Wuhan Coronavirus: Megathread - Got too big

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I've been told that they're clubbing like crazy in Peking,
Seals, or dogs, or bats?

Still feeling terrible here. Bit worried about one family member. Worrying times.

ETA. If this takes hold in Kenya that blows the ‘Africa is magically safe’ theory out the window. Although Nairobi isn’t that hot - I was surprised but it’s actually more of a temperate climate than what you’d think of as stereotypically tropical one. Poor Kenya. This taking off in Africa would be indescribably bad.
 
Deaths in the UK now stand at 104. A rise of 33.

What's interesting is the UK and Germany are counting the dead differently. So in Germany the "underlying complication" is the registration of the main death, while the Wuhan Flu is registered as secondary.

The UK is registering Kung Flu complications as its primary cause of death.
 
I'm glad we have troons to try and make it all about themselves in the midst of a pandemic.

To be fair, women are doing the same thing, with articles about how the virus kills more men than women, women most affected, shit like that.

... which ironically is more proof that "Trans women are women" that I've ever seen a Troon provide.

We have plenty of ventilators in stockpile. It's in excess of 10,000

Mike Pence

oh cool, that sounds goo....wait, 10 THOUSAND? I think that number you just said is missing a zero Mister vice president.

No. It's not.

Welcome to the problem. With those extra 10,000 we have ~75,000 available in the US now.

80% of the US population infected x 20% needing ICU (ventilators) = 53,000,000 ventilators needed.

What happens if we run out? 52,925,000 people are fucked.

But hey, that's why we're HASHTAG: Flatten the Curve, right? Right?

Well, about that.

If they can spread the infection over, oh, 706 months (~59 years), then we won't run out.
 
@Logical Fallacies made a post here which triggered off some political musing on my part which I decided to shitpost here instead of shitposting there.

In other news: We're no longer taking in refugees (this tells me shit is bad because we usually let everyone in) and those who can no longer work due to their work place closing because of measures against corona, will get short-time work unemployment benefit from the government.

I wonder if this crisis will finally convince the powers that be that most people don't want open borders? Then again if Brexit, Trump and the rise of populist parties didn't convince them, you have to wonder if they are convincible. Ezra Levant, not someone I'm normally a fan of, remarked that if you don't have walls at the borders, you need them somewhere else, like around your home. This is an interesting way to put it - the walls are in some sense inevitable, it's just a question of whether we want them inside the country stopping people traveling and doing stuff, or at the borders. Of course, this is classic questions where elite and regular people have a very different view.

Most people spend most of their time in one country and want to be able to move around freely and not worry about crime or excessive competition for jobs driving down their wages. Elite politicians and businesspeople are almost the opposite - they spend a lot of time traveling internationally, believe that free movement promotes economic growth by driving down unskilled wages and when they are in their home country they live in gated communities which have low crime levels because they have their own walls. And of course, by definition, elite politicians and business people are not competing with unskilled immigrants for their jobs, only with other people from their rather rarified social group which excludes both immigrants and 90% or more of the population of their home country. I suspect these people know they're incredibly privileged and that combined with a distaste for the poor of their own country makes them keen to virtue signal by letting in even poorer people from the third world.

Put that way you can see there's not all that much chance that the elites will change their view of borders. Still, perhaps they won't have to. In the Brexit debate, there was a lot of concern about how Brexit would lead to more friction as customs were imposed. Right now that seems an absurd thing to worry about given all EU external borders are being closed. You won't even notice Brexit in a world where everyone is closing their borders, with the probable exception of the US southern border which the left will never let Trump secure because they see all those illegals as future voters. Still, it demonstrates that his 'build a wall' motto wasn't all that crazy. I.e. the coronavirus lockdown is interesting because suddenly everyone is in favor of much stricter controls on international movement than either Trump or the Brexit voters were asking for.

Also for another example of the inevitability of borders Macron has threatened to ban travel from the UK unless the UK imposes the sort of strict controls on movement inside the UK as he has done in France.


https://web.archive.org/web/2020031...kdown-France-UK-EU-restrictions-latest-update
 
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Reporting from Canuckistan.

Every school is closing or is closed. Every event conceivable has been canceled. Never did run out of toilet paper in the stores, but it's not terribly populated round here. Every library, pool, gym, etc has closed.

Considering how cold winter gets, everyone just retreated back inside. Literally no difference. Pretty old populace here so once it spreads we are fucked.
 
Tonight's UK Press update.

All schools UK wide to close on Friday.

However, "key workers" including NHS workers, delivery drivers for supermarkets etc are to still send their kids in as they will be turned into effectively day care to help cover. All exams are subsequently cancelled/postponed.

London's busses and tube remains full, London's Bars remain full and life in the city is carrying on nearly as normal after brief periods of quiet. "London is not listening" according to Beth Rigby of Sky News.

BoJo basically says they either stop being silly sods or more steps will be taken, and confirms the "active consideration" of locking down London to slow it down as the UK's epicentre of the Kung Flu.
You have to feel for these kids. I think I'd rather go to school and get the wu flu than huddle in my tiny flat eating powdered mashed potatoes and watching reruns of Coronation Street.
 
What the fuck is tesla doing?
View attachment 1193460
I posted about this in the lockdown thread but I'll repost it here. Elon Musk is openly defying shelter-in-place orders in the San Francisco Bay Area, and direct orders from the sheriffs department to shut down because his factory is not an essential business. Sheriffs appear to be baffled and not sure what to do as far as enforcement. Doing their jobs is too hard, it appears.

https://www.protocol.com/tesla-factory-coronavirus-sheriffs-shutdown (https://archive.li/DkL8b)

https://www.mercurynews.com/2020/03...lly-ok-for-tesla-employees-to-work-from-home/ (https://archive.li/78W2c)
 
Does the average person know what it even means to need a ventilator? It's for when your lungs don't work anymore.

