more energy will be being sucked in during the initial creation of the second eyewall. The 'new' eyewall is almost always larger than the old - in Milton's case, the old eye shrank to 4 miles but the new one is 12 miles wide, which also broadens the storm's size, in particular the radius of strongest winds.

 

[Prokhor Zakharov]

As I've said before, there are physical limits to how large and powerful a storm can be, including water temperature and the nature of Earth's atmosphere.

Do you have any links to studies that discuss the nature of what the upper limit can be for a hurricane, given atmospheric limitations?

 

[A Cardboard Box]

Could I ask one of the informative weather spergs to explain eyewall replacement and what it means?

Okay, so basically, it is a cycle that occurs during the course of a large hurricane, generally only Cats 3-5. You've probably heard that the strongest part of the hurricane is the eye wall, which is true, most of the time. During an eye wall replacement, basically what happens is the storm is so massive that outer bands of the storm strengthen to close to the level of the eye wall. For various weather spergery reasons I won't bother with, this essentially "chokes" the existing eye wall and weakens the storm. However, over time, that stronger "outer wall" moves inwards, and eventually it replaces the original eye wall. Once this happens, the storm can reintensify, and is more resilient to wind shear tearing the storm apart. This cycle can repeat a number of times depending on several factors. Some very, very large storms, iirc only Pacific ones, can have two "outer walls" at once.

 

[Blitzsneed]

The Category system is a scale of how fucked a structure is going to be if it’s hit by the winds of a hurricane Cat 5 is the maximum it can be because that’s the point where no matter how well constuctured the building is if it’s hit by sustained Cat 5 winds that is building is completely fucked and nothing can save it.

Good to know, thanks for clearing that up.

If Milton manages to make landfall as a Cat 4 or 5 while still bringing these massive storm surges, there are areas of the coast that will have a 100% fatality rate. These numbers are simply not survivable if you're somewhere like Siesta Key and take a direct hit. If you're half a mile from the beach, and your place is five feet above sea level, you're literally going to be under ten feet of water, and nobody can save you because the wind is whipping at 140mph+.

Also the answer to your question is all 3 of your bullet points but read in reverse order because there’s no help coming for anyone in the Mandatory evacuation zones who has decided they are going to try toughing it out until after the storm passes and if they are staying they no longer have any actual control over whether they live or die.

Jesus Christ. Anyone trying to "tough it out" in those zones is too retarded to live.

 

[Fapcop]

Anyone else think it’s curious that we’re seeing this rise in troons and giant hurricanes?

God’s punishment for sacrificing children to Moloch?

All I’m saying is drag some doctors out from one of their gender clinics and pull out their beating hearts on top of the roof and I totally wouldn’t be surprised if Milton suddenly dispersed into a brisk gale.

 

[Starved Artist]

CAT 6 through 9 are trending, but as usual. People are full retards on twitter.

We live in a time full of chart changing events, once the dust settles and the bodies are buried ; It will be time to redefine Cat5/Cat6/Cat7/Cat8/Cat9. Since this storm pretty much said "fuck Cat5"

 

[Fapcop]

Okay, so basically, it is a cycle that occurs during the course of a large hurricane, generally only Cats 3-5. You've probably heard that the strongest part of the hurricane is the eye wall, which is true, most of the time. During an eye wall replacement, basically what happens is the storm is so massive that outer bands of the storm strengthen to close to the level of the eye wall. For various weather spergery reasons I won't bother with, this essentially "chokes" the existing eye wall and weakens the storm. However, over time, that stronger "outer wall" moves inwards, and eventually it replaces the original eye wall. Once this happens, the storm can reintensify, and is more resilient to wind shear tearing the storm apart. This cycle can repeat a number of times depending on several factors. Some very, very large storms, iirc only Pacific ones, can have two "outer walls" at once.

I like how there are farmers from every possible strata of society.

Right now, there’s probably a meteorologist at a TV station, discretely pulling out his phone in the commercial break, to update his fellow Kiwis on what’s going on.

 

[Fields Of Rye]

If you can't talk about the hurricane and insist on shitting up the thread with jewsperging, you shouldn't be in this thread.

Man, I can’t wait to leave my house, again, drive 6 hours to my friends house, again, return to help my neighbors cut through 6 miles of fallen trees, again, check on the fat old couple who refused to leave, again, find them another generator to keep their insulin cold, again, literally 1 day after getting power back, all so I can be told I can’t giggle at schizos being schizo because people can’t contain themselves.

