Ehh, higher population density, faster transmission, worse consequences. Just look at New York.
Not every American city is getting hit the same. Seattle isn't. Not even close. Washingtonians are already pretty antisocial. You ever see a Seattleite approach someone on the sidewalk? Fifteen-foot gaps and a cold aura of unfriendliness were already standard practice. Only 4400 cases and 300 deaths so far in King County.
Indeed. The authorities are working off of epidemiological models that indicate exponential spread and severe casualties if nothing is done to contain it. It's already killed 118,000 globally, and there are 1.88m known cases. The daily increase in the number of cases is tapering off and leveling out. We must be doing something right. Now, a typical flu season kills about 300,000 to 600,000 people, globally. In other words, COVID-19 has already accounted for 1/6th to 1/3rd the number of deaths of a typical flu season. In about a month, this thing has gone from 143k cases worldwide to 1.8m. It was doubling about once a week. Seems to be slowing down a little bit, now. Good.
If it were allowed to double a few more times, you'd be looking at 200,000, and then 400,000, and then 800,000, and then 1.6 million, and then 3.2 million dead. And that's to say nothing of those who are still fighting for their lives in the hospital. If you’re wondering why governments are freaking out so badly, they’ve been working off of those same sorts of projections.
Now, summer starts in a couple months, and one would hope it would burn all this away, like a typical flu season. If it can be kept under control until then, maybe we'll see an end to this. However, it seems to be spreading somewhat in warmer climates, as well.
The lockdown is starting to have severe consequences of its own. Joblessness and the risks of suicide are increasing. The food supply chain is being harmed. That's a one-way ticket to social unrest. If people can't get food, they lose their fucking minds and start breaking shit.
If we let up on the lockdowns and social distancing, will all this just get worse? Will the rate of infection increase again?
This is what the CDC's been putting forth, lately:
R0 of 5.7, with a range of 3.8 to 8.9. They're basically saying it spreads as fast as smallpox. That's not good.
@EmuWarsVeteran How are things on the front lines? I’m more inclined to believe healthcare workers over clickbait.