For. When. Your. Lungs. Don't. Work. Anymore.

So while it's nice when the hospitals get more of these things, the fact that they need so many is pretty horrifying.
 
I posted about this in the lockdown thread but I'll repost it here. Elon Musk is openly defying shelter-in-place orders in the San Francisco Bay Area, and direct orders from the sheriffs department to shut down because his factory is not an essential business. Sheriffs appear to be baffled and not sure what to do as far as enforcement. Doing their jobs is too hard, it appears.

https://www.protocol.com/tesla-factory-coronavirus-sheriffs-shutdown (https://archive.li/DkL8b)

https://www.mercurynews.com/2020/03...lly-ok-for-tesla-employees-to-work-from-home/ (https://archive.li/78W2c)
Tesla is asshoe.
 
Dutch Healthcare Minister Bruno Bruins has collapsed in parliament during a debate about coronavirus


Dutch Healthcare Minister Bruins after collapsing in parliament: "I suffered faintness from exhaustion and intense weeks. It's better now. I'm going home to rest tonight so I can continue tomorrow to fight the coronacrisis as well as possible"
 
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Seals, or dogs, or bats?

Still feeling terrible here. Bit worried about one family member. Worrying times.

ETA. If this takes hold in Kenya that blows the ‘Africa is magically safe’ theory out the window. Although Nairobi isn’t that hot - I was surprised but it’s actually more of a temperate climate than what you’d think of as stereotypically tropical one. Poor Kenya. This taking off in Africa would be indescribably bad.
The UK still has a big military base in Kenya. It's used for training as it's similar terrain to central Europe.
 
WHO backs call to avoid ibuprofen for Wu-Flu
"Ibuprofen is sold under a number of brand names, including Nurofen and Advil."
---

I have two family members who work closely with children and another who works at a homeless shelter. My sibling who works at a daycare told me that one of the spouses' of a parent who came in to pick up their kid made contact with a man who has since last week tested positive for the corona-virus. Here workplace didn't tell her until this week. As far as I know, I haven't caught the Wu-Flu although I did get sick last week and coughed a lot...

Even back in early January I received the impression that it wouldn't stop in China, that it would arrive on our shores and eventually even I might catch. I live in an area with a lot of retirees and have attended churches over the years full of elderly. I am hoping that our medical system will be up to task and that young people will be mindful.
 
You have to feel for these kids. I think I'd rather go to school and get the wu flu than huddle in my tiny flat eating powdered mashed potatoes and watching reruns of Coronation Street.

Maybe the BBC and ITV will co-operate to show apocalypse-themed programming - Threads, Day of the Triffids, etc. Now the streets are deserted apart from a few people in HAZMAT suits it'd be the right time for a TV show set in the on 28 weeks later universe.

Now if you'll excuse me I need to go bludgeon someone to death for half a can of cold baked beans.
 
Dutch Healthcare Minister Bruno Bruins has collapsed in parliament during a debate about coronavirus

Archive
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I'm surprised it wasn't the deathfat health minister

Also this was splashed all over the NY Post website
So while I hope its not so, it's beginning to feel like Spanish Flu 2.0

Edited for bad spelling/grammar because I was monitoring deliveries since they get stolen (as previously mentioned) Everything arrived so I'm good for another couple of weeks while I get better.
 
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This graphic, which compares Kung Flu mortality against all-cause mortality in the US from 2015, illustrates just how impotent this virus really is.

15b3_l4l2FzstGk_CZxHtOteDH4_Aj8K6qulT-NKCbU.png

Source: https://reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/fgydxo/ncov19_mortality_rate_by_age_vs_expected_from/

You can see from the top chart that the lines pretty much overlap until you get into the mid-40s, but even for people over 70 your chances of dying relative to baseline only increase by a factor of about 2.5. Interestingly, this ratio is fairly consistent for all ages, and the spike at the beginning is likely a statistical artifact.

The worldwide response to this has been absolutely insane. I bet if you substituted influenza for coronavirus using data from a bad flu season, it would look almost identical.
 
This morning took the standard walk. Freeway traffic a little down from yesterday. Traffic in town down some from yesterday. Wasn't bothered by the local NKVD. The county "powers-that be" "magnanimously" allow people to exercise through walking/jogging/bicycling, long as you are either by yourself or in a group, maintaining six feet "social distance" between people.

Gotta say, sure do seem to be an awful lot of people on "essential" errands. ;)
 
Forgive me if this has been asked.

The entire point of all these precautions is to "flatten the curve" so that the rate of infections can be managed by hospital capacities. That make sense in theory.

What causes the curve to reach its peak and begin the downslope in the first place in any scenario?
At some point
But before that summer will give us a break in the northern hemisphere.
 
Forgive me if this has been asked.

The entire point of all these precautions is to "flatten the curve" so that the rate of infections can be managed by hospital capacities. That make sense in theory.

What causes the curve to reach its peak and begin the downslope in the first place in any scenario?
Mostly herd immunity I assume. Apparently you only need like 60% immunity and it can't spread through the population.

So the idea is to flatten the curve and have it run flat until herd immunity is achieved rather than have a huge sudden peak and herd immunity comes afterwards.

You can also aid it by having the vulnerable isolate and the young go out and get infected and recover. This to me seems to be one of the unsaid goals of the UK government. China may have achieved this by accident.

But any mention of "herd immunity" is interpreted by Twitter as "do nothing and let it run its course" which is why they're doing stuff like #boristhebutcher.
 
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