Maybe we need a separate, IP locked, Hurricane Coping and Seething thread because the people who have had literal sticks up their asses since last week seem to have better attitudes than the people with metaphorical ones

Edit: I have now seen the Janny post, don’t know if this counts but still, no schizo ever called me tourist

 

[NSA Intern]

Mediafire is pretty easy

Week 1 and 6 don't exist because 1 was an into week and 6 was half term.
https://www.mediafire.com/file/nn2k...10_Intro_to_Climate_Change_Oct_2019.pptx/file
https://www.mediafire.com/file/6p0y3xrs10qm4xq/week3+-+Causes+of+climate+change(3).pptx/file
https://www.mediafire.com/file/vilpgcrexzvr7q8/week4+-+Consequences+of+climate+change(4).pptx/file
https://www.mediafire.com/file/nndxsszmgq585a5/Week5+-+Externalities+-+Public+goods(3).pptx/file
https://www.mediafire.com/file/0avluddh9ke10m1/Week7+-+Policy+instruments(1).pptx/file
https://www.mediafire.com/file/e4wp0p9ppzciuq4/Week8+-+Policy+instruments+continue(1).pptx/file
https://www.mediafire.com/file/rmry08wphdr07kl/Week9+-+Ethics+and+Cost+Benefit+Analysis(1).pptx/file
https://www.mediafire.com/file/2yan...imate_change_and_development%281%29.pptx/file

 

[COME ON OUT YOU RAPIST]

Anyone else think it’s curious that we’re seeing this rise in troons and giant hurricanes?

God’s punishment for sacrificing children to Moloch?

All I’m saying is drag some doctors out from one of their gender clinics and pull out their beating hearts on top of the roof and I totally wouldn’t be surprised if Milton suddenly dispersed into a brisk gale.

Wrong state, retard.

 

[Caesare]

and that's just the Ms there are way more names they can shove in the list to make it more diverse and less like Milton.

If by diverse you mean "3/4 niggos, 1/4 everything else" then Milton definitely fits.

I've known 3 Milton's in my lifetime and they've all been niggers. It's kind of an old timey nigger name

 

[Fapcop]

Yeah if only we had all those M113s and expired Javelins to feed our kids.

I mean… They ran out of electrical generators for storm relief, since they sent them all to Ukraine

What do Ukrainian soldiers eat? If you go with “MREs that could be pretty useful right now”, you’re spot on.

 

[ATI Escapee]

The problem with Sarasota county is everything outside of Sarasota. Fixed income mobile home dwellers clinging to life and their $1500/mo social security have few options to leave.

Florida has mobile homes by the coast? I figured when people brought up mobile homes, they were talking inland away from the more likely hurricane and flood affected areas. I assumed there would be some sort of building code equivalent that limited mobile homes being placed in an area that could get hit by storm surges and hurricanes. Any mobile home near this storm surge is going to disintegrate. Wow.

 

[COME ON OUT YOU RAPIST]

Not living in FL, so I have a question: Imagine you're "well" prepared and got food, drink and some shelter covered. What is the potential lethality of a Cat 5 hurricane? How lethal would Milton be in a full "Cat 6" worst case scenario?

• "You may live, but you will suffer dearly"
• "You'll need a miracle to survive"
• "Try to make peace with god. That's all you can do now."

Category 3 has a very high likelihood of peeling the roof off of your house, with Category 4 being a certainty. Category 5 will kill you. Not only is your house going to be demolished by 200 MPH winds and the debris thrown by that wind, you will also experience flooding, so any geniuses trying to hide in their basement will drown. The only way you're surviving a category 5 is either hiding in a reinforced bunker or missile silo, or not being there.

 

[johnny johnny yes papa]

Is it truly over for Florida?

 

[C4ndyCorn]

Spooky hurricane for a spooky month.

 

[datura_binge]

Sarasota County official statement:

Leave Now

I can say from personal experience that the county NEVER issues a statement worded like that. Their biggest concern is people remaining calm. Evacs are suggested, repetitively, in a cheery manner. This is SO fucked.

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Yeah that's what I was saying earlier. Living in the coast we get hurricanes all the time (and noreasters) but they barely ever issue an evacuation order. Those orders aren't a joke like most of what the gov says